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Top stories

France’s Lombard Sticks to 5.4% Deficit Goal, Downplays IMF Risk

France’s Lombard Sticks to 5.4% Deficit Goal, Downplays IMF Risk

Authors

16

3 months ago

Kenya Marks 15 Years of 2010 Charter Amid Fresh Calls to Close Gender Gap

Kenya Marks 15 Years of 2010 Charter Amid Fresh Calls to Close Gender Gap

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3

3 months ago

Kenya Treasury Defies Parliament, Insists on E-Procurement as Sh250bn Projects Stall

Kenya Treasury Defies Parliament, Insists on E-Procurement as Sh250bn Projects Stall

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3

3 months ago

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4

3 months ago

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5

3 months ago

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3

3 months ago

Group Captain Shubhanshu Shukla of Axiom-4 Meets PM Modi, President; Modi Highlights National Space Day, Chandrayaan-3, Amid Parliament Debate on 130th Amendment Bill

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4 months ago

Home Minister Amit Shah Introduces Three Bills Amid Opposition Protests in Least Productive 2025 Monsoon Session

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Prediction markets for Parliament

Will The Startup Party get more seats in Parliament after the next general election than Reform UK will?

Jul 21, 1:09 PMAug 16, 10:59 PM

1%chance

2123287

OptionVotes

YES

NO

9950

101

Will the Sweden Democrats increase their share in parliament in the Swedish 2026 general election?

Mar 30, 2:48 AMSep 21, 3:59 AM

48%chance

262923

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1075

914

Will transnational lists be implemented for the European Parliament elections in 2029?

May 18, 3:50 PMJun 25, 9:59 PM

30.67%chance

122156

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1504

665

Will a new party be elected to NZ Parliament by 2030?

Nov 6, 10:25 AMDec 31, 11:00 AM

24.12%chance

232071

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1231

856

Will the European Parliament pass a no-confidence vote against the Commission during the 2024-2029 legislative period?

May 19, 3:12 PMJun 25, 9:59 PM

10.19%chance

52021

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2969

337

Will the UK Government move to restrict access to VPNs this Parliament?

Aug 20, 5:26 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

25.49%chance

91006

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1709

585

Will Polish parliament equalize the retirement age for men and women before 2030?

Jan 27, 12:27 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

34.01%chance

17902

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1435

666

Will Elon Musk testify before the British Parliament before 2026?

Nov 21, 1:19 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

1.54%chance

8844

OptionVotes

YES

NO

800

13

Which two parties will get the most seats in Parliament following the next UK general election after 2025?

Oct 23, 7:36 AMJan 24, 7:35 AM

10478

OptionProbability

Labour, Reform

Liberal Democrats, Reform

Green, Reform

Other

Conservatives, Reform

Labour, Conservatives

50

28

9

7

4

2

Will a political party aligned with the Effective Altruism movement hold 1+ seats in any nation's parliament by 2030?

Jan 13, 12:27 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

21.5%chance

20465

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1174

911

Will independence supporting parties maintain a majority in the next Scottish Parliament Election?

Aug 18, 8:15 AMJun 1, 10:59 PM

43.14%chance

12401

OptionVotes

YES

NO

150

111

Will Polish parliament raise the retirement age before 2030?

Jan 27, 12:34 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

73.26%chance

10157

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1008

989

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