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Prediction markets for Pew
Will there be more than 100K AI successionists globally by Nov 7, 2028?
Apr 28, 4:20 AMNov 7, 11:59 PM
26.53%chance
1418546
OptionVotes
1664
601
Will the percentage of U.S. adults identifying as Christian in the U.S. drop below 60% by the end of 2026?
Apr 13, 8:53 PMJan 1, 10:59 AM
58.35%chance
441723
OptionVotes
1113
786
Will a romantic relationship with an AI chatbot comprise 25% of all relationships within the USA before the year 2030?
Aug 28, 10:35 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
12.12%chance
241393
OptionVotes
1364
903
More than 70% of U.S. population believe Trump is too old to be president by EOY 2026
Jan 22, 8:36 AMDec 31, 12:00 AM
42.26%chance
221322
OptionVotes
1169
856
At the beginning of 2027, will Americans like Sam Altman more than they like Mark Zuckerberg?
Apr 4, 5:59 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM
44.59%chance
321316
OptionVotes
1294
626
OptionProbability
115
101
OptionVotes
129
77
Will Pew Research’s moving average for, “Public Trust in Government”, fall below 11 percent in 2025?
Dec 18, 4:47 AMNov 2, 3:59 AM
17.5%chance
6154
OptionVotes
165
107
Will women make up at least 35% of Fortune 500 company board members in 2024-2025?
Feb 16, 4:06 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
15.66%chance
6141
OptionVotes
250
87
Will the share of US adults saying gender is determined by sex at birth be reported by Pew to have grown since 2022?
Feb 9, 4:14 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
78.21%chance
8114
OptionVotes
215
120
OptionProbability
46
22
16
12
5
In 2025-26, what percentage of US Republicans will prioritize increased security along the US-Mexico border?
Feb 12, 2:05 PMJun 2, 3:59 AM
71.97%chance
598
OptionVotes
125
96
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