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Prediction markets for NHTSA
Will Waymo still have serious problems with flooded streets in 2027?
May 22, 10:56 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
16.99%chance
5297
OptionVotes
1174
961
Will Tesla give paid public Cybercab rides in a US metro outside Texas by April 30, 2027?
Sep 8, 1:49 AMMay 5, 11:59 PM
88.59%chance
3165
OptionVotes
238
13
Tesla's 2025 CEO Performance Award - Operational Milestones by 2036
Nov 7, 11:10 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
2122
OptionProbability
69
66
50
50
50
50
50
50
38
34
34
34
24
17
Will it still be true in 2030 that "traffic deaths have not gone down in any city where Waymo is operating"?
May 8, 8:02 PMJun 30, 11:59 PM
24.79%chance
7117
OptionVotes
174
57
Will at least 200 Tesla Cybercabs be registered for public robotaxi service by December 31, 2026?
Sep 15, 1:47 AMJan 20, 11:59 PM
18.16%chance
110
OptionVotes
110
98




