ML News

Rahul Gandhi, Tejashwi Yadav, MK Stalin Lead 'Voter Adhikar Yatra' in Bihar Alleging Vote Theft by BJP Amid Darbhanga Remarks Controversy

8 months ago

Will a team consisting primarily of ML models complete MIT Mystery Hunt by 2030?

Jan 2, 7:09 AMJan 29, 7:59 AM

30.27%chance

3021116

OptionVotes

YES

1081

564

Will ML-KEM-768 break before X25519?

Apr 11, 12:22 AMJan 1, 1:21 AM

16.39%chance

103066

OptionVotes

YES

8919

5057

Will we have an AI generated research paper accepted to > 1 top ML conference by 2030?

Mar 5, 8:33 PMDec 31, 6:29 AM

83.04%chance

411582

OptionVotes

YES

997

977

Will we have an AI generated research paper accepted to > 1 top ML conference by 2027?

Mar 5, 8:31 PMDec 31, 6:29 AM

56.48%chance

31967

OptionVotes

YES

1131

753

Will we have an AI generated research paper accepted to > 1 top ML conference by 2028?

Mar 5, 8:32 PMDec 31, 6:29 AM

71.61%chance

29939

OptionVotes

YES

1039

981

When will AI autonomously build and deploys a production ML system that drives business decisions

Feb 25, 4:47 AMDec 31, 12:59 PM

2343

OptionProbability

>=2032

2026

2027

2028

2029

2030

2031

AI for AI 2: By when will there be an AI that can do "senior-level" ML engineering?

Jul 3, 6:55 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

4201

OptionProbability

2028-01-01

2029-01-01

2027-01-01

Later than that/never

2026-01-01

2025-01-01

If China invades Taiwan in 2023-2030, what will FLOP/s per dollar of top-ML GPUs be 10 years later?

Nov 7, 9:06 PMNov 15, 7:59 AM

5135

OptionProbability

>8x FLOP/s per dollar

2-4x FLOP/s per dollar

4-8x FLOP/s per dollar

0.5-1x FLOP/s per dollar

1-2x FLOP/s per dollar

<0.5x FLOP/s per dollar

Will "The ML ontology and the alignment ontology" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?

Feb 25, 2:01 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

13.95%chance

3103

OptionVotes

YES

1004

999

Will Deep Learning Models Beat Classical ML algorithms on tabular data in 2028?

Oct 9, 8:07 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

59.59%chance

211

OptionVotes

YES

101

Before 2028, will I be able to train a Super Smash Bros. Melee ML agent that beats me in a Bo5 set?

Feb 24, 1:36 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

54.75%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

110

Before 2028, will I be able to train a Super Smash Bros. Melee ML agent that beats the Phillip AI in a Bo5 set?

Feb 24, 1:39 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

45.25%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

110

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Aug 27, 2025
Aug 27, 2025
India
Politics
World
Rahul Gandhi, Tejashwi Yadav, MK Stalin Lead 'Voter Adhikar Yatra' in Bihar Alleging Vote Theft by BJP Amid Darbhanga Remarks Controversy
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8 months ago

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Will a team consisting primarily of ML models complete MIT Mystery Hunt by 2030?

Will ML-KEM-768 break before X25519?

Will we have an AI generated research paper accepted to > 1 top ML conference by 2030?

Will we have an AI generated research paper accepted to > 1 top ML conference by 2027?

Will we have an AI generated research paper accepted to > 1 top ML conference by 2028?

When will AI autonomously build and deploys a production ML system that drives business decisions

AI for AI 2: By when will there be an AI that can do "senior-level" ML engineering?

If China invades Taiwan in 2023-2030, what will FLOP/s per dollar of top-ML GPUs be 10 years later?

Will "The ML ontology and the alignment ontology" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?

Will Deep Learning Models Beat Classical ML algorithms on tabular data in 2028?

Before 2028, will I be able to train a Super Smash Bros. Melee ML agent that beats me in a Bo5 set?

Before 2028, will I be able to train a Super Smash Bros. Melee ML agent that beats the Phillip AI in a Bo5 set?

Latest stories

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