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Prediction markets for National Housing Commission
OptionProbability
99
1
0
0
0
0
0
Will the US exhibit strong signs of autocracy if Trump wins in 2024?
Aug 28, 4:50 AMJan 21, 7:59 AM
56.6%chance
9413352
OptionVotes
1142
876
OptionProbability
64
35
0
0
0
Which party or coalition will win the primary vote in the 2026 Victorian state election?
Jun 17, 3:18 AMNov 28, 11:59 PM
11835
OptionProbability
71
19
9
1
Will a Democratic president begin demolishing Trump’s White House ballroom before Jan 20, 2031
May 14, 7:21 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
31.41%chance
14649
OptionVotes
1478
677
Will Gyanesh Kumar cease to be Chief Election Commissioner of India before 31 December 2026?
Oct 11, 7:57 AMDec 31, 6:29 PM
14.73%chance
10620
OptionVotes
241
42
OptionProbability
95
94
69
64
62
59
39
Liberal+National primary vote in the 2026 Victorian State election
Oct 28, 3:56 AMNov 28, 12:59 PM
2415
OptionProbability
26
16
15
14
11
10
9
Will One Nation win more seats than the Liberals+Nationals+QLNP+CLP combined at the next Australian federal election?
Feb 2, 12:06 PMMay 19, 1:59 PM
50.03%chance
12249
OptionVotes
100
100
Will the GOP face a serious third party competition by midterms 2030?
Mar 13, 10:46 PMNov 4, 11:59 PM
49.43%chance
7213
OptionVotes
1011
989
OptionProbability
28
18
15
12
10
9
8
Will Pauline Hanson become Australian prime minister before 2029?
Oct 16, 9:39 PMDec 31, 11:00 AM
20%chance
11
OptionVotes
101
95
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