Labor News

House Oversight Subpoenas Epstein Estate for Birthday Book, Client Records

7 months ago

Chalmers Backs Report Urging 20% Company Tax, Leaves Timing Unclear

Australia

Economics

Business

Chalmers Backs Report Urging 20% Company Tax, Leaves Timing Unclear

7 months ago

U.S. Lawmakers Mark 62nd Anniversary of March on Washington

US Legislation

US Domestic Policy

Washington DC

U.S. Lawmakers Mark 62nd Anniversary of March on Washington

7 months ago

What will be the best Remote Labor Index score by Dec 31, 2026?

Jan 16, 8:49 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

2218434

OptionProbability

20-30%

10-20%

30-40%

40-50%

50-60%

<10%

60-70%

70-80%

≥80%

Will the bureau of labor report that there were more computer programmers in the US in 2030 than 2023?

Jan 5, 7:15 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

2.2%chance

8112563

OptionVotes

YES

3364

Will >50% of human physical labor be replaced by robots before 2030?

Dec 29, 8:25 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

18.59%chance

535765

OptionVotes

YES

952

951

Will increasing levels of AI/Automation cause a meaningful reduction in sweatshop labor by 2035?

Aug 24, 10:40 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

59.06%chance

673086

OptionVotes

YES

1508

1036

Will Twitter lose more than a billion dollars on labor law-related lawsuits from Musk's Twitter tenure, before 2026?

Mar 9, 10:55 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

7.09%chance

182331

OptionVotes

YES

2543

778

Will Twitter lose more than 100 million dollars on labor law-related lawsuits from Musk's Twitter tenure, before 2026?

Mar 9, 10:59 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

68.82%chance

362019

OptionVotes

YES

1357

755

Will the bureau of labor say computer programmers' (inflation-adjusted) salaries decreased between 2023 and 2030?

Jan 5, 7:27 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

38.24%chance

461473

OptionVotes

YES

1080

817

Will we have androids with full human labor capabilities under 10K$ till 2030?

Jan 6, 5:15 AMApr 30, 5:59 PM

9.95%chance

191232

OptionVotes

YES

1217

940

Will the Australian Labor Party win a majority of seats in the House of Representatives at the next federal election?

Jul 22, 11:40 AMSep 25, 11:37 AM

68.46%chance

7760

OptionVotes

YES

1475

680

[MIT AI Risk Initiative] Will major institutions call human labor “uncompetitive” vs AI in some domain by end of 2040?

Dec 4, 3:08 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

73.14%chance

4750

OptionVotes

YES

1650

606

Will there be a 'Capital Day' on May 1st in the future as 'Labor Day' will get obsolete?

May 1, 10:10 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

11.14%chance

15463

OptionVotes

YES

1291

917

When will a humanoid robot first be used as farm labor?

Nov 11, 5:41 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

OptionProbability

2025

2026

2027

2028

2029

2030

2031

2032

2033

2034

Other

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What will be the best Remote Labor Index score by Dec 31, 2026?

Will the bureau of labor report that there were more computer programmers in the US in 2030 than 2023?

Will >50% of human physical labor be replaced by robots before 2030?

Will increasing levels of AI/Automation cause a meaningful reduction in sweatshop labor by 2035?

Will Twitter lose more than a billion dollars on labor law-related lawsuits from Musk's Twitter tenure, before 2026?

Will Twitter lose more than 100 million dollars on labor law-related lawsuits from Musk's Twitter tenure, before 2026?

Will the bureau of labor say computer programmers' (inflation-adjusted) salaries decreased between 2023 and 2030?

Will we have androids with full human labor capabilities under 10K$ till 2030?

Will the Australian Labor Party win a majority of seats in the House of Representatives at the next federal election?

[MIT AI Risk Initiative] Will major institutions call human labor “uncompetitive” vs AI in some domain by end of 2040?

Will there be a 'Capital Day' on May 1st in the future as 'Labor Day' will get obsolete?

When will a humanoid robot first be used as farm labor?

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