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Top stories

University of Tennessee Chattanooga Locks Down Over Unconfirmed Shooter Reports

University of Tennessee Chattanooga Locks Down Over Unconfirmed Shooter Reports

Authors

11

1 year ago

Prediction markets for Office of Homeland Security

Before December 31, 2026, will an ICE agent kill another American citizen?

Jan 8, 6:11 PMDec 31, 11:27 PM

36.98%chance

9215202

OptionVotes

YES

NO

275

65

ICE agent murdered on duty by end of 2026?

Jan 24, 11:33 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

17%chance

9111441

OptionVotes

YES

NO

221

45

Will there be a US federal shutdown in November 2026?

Feb 4, 5:47 PMNov 30, 11:59 PM

5.02%chance

199687

OptionVotes

YES

NO

8375

385

Conditional on Trump being elected, how many H1B recipients will be admitted in the USA in 2026?

Jul 27, 5:40 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

43380

OptionProbability

480000-500000

500000-520000

520000-540000

460000-480000

440000-460000

420000-440000

540000-560000

560000-580000

40000-60000

60000-80000

80000-100000

100000-120000

120000-140000

140000-160000

160000-180000

340000-360000

360000-380000

380000-400000

400000-420000

580000-600000

0-20000

20000-40000

180000-200000

200000-220000

220000-240000

240000-260000

260000-280000

280000-300000

300000-320000

320000-340000

600000-620000

620000-640000

640000-660000

660000-680000

680000-700000

700000-720000

720000-740000

740000-760000

760000-780000

780000-800000

800000-820000

820000-840000

840000-860000

860000-880000

880000-900000

900000-920000

19

19

19

14

4

3

3

2

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Will ICE deploy gloves that deliver electric shocks by EOY 2026?

Aug 13, 1:06 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

66.95%chance

12386

OptionVotes

NO

YES

142

70

Will Iran launch a fatal terrorist attack on U.S. soil by EOY 2026?

Apr 7, 3:33 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

11.97%chance

14386

OptionVotes

YES

NO

271

37

The Oklahoma Scramble: Who will replace Markwayne Mullin?

Mar 6, 6:08 AMJan 3, 7:05 AM

7308

OptionProbability

Kevin Hern

Stephanie Bice

The Field/Other

T.W. Shannon

The "Placeholder" Appointee

75

9

9

3

3

Before December 31, 2026, will an ICE agent kill another American citizen?

Aug 1, 4:23 PMDec 31, 11:27 PM

38.02%chance

9200

OptionVotes

YES

NO

105

97

Will Anthony Fauci go to prison before 2029?

Sep 19, 3:09 AMDec 31, 10:00 AM

8.01%chance

260

OptionVotes

YES

NO

160

93

TSA abolished by EOY 2030?

Mar 27, 3:54 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

17.99%chance

331

OptionVotes

YES

NO

111

97

Latest stories

Latest stories

Aug 21, 2025
Aug 21, 2025
United States
University of Tennessee Chattanooga Locks Down Over Unconfirmed Shooter Reports
Authors
11
1 year ago

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