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Top stories

Trump Demands 15-Day Deposition of 94-Year-Old Murdoch in WSJ Libel Fight

Trump Demands 15-Day Deposition of 94-Year-Old Murdoch in WSJ Libel Fight

Authors

11

5 days ago

Prediction markets for Journal

Are the Mexican alien bodies real? (scientific journal, 2025)

Sep 13, 7:13 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

1.14%chance

21899060

OptionVotes

YES

NO

10423

2266

By the end of 2028 will AI be able to write an original article and get it accepted in a prestigious Philosophy journal?

Mar 22, 5:09 AMDec 31, 12:59 PM

51.75%chance

4910166

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1052

911

Will an AI co-author a mathematics research paper published in a reputable journal before the end of 2026?

Aug 29, 9:01 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

24.27%chance

706096

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1761

426

What will be the outcome of Trump's lawsuit against the Wall Street Journal?

Jul 19, 7:42 AMDec 31, 8:41 AM

434557

OptionProbability

Settlement outside of court

Court ruling in favor of WSJ

Court ruling in favor of Trump

73

25

2

By 2030, AI can autonomously prove mathematical theorems that are publishable in mathematics journals today?

Jan 5, 10:58 AMJan 6, 6:29 PM

72.93%chance

302352

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1751

383

XAI researchers publish in a top physics journal

Jul 15, 5:46 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

34.93%chance

471598

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1158

898

Will Mini be cited in an academic journal by 2025?

Feb 15, 8:38 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

19.25%chance

261343

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1752

717

Will the Wall Street Journal create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?

Jan 9, 10:32 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

14.42%chance

15577

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1455

887

100 monthly users on my 'achievements' journaling app?

May 2, 12:26 AMJul 1, 11:52 PM

51.19%chance

3241

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1024

976

Will every single journal article from paywalled sources be incorporated into ought.aiby the end of 2025?

Feb 20, 7:29 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

26.05%chance

7107

OptionVotes

YES

NO

226

140

Will scientific journal publisher MDPI have a better reputation by 2027?

Sep 2, 9:44 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

33%chance

390

OptionVotes

YES

NO

156

127

Will supplementary data and table in journal articles be part of GPT5?

Apr 11, 5:48 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

20.05%chance

366

OptionVotes

YES

NO

156

58

Latest stories

Latest stories

Jul 28, 2025
Jul 28, 2025
US Judiciary
Law
Politics
Trump Demands 15-Day Deposition of 94-Year-Old Murdoch in WSJ Libel Fight
Authors
11
5 days ago

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