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Prediction markets for Organization of American States
OptionVotes
2750
364
OptionVotes
3558
281
OptionVotes
307
33
OptionVotes
292
34
OptionProbability
23
7
6
6
6
5
4
4
4
3
3
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
0
0
Will an AI achieve a perfect score on the MCAT without cheating before 2035?
Jun 1, 6:37 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM
86.64%chance
16674
OptionVotes
1123
959
Will the next El Salvador presidential election be free and fair?
Apr 18, 8:06 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
34.03%chance
15627
OptionVotes
1392
718
In 2050, will the World Health Organization state that vaping is safer than cigarettes?
Oct 27, 1:09 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM
6312
OptionProbability
70
10
6
5
5
3
Before December 31, 2026, will an ICE agent kill another American citizen?
Aug 1, 4:23 PMDec 31, 11:27 PM
38.02%chance
9200
OptionVotes
105
97
Will Germany attend a Ukraine peace summit with Russia that excludes the US before 2027?
Feb 9, 3:20 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
12.17%chance
8193
OptionVotes
269
37
Will any american left-wing pro democracy and pro science organizations be shut down before 2050?
Sep 10, 11:54 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
69%chance
8109
OptionVotes
149
67
Will an AI achieve a perfect score on the MCAT without cheating before 2030?
Jun 1, 6:37 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM
69.86%chance
499
OptionVotes
145
88
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