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Prediction markets for Progressive Conservative
OptionProbability
31
17
15
14
13
10
Will any American state start a transgender suppression program by 2033?
May 3, 5:03 PMJan 3, 10:59 PM
44.78%chance
473044
OptionVotes
984
961
OptionVotes
1046
956
If this party has the most or second most seats after the next UK general election, will they have the most?
Apr 20, 2:40 PMAug 14, 11:00 PM
7233
OptionProbability
55
50
34
10
10
Will any american left-wing pro democracy and pro science organizations be shut down before 2050?
Sep 10, 11:54 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
38.26%chance
12169
OptionVotes
127
79
Will a frontier AI lab publish recurring governance metrics with capability benchmarks in one document by 2026-12-31?
Jul 16, 1:51 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
50%chance
124
OptionVotes
124
67
[poll/stock - never resolves] How do Americans view Donald Trump’s political rhetoric (independent of politics)?
Dec 29, 7:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
321
OptionProbability
38
31
31
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