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Top stories

Brazilian Senate Approves 'Projeto de Lei de Adultização' to Protect Children Online, Prohibits Bail for Pedophilia

Brazilian Senate Approves 'Projeto de Lei de Adultização' to Protect Children Online, Prohibits Bail for Pedophilia

Authors

8

7 months ago

São Paulo Police Arrest 22-Year-Old Cayo Lucas for Threatening YouTuber Felca, Linked to Child Exploitation; PL Leader Drops Immunity PEC

São Paulo Police Arrest 22-Year-Old Cayo Lucas for Threatening YouTuber Felca, Linked to Child Exploitation; PL Leader Drops Immunity PEC

Authors

5

7 months ago

Lula Leads 2026 Race with 34%; Bolsonaro Faces STF Review, House Arrest, and Divided Public Opinion

Authors

5

7 months ago

Prediction markets for PL

Will a large language model beat a super grandmaster playing chess by EOY 2028?

Feb 13, 4:17 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM

45%chance

21071877945

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4797

3929

In 2028, will an AI be able to play randomly selected computer games at human level without getting to practice?

Feb 20, 10:45 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

46%chance

547459947

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2969

2196

Will any spaceship exceed 10% of the speed of light relative to its planet of origin before 9999?

Jul 13, 5:38 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

82.14%chance

86132293

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2744

902

Will consumer AI platforms (ChatGPT, Claude, Perplexity, etc) face an ‘economic blackout’ protest against the US govt?

Jan 25, 8:48 PMJul 30, 10:59 PM

9.29%chance

7639546

OptionVotes

YES

NO

31241

3201

In 2028, will an AI be able to play randomly-selected computer games at human level, given the chance to train via self-play?

Feb 20, 10:42 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

65.4%chance

25635779

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2187

1991

Will a large language model beat a super grandmaster playing chess by EOY 2028?

Jun 19, 11:34 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

60%chance

8314832

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1225

816

Will Germany have a nuclear fission power plant again before fusion?

May 27, 7:34 PMMay 28, 7:19 PM

54.86%chance

252362

OptionVotes

NO

YES

11023

9072

Will Wrocław [PL] public transit implement AI-based flex routing or DRT by the end of 2035?

Sep 5, 6:50 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

39.16%chance

316

OptionVotes

YES

NO

124

99

Will Manchester City have the most Premier League titles (currently at 8 based on PL only) in 2101?

Sep 7, 7:06 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

47.56%chance

15

OptionVotes

YES

NO

105

95

Where will the 11th U.S. National Eucharistic Congress in 2029 take place?

Dec 12, 4:54 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

00

OptionProbability

Chicago, IL

New Orleans, LA

St. Louis, MO

Los Angeles, CA

Philadelphia, PA

Boston, MA

San Antonio, TX

Atlanta, GA

Denver, CO

Dallas, TX

Other (Comment below for which city - may add to the list)

Other

8

8

8

8

8

8

8

8

8

8

8

8

How long will it be until Candace Owen’s releases the Egyptian plane timeline? (From time of post)

Jan 28, 1:19 AMJan 1, 1:19 AM

00

OptionProbability

0-9 Days

10-49 Days

50-99 Days

100+ Days

25

25

25

25

Where will the Athletics MLB team play their home games in 2028?

Jun 22, 11:13 PMApr 1, 10:59 PM

00

OptionProbability

Las Vegas (including Paradise)

Sacramento (including West Sacramento)

Somewhere within the San Francisco Bay Area

Somewhere else in California

Somewhere else outside California

20

20

20

20

20

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