Office of Homeland Security News
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Prediction markets for Office of Homeland Security
Before December 31, 2026, will an ICE agent kill another American citizen?
Jan 8, 6:11 PMDec 31, 11:27 PM
40.47%chance
8914921
OptionVotes
264
72
OptionVotes
194
52
Will there be a US federal shutdown in November 2026?
Feb 4, 5:47 PMNov 30, 11:59 PM
27.9%chance
144602
OptionVotes
3319
1116
Conditional on Trump being elected, how many H1B recipients will be admitted in the USA in 2026?
Jul 27, 5:40 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
32239
OptionProbability
6
6
6
5
4
4
3
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
Will Iran launch a fatal terrorist attack on U.S. soil by EOY 2026?
Apr 7, 3:33 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
17.28%chance
10320
OptionVotes
219
46
OptionProbability
75
9
9
3
3
Before December 31, 2026, will an ICE agent kill another American citizen?
Aug 1, 4:23 PMDec 31, 11:27 PM
42.06%chance
7146
OptionVotes
103
95
OptionVotes
111
97
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