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US Raid in Idlib Kills Senior ISIS Leadership Contender
Authors
29
7 months ago
Somalia Says Awdheegle Raid Kills Over 100 Al-Shabaab Fighters
Authors
3
7 months ago
Prediction markets for Islamic State
OptionVotes
2359
424
OptionVotes
7870
2985
OptionProbability
33
30
10
5
5
5
3
3
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionVotes
5599
179
Will the regime of Iran fall by the end of March 2026?
Mar 3, 2:11 AMMar 31, 11:59 PM
2.05%chance
383057
OptionVotes
691
14
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be Iran’s supreme leader on 1 January 2027?
Mar 11, 3:15 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM
33.55%chance
182209
OptionVotes
1407
711
Will Iran successfully attack the mainland US before March 2027
Mar 7, 12:40 AMFeb 28, 11:59 PM
15.16%chance
191786
OptionVotes
2366
423
OptionVotes
273
37
How much did the 2025/06/21 U.S. strikes on Iran delay the nuclear weapon program?
Jun 22, 6:14 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
4543
OptionProbability
77
56
45
35
20
OptionVotes
117
86
Will Bangladesh turn into an Islamic Republic by 2030?
Dec 16, 10:26 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
34.59%chance
7343
OptionVotes
138
73
Conditional on Iranian Regime Change: will it be achieved by a military coup?
Feb 20, 8:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
42.6%chance
10139
OptionVotes
116
86
Latest stories
Latest stories
- US Raid in Idlib Kills Senior ISIS Leadership ContenderAuthors297 months ago
- Somalia Says Awdheegle Raid Kills Over 100 Al-Shabaab FightersAuthors37 months ago
