Journal News

Musk Disputes WSJ Report He’s Shelving America Party Plans

109

7 months ago

Gabbard Sparks CIA Backlash by Pulling Covert Officer’s Clearance

US Domestic Policy

Politics

Gabbard Sparks CIA Backlash by Pulling Covert Officer’s Clearance

7 months ago

By the end of 2028 will AI be able to write an original article and get it accepted in a prestigious Philosophy journal?

Mar 22, 5:09 AMDec 31, 12:59 PM

36.31%chance

5711924

OptionVotes

YES

1395

643

Will an AI co-author a mathematics research paper published in a reputable journal before the end of 2026?

Aug 29, 9:01 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

38.67%chance

8410219

OptionVotes

YES

1317

626

What will be the outcome of Trump's lawsuit against the Wall Street Journal?

Jul 19, 7:42 AMJan 1, 8:41 AM

434822

OptionProbability

Settlement outside of court

Court ruling in favor of WSJ

Court ruling in favor of Trump

By 2030, AI can autonomously prove mathematical theorems that are publishable in mathematics journals today?

Jan 5, 10:58 AMJan 6, 6:29 PM

69.53%chance

342567

OptionVotes

YES

1647

426

XAI researchers publish in a top physics journal

Jul 15, 5:46 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

29.18%chance

491805

OptionVotes

YES

1355

806

Will "An Alignment Journal: Coming Soon" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?

Mar 3, 11:46 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

6.43%chance

41240

OptionVotes

YES

2100

886

Will Nectome's human preservation protocol be published in a peer-reviewed journal by end of 2028?

Mar 18, 11:05 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

72.88%chance

71070

OptionVotes

YES

1639

610

Will the Wall Street Journal create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?

Jan 9, 10:32 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

14.42%chance

15577

OptionVotes

YES

1455

887

100 monthly users on my 'achievements' journaling app?

May 2, 12:26 AMJul 1, 11:52 PM

51.19%chance

3241

OptionVotes

YES

1024

976

Will Environment Health Perspectives (https://ehp.niehs.nih.gov/) publish new journal articles again by July 1,2026?

Apr 30, 2:19 PMJun 30, 11:59 PM

52%chance

577

OptionVotes

YES

104

Will the EU Digital Fairness Act be formally adopted (published in the Official Journal of the EU) by December 31, 2028?

Oct 14, 11:21 AMOct 31, 11:59 PM

36%chance

270

OptionVotes

YES

133

Will elicit.com retrieve data from supplementary data of journal articles by EOY 2026?

Feb 22, 6:18 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

59.02%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

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By the end of 2028 will AI be able to write an original article and get it accepted in a prestigious Philosophy journal?

Will an AI co-author a mathematics research paper published in a reputable journal before the end of 2026?

What will be the outcome of Trump's lawsuit against the Wall Street Journal?

By 2030, AI can autonomously prove mathematical theorems that are publishable in mathematics journals today?

XAI researchers publish in a top physics journal

Will "An Alignment Journal: Coming Soon" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?

Will Nectome's human preservation protocol be published in a peer-reviewed journal by end of 2028?

Will the Wall Street Journal create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?

100 monthly users on my 'achievements' journaling app?

Will Environment Health Perspectives (https://ehp.niehs.nih.gov/) publish new journal articles again by July 1,2026?

Will the EU Digital Fairness Act be formally adopted (published in the Official Journal of the EU) by December 31, 2028?

Will elicit.com retrieve data from supplementary data of journal articles by EOY 2026?

Latest stories

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