Pew Research News

InsiderAdvantage Poll Puts Trump Approval at 54%, Highest This Year

9 months ago

Trump Approval Rating Falls to 38% with 60% Disapproval, Declines Most Among 18-29 Age Group and Minorities in August Pew Survey

9 months ago

Publishers Brace for ‘Google Zero’ as AI Overviews Drain Web Traffic

Economics

Software

AI Products

Publishers Brace for ‘Google Zero’ as AI Overviews Drain Web Traffic

8 months ago

US Elections

Epstein Files

Politics

Epstein Interest Drops 89%, Less Than 1% See It as Top Issue; Trump Approval Holds at 38% Amid 70% Disapproval of Epstein Handling

9 months ago

Will there be more than 100K AI successionists globally by Nov 7, 2028?

Apr 28, 4:20 AMNov 7, 11:59 PM

26.43%chance

1518900

OptionVotes

YES

1669

599

Will the percentage of U.S. adults identifying as Christian in the U.S. drop below 60% by the end of 2026?

Apr 13, 8:53 PMJan 1, 10:59 AM

19.29%chance

555029

OptionVotes

YES

2015

243

More than 70% of U.S. population believe Trump is too old to be president by EOY 2026

Jan 22, 8:36 AMDec 31, 12:00 AM

37.87%chance

251927

OptionVotes

YES

1281

781

Will a romantic relationship with an AI chatbot comprise 25% of all relationships within the USA before the year 2030?

Aug 28, 10:35 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

11.66%chance

241443

OptionVotes

YES

1414

896

By what year will 30% of Republicans say global climate change is a major threat to the US?

Mar 4, 1:55 AMMar 2, 4:59 AM

9513

OptionProbability

not by 2030

by 2030

by 2028

by 2026

Will pet ownership decline in the US from 2023 to 2025-2026?

May 3, 12:09 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

9.23%chance

4218

OptionVotes

YES

314

In 2025-26, what percentage of US Republicans will prioritize increased security along the US-Mexico border?

Feb 12, 2:05 PMJun 2, 3:59 AM

71.97%chance

598

OptionVotes

YES

125

Conditional on Nevada voting No on Question 3 in 2024, what will turnout be in their next primary elections?

Dec 21, 7:44 AMDec 31, 8:00 PM

32.2%chance

497

OptionVotes

YES

105

102

Will MAGA represent more than 20% of the electorate after January 2029?

Mar 13, 10:36 PMJan 31, 11:59 PM

27.01%chance

493

OptionVotes

YES

164

In 2025-26, what percentage of US Democrats will prioritize increased security along the US-Mexico border?

Feb 12, 2:03 PMJun 2, 3:59 AM

22.48%chance

355

OptionVotes

YES

145

If a Democrat wins the Presidency while losing the popular vote, will Republicans turn against the Electoral College?

Feb 21, 3:34 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

59.33%chance

646

OptionVotes

YES

157

107

[poll/stock - never resolves] How do Americans view Donald Trump’s political rhetoric (independent of politics)?

Dec 29, 7:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

211

OptionProbability

Negative

Positive

Agnostic/Neutral

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Prediction markets for Pew Research

Will there be more than 100K AI successionists globally by Nov 7, 2028?

Will the percentage of U.S. adults identifying as Christian in the U.S. drop below 60% by the end of 2026?

More than 70% of U.S. population believe Trump is too old to be president by EOY 2026

Will a romantic relationship with an AI chatbot comprise 25% of all relationships within the USA before the year 2030?

By what year will 30% of Republicans say global climate change is a major threat to the US?

Will pet ownership decline in the US from 2023 to 2025-2026?

In 2025-26, what percentage of US Republicans will prioritize increased security along the US-Mexico border?

Conditional on Nevada voting No on Question 3 in 2024, what will turnout be in their next primary elections?

Will MAGA represent more than 20% of the electorate after January 2029?

In 2025-26, what percentage of US Democrats will prioritize increased security along the US-Mexico border?

If a Democrat wins the Presidency while losing the popular vote, will Republicans turn against the Electoral College?

[poll/stock - never resolves] How do Americans view Donald Trump’s political rhetoric (independent of politics)?

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