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Top stories

BoE’s Bailey Blocks Reeves-Backed Meeting on Revolut Banking Bid

BoE’s Bailey Blocks Reeves-Backed Meeting on Revolut Banking Bid

Authors

4

4 days ago

UK Raises Guaranteed Maximum Electricity Price for Wind Developers to £117/MWh Ahead of Renewable Auction with 26.8 GW Offshore Wind Target

UK Raises Guaranteed Maximum Electricity Price for Wind Developers to £117/MWh Ahead of Renewable Auction with 26.8 GW Offshore Wind Target

Authors

7

10 days ago

Labour’s Starmer, Reeves, Dodds and Piketty Urge Wealth Tax at Autumn Budget to Address UK Finance Gap and Inequality

Labour’s Starmer, Reeves, Dodds and Piketty Urge Wealth Tax at Autumn Budget to Address UK Finance Gap and Inequality

Authors

8

2 days ago

Company Earnings

HSBC and StanChart Chiefs Push Back on UK Tax Rises and Office Mandates

Authors

3

2 days ago

UK Foreign Secretary Lammy Urges Israel to End Gaza War Amid 83% Public Demand, Cites Crimes Against Humanity

Authors

7

11 days ago

UK Seals OpenAI Pact to Boost AI Security and Data Centres

Authors

12

12 days ago

UK Conservative Shadow Cabinet Reshuffle: Ed Argar Steps Down, Stuart Andrew Appointed, Neil O’Brien Promoted, Mel Stride Stays

Authors

4

11 days ago

UK to Scrap Ofwat in Sweeping Water-Sector Overhaul

Authors

24

12 days ago

Prediction markets for Labour

If Labour wins a majority government at the 2024 election, will Keir Starmer be prime minister on 1st January 2028?

Jun 4, 4:21 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

70.97%chance

3234362

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1564

640

Will Keir Starmer lead the Labour party into the next General Election?

Jan 6, 4:28 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

72.65%chance

4110374

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1630

614

Will the Scottish Labour Party be the second largest party in Holyrood after the next election?

May 17, 5:42 PMMay 7, 10:59 PM

50%chance

219647

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1181

772

Which 2024 Labour Manifesto Commitments will be achieved in this Parliament?

Jun 13, 11:37 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

424894

OptionProbability

National Wealth Fund established and granted >=£7.3 billion seed capital

House of Lords hereditary peers prevented from sitting and voting

Voting franchise extended to 16 and 17 year olds

Minimum wage set at level equal to recommendations of the Resolution Foundation

>=40k increase in weekly GP appointments

UK energy independence from fossil fuels

>=1.5 million new homes built

Violent crime halved

100

90

90

88

71

33

30

11

Will Labour form a 2 term government?

May 23, 12:47 PMSep 1, 10:59 PM

45.58%chance

204882

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1093

915

Will Labour's planned inheritance tax on UK farms over £1m be scrapped before April 2026?

Nov 4, 8:57 AMApr 30, 10:59 PM

7.01%chance

102777

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3641

275

Will Chris Hipkins lead the NZ Labour Party to the next election (probably 2026)?

Jan 24, 6:49 AMOct 14, 11:00 AM

38.15%chance

202044

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1017

974

During the next Labour government, will there be a Foreign Secretary serving from the House of Lords?

Apr 17, 4:51 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

14.46%chance

151665

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1760

792

Neural Nets will be better at typical manual labour tasks than humans by the end of 2025

Mar 28, 10:34 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

6.23%chance

261531

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2412

821

Will the next female Prime Minister of the UK be from the Labour party?

Feb 13, 5:04 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

58%chance

281502

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1319

670

Will labour keep their majority for over ten years?

Jul 4, 11:25 PMJul 5, 8:59 PM

30.59%chance

13831

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1506

664

Will Unite the Union disaffiliate from the Labour Party?

Jul 20, 10:21 AMDec 31, 11:10 AM

454

OptionProbability

YES

NO

45

33

Latest stories

Latest stories

Jul 31, 2025
Jul 31, 2025
Britain
Economics
Politics
Labour’s Starmer, Reeves, Dodds and Piketty Urge Wealth Tax at Autumn Budget to Address UK Finance Gap and Inequality
Authors
8
2 days ago
Jul 31, 2025
Jul 31, 2025
Economics
Company Earnings
Business
HSBC and StanChart Chiefs Push Back on UK Tax Rises and Office Mandates
Authors
3
2 days ago
Jul 29, 2025
Jul 29, 2025
Britain
Law
Fintech
BoE’s Bailey Blocks Reeves-Backed Meeting on Revolut Banking Bid
Authors
4
4 days ago
Jul 24, 2025
Jul 24, 2025
Britain
Economics
Energy
UK Raises Guaranteed Maximum Electricity Price for Wind Developers to £117/MWh Ahead of Renewable Auction with 26.8 GW Offshore Wind Target
Authors
7
10 days ago
Jul 22, 2025
Jul 22, 2025
Middle East
Britain
War
UK Foreign Secretary Lammy Urges Israel to End Gaza War Amid 83% Public Demand, Cites Crimes Against Humanity
Authors
7
11 days ago
Jul 22, 2025
Jul 22, 2025
Britain
Politics
World
UK Conservative Shadow Cabinet Reshuffle: Ed Argar Steps Down, Stuart Andrew Appointed, Neil O’Brien Promoted, Mel Stride Stays
Authors
4
11 days ago
Jul 21, 2025
Jul 21, 2025
Britain
AI
World
UK Seals OpenAI Pact to Boost AI Security and Data Centres
Authors
12
12 days ago
Jul 21, 2025
Jul 21, 2025
Britain
Sustainability
Environment
UK to Scrap Ofwat in Sweeping Water-Sector Overhaul
Authors
24
12 days ago
Jul 21, 2025
Jul 21, 2025
Britain
Politics
World
UK Orders Inquiry Into 1984 Orgreave Miners Clash
Authors
4
12 days ago
Jul 21, 2025
Jul 21, 2025
Britain
Economics
Business
UK Revives Blair-Era Pensions Commission Amid Savings Shortfall
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4
12 days ago
Jul 17, 2025
Jul 17, 2025
Britain
Politics
World
Starmer Government Unveils Plan to Let 16-Year-Olds Vote Nationwide
Authors
239
16 days ago
Jul 17, 2025
Jul 17, 2025
Britain
Politics
World
Keir Starmer Suspends Four Labour MPs Including Rachael Maskell Over Welfare Rebellion Amid Pension Age Review
Authors
22
16 days ago
Jul 17, 2025
Jul 17, 2025
Canada
Politics
World
55,000 Canada Post Workers Begin Vote on Final Contract Offer as Union Urges Rejection in 1.5-Year Dispute
Authors
15
17 days ago
Jul 9, 2025
Jul 9, 2025
Britain
Economics
Politics
UK PM Keir Starmer Declines to Rule Out Wealth Tax, Income Tax Threshold Freeze, and Pensions Tax Hike Amid Labour Debate
Authors
20
24 days ago
Jul 5, 2025
Jul 5, 2025
Britain
Economics
Business
UK Faces Record Exodus of 16,500 Millionaires and £66 Billion in Assets Amid Labour’s Tax Hikes and ‘Wexit’ Wealth Migration
Authors
29
29 days ago
Jul 4, 2025
Jul 4, 2025
Britain
Politics
World
Zarah Sultana Quits Labour After 14 Years to Co-Lead New Left-Wing Party With Jeremy Corbyn Amid Gaza War Criticism
Authors
78
29 days ago
Jul 4, 2025
Jul 4, 2025
Britain
Politics
World
One Year In Office, Keir Starmer Faces Labour Dissent, May 2026 Election Risks, 61% Public Disapproval, Glasman Warns
Authors
39
29 days ago
Jul 4, 2025
Jul 4, 2025
Britain
Politics
World
Reform Party Gains 22 Seats in 78 UK Council By-Elections as Labour Loses 16 and Conservatives Lose 6
Authors
3
29 days ago
Jun 25, 2025
Jun 25, 2025
Canada
Law
Business
Canada Post’s 55,000 Workers Ordered by Labour Minister Patty Hajdu to Vote on Final Offer as Second-Largest Union Signs Deal; DHL Express Strike Ends
Authors
21
1 month ago

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