OptionProbability
call someone retarded through text or speech
Take control of the army National Guard of a state (not just announcement)
A literal red line on the ground/floor
complete 50% of project 2025 as reported by project2025.observer
Initiates low intensity conflict with Venezuela
Weaponize Federal Procurement: Launch a DOJ criminal investigation into Fed Chair Powell’s $2.5B renovation probity, while simultaneously accepting $400M in private corporate donations for the White House 'State Ballroom'.
Not pardon SBF
repeal or reform the dietary guidelines
explicitly conditions FEMA aid to a blue state on unrelated ideological issue
request and successfully redraw 1 or more state districts
Causes Tina Peters' early release
complete 66% of project 2025 as reported by project2025.observer
pass 500 or more executive orders
intervenes to stop a federal criminal investigation into a high ranking republican
put his name on a ship in the navy
new blockade of a country
refuse to accept results of 2026 midterms in at least one state
Stays alive
Eliminate the two-person train crew safety regulations (DoT request from Project 2025)
classify "transgender ideology" as "domestic terrorism," as per The Daily Wire
sends USA troops to enter Mexico without permission
forcibly shuts down a windmill farm power plant or revokes permits etc
request and successfully redraw 2 or more state districts
Pardon himself
sells 100 square miles or more of federal property to private owners or other countries
Pardons a private citizen for an act in opposition to an anti-trump protest
Says 6 7 (or variant)
complete 75% of project 2025 as reported by project2025.observer
request and successfully redraw 3 or more state districts
Revoke ten or more citizenships
File lawsuit against a congressperson
resume buying oil from Russia
Pardons an officer for a crime committed on the job enforcing immigration laws
have any governmental officials visit Taiwan formally or informally
Dep
declare war and send troops to aggressively enter any new country
call for twitter / x to ban account of a democrat politician
have the DOJ "classify educators and public librarians" who discuss "transgender ideology" with minors as "sex offenders." as per project 2025
issue circulation coin or bill with his image or pass laws to do that in the near future
ten or more protestors killed during term
Remove tax exempt status from one or more universities
Privatize the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program
Mandate teaching Arabic numerals in East (American) Samoan schools
Raise the retirement age for social security
closes 1 or more national parks (63 as of question creation)
order the arrest of a governor by name even if it does not happen
Airstrikes or bombs Mexican territory (drone artillery etc count)
Lessen child labor regulations to allow "teenage workers" to work "inherently dangerous jobs". (DoL)
Accept a gift of an airplane to *himself personally* (not a gift to the US government)
Nominate a family member to high office
Appoint a crony, such as Bondi, or his personal lawyers, to SCOTUS
have FBI DOJ or other agency charge a congressperson with treason
Orders an agency under federal control to arrest a congressperson
Closes or makes radical ideological changes to The National Museum of African American History and Culture
get ukraine to agree to give up ALL of the donbas AND crimea to russia
Call for the end of the Senate
Weaken regulations on baby formula as per project 2025
Sunset the Office of Accountability and Whistleblower Protection (Veteran Affairs)
Gets angry with Putin and renews (also indirect) nuclear threat.
add a new federal holiday in his honor
have a journalist arrested
Order the arrest of a sitting member of congress
Have USA test a nuclear bomb anywhere
Postpone the elections due to emergency
Trump will pardon those involved before the sentencing - medical fraud schemes
Actually privatizes at least part of the USPO
call someone a pedophile explicitely by name through text or speech
remove a major non NATO ally from the current list
Pardon a convicted pedophile
End congressional review of arms transfers to foreign countries (DoD)
host putin at mar a lago
Pardons someone acting as a private citizen for an act in support of immigration enforcement (not an on duty officer)
Salute Putin
Enforce the Comstock Act at least once
Raise contribution limits (FEC)
federalize a city or area currently under control of another state (not DC)
force a census to happen when it normally wouldnt
complete 90% of project 2025 as reported by project2025.observer
postpones or cancels 2026 senate elections in at least one state
Announce he’s running for a third term
repeal the federal mandate to label genetically engineered food (as per project 2025)
Eliminate ACA's requirement to cover the morning after pill
department of defense renamed to Dept of war
Get rid of Noaa.
force a former president to testify before Congress
appoint a family member to lead any federal agency
Impose time-limits on how long low-income people can receive Medicaid in their lifetime
Kidnap *another* head of state (after Maduro)
enact special taxes or tariffs on a subset of states he does not like
Military against drug cartells on venezuelas ground
Deploy US troops into any of 83 Federal subjects of Russian Federation (or announce that)
Eliminate the Federal Reserve mission of full employment
Call for the banning of HRT (hormone replacement therapy)
revoke broadcasting licenses of a media company he does not like
Deports at least one Olympic athlete during the 2028 Summer Olympics
Implement a federal age of consent
Remove all federal funding for SNAP/food stamps
Gets influence on Gaza strip to make investment deals with real estate or buys land.
Uses the US military or National Guard to prevent at least one legal voter from casting a ballot during 2028 election
federally mandate ten commandments or Bible in classrooms
All 10 of the 10 largest protests in the USA happen under trump
repeal the Federal Sugar program (USDA) as suggested by project 2025
Eliminate the DHS Office of Intelligence and Analysis
repeal Obamacare
pardon derek chauvin
admin stops reccomending fluorinated water entirely
Add a citizenship question to the census
confiscate 1 million or more from an individual Congress person
debank a congressperson governor or mayor
Enact price controls on groceries
announce that a part of Canada belongs to the USA
expand the supreme Court and appoint someone new
Prohibit use of aborted fetal cells in research for new medical applications as per project 2025
Threatening to attack a US defence pact ally (e.g. NATO, Rio Pact etc.) with nuclear weapons
actually disinter bodies from another country
Call for the end of child marriage
Four or more protestors/bystanders killed by national guard/military in one day
Gives Russia access to a non-public frontier AI model
stops all sanctions on Russia
Repeal of the Antiquities Act of 1906
change it so that presidents can serve 3 or more terms again
orders arrests of any Biden family member
delete Juneteenth as a federal holiday
Prosecute someone for flag burning
His name is on the ballot for the 2028 Republican primaries in any state/territory
cause Fox, nbc CNN MSNBC or another main news channel to shut down
Require all schools that receive federal funding to give students the military entrance test.
Pass a federal "Parents' Bill of Rights" with regard to Education
Remove all unions in the Dept. of Homeland Security
Prevent the VA from covering abortion services
Replace his Vice President
Call for the default of the United States sovereign debt
Causes derek chauvin's early release
declare he has officially undone a past presidential pardon
Eliminate the Office of Children’s Health Protection
cancel the 2028 election / it doesnt happen for any reason
Does Nazi / Roman salute with same passion as Elon's gesture
Calls himself a dictator or unambiguous synonym (without equivocating)
Bans / restricts guns for trans people (or tries to)
Attack a NATO ally.
Eliminate the Office of Enforcement and Compliance Assistance (EPA)
expand the borders of the usa
remove tax exempt from only certain religions
have a supreme court justice impeached and/or removed
threaten to disinter bodies from another country
all time high unemployment reached
Mandate time-and-a-half compensation on a Sabbath (project 2025 request)
fauci in jail at least one week
take control of a part of ukraine
pardon george santos
take state ownership in an airline
Withdraw from NATO
Call for the death penalty of any former president by name
Repeal the Global Change Research Act of 1990
Eliminate the U.S. Trade and Development Agency
ban trans people from holding federal offices
changes the logo or name of a previously offensive sport team (pressures until they actually do it)
change or add a face on Mount Rushmore
Annex any part of Mexico
ends black history month
Eliminate the DOE Loan Program
Delist the grizzly bear AND gray wolf from the Endangered Species Act
take control of a part of greenland
ban all new incoming students from china and/or india
Four or more protestors (or bystanders) killed by national guard
Call for the end of gay marriage
Fully or partially privatize Social Security
Detonates a nuclear weapon as an act of war
Call for the end of the House of Reps
Pardon p diddy
Wind down and privatize Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac
Call for the assassination of the leader of an allied nation
Call for the abolition of the voting rights act or the 15th amendment
breaks ground on a trump building in Gaza
fully nationalize an airline
New restrictions on SSRIs (including a ban)
Pardon ghislaine maxwell
stop California from hosting the Olympics
Deports all the athletes of at least one nation during the 2028 Summer Olympics
Deports at least one athlete during the 2026 FIFA World Cup
declares a white history month
Implement a federal abortion ban
make statements that are negative about labubu
Eliminate all administrative proceedings within the SEC
confiscate 1 million or more from the Democratic party itself
Dissolve/shut down/abolish NASA
change the borders of a state
breaks ground on a trump building in Russia
repeal an amendment
Sides with Putin because he has compromising information against Trump regarding the Epstein files.
give sell or otherwise transfer a part of Alaska to Russia
Ban construction of new windmills in the USA for power generation
enter a mutual defense partnership with russia or north korea
add a new state
After the ballroom he starts building a palace for the future Trump-Monarchy
Call for the end of interracial marriage
Abolish the Federal Reserve and move to a "free banking" system
Deports all the athletes of at least one nation during the 2026 FIFA World Cup
Kidnap the Pope
bans anime
Wearing a white dress after labor day
Dept of defense renamed to dept of peace
bans 6 7
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OptionProbability
Gunplay
On screen fatalities
Bond will be a man
Bond drives a car
Urban scene
Bond wears a suit/tuxedo
London will appear on screen
World capital other than London appears on screen
Car chase scene
Bond tells ≥1 joke
Bond introduces himself as "Bond, James Bond"
A vessel is shown on screen containing any of the following: ketchup, mustard, wasabi, soy sauce, hot sauce, beer, wine, whiskey, cologne, or sulfuric acid.
A named character speaks in a language other than English
Bond will attend a gala, soirée, ball, banquet, masquerade, black-tie event, cocktail party, fundraiser, awards ceremony, premiere, reception, or a charity auction.
Bond drinks a martini
Runtime of at least 2 hours/120 minutes.
Female and/or BIPOC director and/or producer
Blue-eyed Bond
Opening action sequence
The Tower of London, Big Ben, Buckingham Palace, Wembley, or Heathrow appears on screen.
Gun Barrel Sequence
Sex scene
Q appears
Bond solves ≥ 1 problem non-violently
Hacking electronics of some form
Bond uses explosives
The plot will be predominantly set in present day
Bond disarms someone with a melee weapon using martial arts
The main theme song will be sung by a female
The film features a scene at a UNESCO World Heritage Site.
Fatal-if-missed aerial jump
A Bird (Avian) Will Appear Onscreen for >2 Seconds
Bond will shoot an inanimate object on purpose.
Asia will appear on screen
It will gross more worldwide than No Time to Die ($774M)
Someone goes through a pane of glass
A named character is a double (or triple, etc.) agent
"King" or "Queen" of England mentioned
Bond is on vacation (is shown somewhere for enjoyment, without purpose for his mission)
Someone in the movie says the title
@HenriThunberg enjoys the film
The villain will use or work in the field of artificial intelligence.
>= 7.0 IMDB rating 1 year after release
The villain is played by an actor who had a lead or recurring role on a prestigious television series that aired on either AMC or HBO.
Actor who plays Bond at least 6' (183 cm) tall
South America, Africa, or Australia will appear on screen
The words "James Bond will return" appear on screen during or after the credits.
Bond rides a motorcycle
James Bond disobeys orders from MI6 or the British government
Bond and a pond shown on screen together
Someone uses a euphemism to order a killing
Critics will say it's a return to classic bond
A sniper rifle is fired
At least a portion filmed in Canada
There will be a scene with wagering, gambling or betting
Bond wields a Walther PPK
Interracial sex scene
Pegasus, Phoenix, Griffin, Unicorn, Kraken, Minotaur, Medusa, Cyclops, Sphinx, Kitsune, Chimera, or Thunderbird (any visual representation)
Jungle / forest scene
>=85 on Tomatometer 1 month after US release
Bond flys an aircraft
It will feature ≥1 actor that was part of No Time to Die
Bond attends a soccer match, cricket game, rugby match, boxing/MMA fight, tennis match, e-sport event, the Olympics, a carnival or fair, the opera, or a horse race.
Casino game scene
Bond parachutes
Bond wears shorts
Bond pays for something by leaving money on a table and walking off without the recipient of the money present
>=7.5 on IMDB 1 month after US release
Arctic scene
Bond gets slapped
M will be played by Ralph Fiennes
Prison/jail scene
Black market trafficking
A single large explosion occurs on screen at the same time as Bond, and he doesn't look at it
Someone climbs around on the outside of a building
Released in 2028
The main character will order a “Vodka Martini, shaken, not stirred” using that exact phrase.
A Gulf kingdom will appear on screen (e.g. Dubai)
Bond licks something
It passes the Bechdel test (two named women talk the each other about anything besides a man)
someone combs or brushes their hair (or the hair of another person)
Bond in bondage (not necessarily sexual)
Bond slaps someone
A scene shows James Bond naked
Skydiving
Bond puts something phallic-shaped in his mouth
Bond is violent toward a woman (e.g. painful pulling, slap, throat grip...)
Someone speaks a verbal password phrase to verify their identity, gain access to a location, etc.
There will be a voiced character that is an AI
Bond rides a bicycle
Torture
James Bond talks to a woman while playing a card game.
A visible countdown clock, which if it reaches zero something bad happens
@brunoparga correctly guesses a pun beforehand
Bond plays craps, roulette, or blackjack
Bond drives a boat
A jet ski or snowmobile gets airborne
Someone is shot with a tranquilizer dart or other nonlethal incapacitating projectile (getting wounded with a potentially lethal weapon doesn't count)
Bond commits arson
Bond receives a gunshot wound
Oral sex
The ending pitches a next movie (continued story, introduction of villain, venegance, ...)
Bond will have a hot, young, American sidekick
Bond smokes a cigarette/cigar
Martini and a bikini shown on screen at the same time
Bond has facial hair
Terrorists
Main villain has a visible physical defect (scar, handicap, missing limb, ...)
US premier date is moved forward at least once (has to be numbered date, "summer 2026" doesn't count)
Someone carries a gun disassembled in a nondescript case
The title will refer to life and/or death
A safe is cracked (any means possible)
Actor who plays Bond is a US citizen
Rolex, Aston Martin, Bollinger Champaign product placements (all three)
Desert scene
A pandemic or biological warfare will be a central plot
Ski chase scene
Drug use
Someone/something is x-rayed
Thunderstorm
Dessert scene
An actor who previous played a Bond villain appears (as either a new or recurring character)
President of the United States is mentioned
IF the main villain has a pet that plays a significant role in the plot, this pet is a horse...
Robots
Death of a Bond love interest
James Bond plays poker
It refers to the transition between two British monarchs (Elizabeth, Charles and/or others)
There will be a promotional event in Fortnite
Bond wears a mask
Sharks
Wilhelm scream
Cocaine or caviar appears on screen
Bond will be in a submarine
James Bond plays baccarat
Scene with Bond wearing a hat and sunglasses
Bond complains about the quality of an alcoholic beverage
Bond is LQBTQ+
James games (Bond plays any video game, table top board game, or role-playing game) *chess counts, casino games don't
Bond has a disability
Bond claims to have retired / quit from the world of espionage
Theme song will be performed by a band (more than one artist. Duran Duran did it, so there is precedent.)
Jetpack
Tom Hardy, Cillian Murphy, or Zendaya appear on screen
Bond rides an animal
Nazis (neo- counts)
An EMP device plays a central role.
At least one named character below 18 years old
Canada is shown on screen
Bond throws food, darts, or a Molotov cocktail
Orgy
Moscow, Kyiv, or Paris shown on screen
Underwater combat
The movie will be set during the Cold War (1947-1991)
Main villain speaks Russian on screen
The word "fuck" is said more than once.
Mexico is shown on screen
Cryptocurrency is referenced
With all this speculation about which kinds of sex acts will be shown, I'm surprised nobody has said it yet, so I'll say it: 𝕓𝕠𝕟𝕕𝕒𝕘𝕖
Bond beds a "lady of the night" (ie. He fucks a prostitute)
Bond is blond
A hamburger appears on screen
Assplay
Trans character - explicity stated they are trans, no ambiguity (must be on screen for min. 7 seconds and say at least 3 words)
Climate change/global warming is explicitly mentioned
Bond uses a VR headset
Bond has a neck tattoo
Will feature something that can turn invisible
Bond goes to space
Revealed that "James Bond" has always been a code name.
A pinball machine will appear.
Gay sex scene
The main villain has a pet that plays a significant role in the plot.
Party and play (PnP), also known as chemsex, scene
Someone sees something incredible, and implicitly ascribes it to alcohol (traditionally, by looking at the bottle)
Pirates
Bond plays golf, tennis, or croquet
A character has the codename "Fat Rascal"
Someone asks for payment in "small, unmarked bills" or "negotiable bearer bonds" (wording need not be exact)
San Francisco is shown on screen
Pegging
Bond plays Russian roulette
Another character coincidentally has the first name "James" or surname "Bond" (or both)
Horse cock on screen (flaccid)
Someone uses the word "clip" to refer to a magazine
Satanism
Bond consumes more than 1.5 loads of jizz
A clocks shows the time 4:20
Features a shot with someone lowering a newspaper, magazine or book, revealing they had been surreptitiously spying on someone
It will be described as featuring AI, such as claims that is uses “AI actors”, as reported by entertainment media.
Feature Nightcore music
Bond uses chopsticks
Theme song is performed by Taylor Swift
Supernatural entities
There will be a character codenamed "Fat Rascal" and they will be played by an American
Nuclear explosion
Desert dessert scene (e.g. eating an ice cream in the Sahara)
Any character says the word "anime"
Emilia Clarke portrays a character
Bond has a mustache (no other facial hair)
Vampires
Theme song is performed by The Weeknd
fight featuring at least one of: viper, mongoose, someone with one of those as their code name
Bond vapes
Bond won't be Caucasian
The main character will order a “café mocha, double double” using that exact phrase.
Aaron Taylor-Johnson plays Bond
A previous Bond actor appears (as either a new or recurring character)
Scat play
Bond does depraved sexual acts for money (e.g., bukakke, public gang bangs, period play, etc.)
Contains a joke or indirect reference to the "last night I Bond Burgered your sister" meme
Horse cock on screen (erect)
Prediction markets, origami, or the word "manifold" appear in the movie.
Bond will say the line about snakes on a plane, but only as a metaphor (with snakes representing penises and the plane being his ass).
The handkerchief code is a major plot element
James Bond will say, "I'm rational, rationalussy."
ChatGPT is referenced by any character
It will be directed by a woman
Bond dies
Bond plays League of Legends
Destiny appears on screen
Bond says, “Enough is enough! I have had it with these motherfucking snakes on this motherfucking plane!”
The fourth wall is broken
Dragons
Dinosaurs
It will be directed by Christopher Nolan
Bond is vegan
Released in 2026
Bond hits the griddy
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1
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OptionProbability
Everton beat Coventry City (Fri 06 Nov at 20:00 UK)
Leeds United beat Tottenham Hotspur (Sat 07 Nov at 12:30 UK)
Arsenal beat Hull City (Sat 07 Nov at 15:00 UK)
Brighton & Hove Albion beat Brentford (Sun 08 Nov at 14:00 UK)
Manchester United beat Aston Villa (Sun 08 Nov at 16:30 UK)
Sunderland beat Chelsea (Sun 08 Nov at 14:00 UK)
Ipswich Town beat AFC Bournemouth (Sun 08 Nov at 14:00 UK)
Nottingham Forest beat Manchester City (Sat 07 Nov at 17:30 UK)
Crystal Palace beat Liverpool (Sun 08 Nov at 14:00 UK)
Fulham beat Newcastle United (Sat 07 Nov at 15:00 UK)
100
99
99
52
44
25
24
19
17
1
OptionProbability
Liverpool
Draw
Crystal Palace
62
22
16
OptionProbability
Hull City
Coventry City
Sunderland
Manchester City
Ipswich Town
Crystal Palace
Fulham
Nottingham Forest
Newcastle United
Manchester United
Leeds United
Bournemouth
Everton
Aston Villa
Tottenham Hotspur
Brentford
Brighton and Hove Albion
Chelsea
Arsenal
Liverpool
56
46
44
35
33
32
18
15
14
11
9
6
6
5
5
3
3
2
1
1
OptionProbability
Enzo Maresca (Man City)
Xabi Alonso (Chelsea)
Andoni Iraola (Liverpool)
Oliver Glasner (Nottingham Forest)
Roberto De Zerbi (Tottenham)
Matthias Jaissle (Newcastle)
Pierre Sage (Crystal Palace)
80
79
77
68
62
43
39
OptionProbability
Hull City - 25.5 Points
Brighton - 53.5 Points
Arsenal - 79.5 Points
Liverpool - 71.5 Points
Brentford - 48.5 Points
Bournemouth - 48.5 Points
Everton - 48.5 Points
Chelsea - 70.5 Points
Aston Villa - 56.5 Points
Ipswich Town - 33.5 Points
Tottenham Hotspur - 62.5 Points
Manchester City - 75.5 Points
Newcastle United - 51.5 Points
Leeds United - 48.5 Points
Fulham - 44.5 Points
Manchester United - 68.5 Points
Nottingham Forest - 48.5 Points
Crystal Palace - 44.5 Points
Sunderland - 42.5 Points
Coventry City - 34.5 Points
69
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58
56
55
52
52
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49
48
48
45
44
44
44
41
38
37
OptionVotes
YES
NO
1439
947
OptionVotes
YES
NO
527
19
OptionProbability
The Incident at Galley House
The Artisan of Glimmith
Super Sudokoid: Dark Inversion
Sudokuvania 2: Lineage of Logic
Desktop Explorer
TR-49
Sokogram
Big Walk
Cursed Words
Pronoun Palace
62
53
43
43
43
43
35
29
29
29
OptionVotes
NO
YES
110
94




