Lens News
Top stories
Prediction markets for Lens
OptionProbability
26
9
8
8
5
5
5
5
2
2
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
10
10
5
5
5
1
OptionProbability
30
19
15
14
4
4
2
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Will a useful contact lens display be commercially available by 2030
Dec 22, 5:13 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
25.69%chance
311200
OptionVotes
1338
782
Will Nine Inch Nails ever release another full-length studio album?
Oct 2, 12:04 PMDec 31, 10:38 AM
63.38%chance
7540
OptionVotes
1315
760
OptionVotes
1169
927
If the identity of Satoshi is ever definitively proven, who will it be?
Oct 10, 10:11 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
15247
OptionProbability
55
14
13
3
3
3
3
3
3
1
Before 2029, will OpenAI provide API access to a frontier LLM with 100,000,000+ context length?
Aug 12, 11:29 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
49.02%chance
3192
OptionVotes
1020
981
Solar gravitational lens at 542 AU to image exoplanets by EOY 2055?
Mar 31, 5:15 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
26.98%chance
3103
OptionVotes
224
89
Will a Terrascope (a space telescope that uses a planet's atmosphere as a giant lens) launch and successfully perform observations by the end of 2042?
Sep 7, 11:57 PMDec 2, 4:59 AM
27.59%chance
471
OptionVotes
162
62
OptionProbability
28
20
15
12
12
12
OptionProbability
100
100
Latest stories
Latest stories