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Top stories

Communist Party of China Membership Surpasses 100 Million With 1.09 Million Increase Ahead of 104th Anniversary

Communist Party of China Membership Surpasses 100 Million With 1.09 Million Increase Ahead of 104th Anniversary

Authors

41

1 month ago

Prediction markets for Party

Will Elon Musk create a political party in 2025?

Jun 5, 6:11 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

41.56%chance

997668904

OptionVotes

YES

NO

11598

9066

Will Elon musk form a new political party

Jul 1, 1:46 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

35%chance

293366333

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1363

734

What party will hold the House of Representatives after the 2026 midterms

Dec 12, 2:00 PMNov 15, 4:59 AM

89103754

OptionProbability

Democrats

Republicans

81

19

Are Republicans or Democrats better for the economy? [Annual GDP growth by presidential party]

Jul 9, 4:05 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

2974768

OptionProbability

Republican president, <2%

Republican president, >= 2%, <3%

Republican president, >=4%

Republican president, >= 3%, <4%

Democrat president, <2%

Democrat president, >= 2%, <3%

Democrat president, >= 3%, <4%

Democrat president, >=4%

28

27

21

20

1

1

1

1

Who will be the two major party nominees of the 2028 United States Presidential Election? (resolves 50% each)

Aug 13, 7:26 PMAug 26, 10:59 PM

15770618

OptionProbability

Other

JD Vance (Vice President)

Gavin Newsom (California Governor)

Josh Shapiro (Pennsylvania Governor)

Donald J. Trump (45th & 47th President)

Pete Buttigieg (Biden Secretary of Transportation)

Kamala Harris (Vice President)

Tim Walz (Minnesota Governor)

Gretchen Whitmer (Michigan Governor)

Michelle Obama (First Lady)

Andy Beshear (Kentucky Governor)

Donald Trump Jr.

Ron Desantis (Florida Governor)

Nikki Haley (South Carolina Governor)

Glenn Youngkin (Virginia Governor)

Mark Cuban

Wes Moore (Maryland Governor)

Greg Abbot (Texas Governor)

Jon Ossoff (Georgia Senator)

Mark Kelly (Arizona Senator)

Roy Cooper (North Carolina Governor)

John Fetterman (Pennsylvania Senator)

31

24

7

6

5

5

2

2

2

2

2

2

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

Which party wins 2028 election?

Aug 1, 7:53 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

7223143

OptionProbability

Democratic

Republican

60

40

Will the Democratic Party Nominee for 2028 be a woman?

Dec 29, 11:52 AMNov 1, 11:59 PM

25.15%chance

6612747

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1385

819

Which party will the winner of the 2028 US Presidential Election be from?

Feb 6, 3:39 AMNov 13, 1:59 PM

516200

OptionProbability

Democratic Party

Republican Party

Other

58

41

1

What will be the party of the next President of the United States?

Oct 15, 6:37 PMFeb 1, 4:59 AM

163999

OptionProbability

Democrat

Republican

Other

54

44

1

The winner of the 2028 U.S. presidential election will be the nominee of which party?

Mar 16, 3:17 PMJan 7, 12:00 AM

221901

OptionProbability

Democratic Party

Republican Party

Other

Libertarian Party

Green Party

Independent Candidate/Write-in

58

40

1

0

0

0

Regardless of elections, will actual control of the White House switch parties in January 2029?

Jul 20, 8:28 PMFeb 2, 5:59 AM

53.96%chance

151698

OptionVotes

YES

NO

10382

9514

Will the Conservative and Reform parties merge or closely cooperate before the end of the next election?

Jul 11, 12:24 PMJan 18, 11:59 PM

33.02%chance

181605

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2890

1359

Latest stories

Latest stories

Jul 1, 2025
Jul 1, 2025
China
Politics
World
Communist Party of China Membership Surpasses 100 Million With 1.09 Million Increase Ahead of 104th Anniversary
Authors
41
1 month ago

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