Journal News

Musk Disputes WSJ Report He’s Shelving America Party Plans

109

10 months ago

Gabbard Sparks CIA Backlash by Pulling Covert Officer’s Clearance

US Domestic Policy

Politics

Gabbard Sparks CIA Backlash by Pulling Covert Officer’s Clearance

10 months ago

By the end of 2028 will AI be able to write an original article and get it accepted in a prestigious Philosophy journal?

Mar 22, 5:09 AMDec 31, 12:59 PM

53.53%chance

6012930

OptionVotes

YES

1019

948

Will an AI co-author a mathematics research paper published in a reputable journal before the end of 2026?

Aug 29, 9:01 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

52.56%chance

8910858

OptionVotes

YES

1033

863

By 2030, AI can autonomously prove mathematical theorems that are publishable in mathematics journals today?

Jan 5, 10:58 AMJan 6, 6:29 PM

92.34%chance

374082

OptionVotes

YES

3054

149

Will Nectome's human preservation protocol be published in a peer-reviewed journal by end of 2028?

Mar 18, 11:05 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

84.28%chance

102193

OptionVotes

YES

2315

432

XAI researchers publish in a top physics journal

Jul 15, 5:46 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

29.18%chance

491805

OptionVotes

YES

1355

806

Will "An Alignment Journal: Coming Soon" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?

Mar 3, 11:46 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

6.43%chance

41240

OptionVotes

YES

2100

886

Will the Wall Street Journal create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?

Jan 9, 10:32 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

14.42%chance

15577

OptionVotes

YES

1455

887

Will Environment Health Perspectives (https://ehp.niehs.nih.gov/) publish new journal articles again by July 1,2026?

Apr 30, 2:19 PMJun 30, 11:59 PM

62.49%chance

6102

OptionVotes

YES

129

Will scientific journal publisher MDPI have a better reputation by 2027?

Sep 2, 9:44 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

33%chance

390

OptionVotes

YES

156

127

In which journal will this paper be accepted in 2026? (Milos and Pérez)

Apr 7, 2:47 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

280

OptionProbability

Journal of Cosmology and Astroparticle Physics

Other

Will the EU Digital Fairness Act be formally adopted (published in the Official Journal of the EU) by December 31, 2028?

Oct 14, 11:21 AMOct 31, 11:59 PM

36%chance

270

OptionVotes

YES

133

Will elicit.com retrieve data from supplementary data of journal articles by EOY 2026?

Feb 22, 6:18 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

59.02%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

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By the end of 2028 will AI be able to write an original article and get it accepted in a prestigious Philosophy journal?

Will an AI co-author a mathematics research paper published in a reputable journal before the end of 2026?

By 2030, AI can autonomously prove mathematical theorems that are publishable in mathematics journals today?

Will Nectome's human preservation protocol be published in a peer-reviewed journal by end of 2028?

XAI researchers publish in a top physics journal

Will "An Alignment Journal: Coming Soon" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?

Will the Wall Street Journal create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?

Will Environment Health Perspectives (https://ehp.niehs.nih.gov/) publish new journal articles again by July 1,2026?

Will scientific journal publisher MDPI have a better reputation by 2027?

In which journal will this paper be accepted in 2026? (Milos and Pérez)

Will the EU Digital Fairness Act be formally adopted (published in the Official Journal of the EU) by December 31, 2028?

Will elicit.com retrieve data from supplementary data of journal articles by EOY 2026?

Latest stories

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