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Prediction markets for Office
OptionProbability
79
9
6
2
2
1
0
0
0
OptionProbability
91
3
3
1
1
1
0
Will it come to light that Joe Biden used a body double while in presidential office or on the campaign trail?
Jul 4, 7:02 PMJan 21, 7:59 AM
1.28%chance
6396543
OptionVotes
90079
6480
OptionVotes
2760
363
OptionProbability
79
7
6
6
2
Will the next President of the United States die in an office? [Mod Note: Pun Trap]
May 22, 4:25 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
14.74%chance
17630333
OptionVotes
3450
1406
OptionVotes
4410
227
If Donald Trump wins the election, will he die while in office?
Jul 11, 5:11 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
13%chance
7421692
OptionVotes
4424
2065
Will Trump be removed or resign from office if he uses military force against Greenland?
Jan 18, 11:47 AMJan 20, 11:59 AM
30.29%chance
10218481
OptionVotes
2249
1757
Will China invade the Kinmen Islands of Taiwan before Trump leaves office?
Nov 8, 8:56 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
27.8%chance
5012312
OptionVotes
3010
1419
OptionVotes
1417
894
Will an AI be elected to public office in the USA by 2034? (850M subsidy)
Sep 28, 8:53 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM
22.74%chance
502900
OptionVotes
2431
1289
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