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Top stories

Lyon, Nice and Lille Draw Europa League Opponents for 2025-26

Lyon, Nice and Lille Draw Europa League Opponents for 2025-26

Authors

3

11 months ago

Prediction markets for Roma

Will Andrew Tate be found guilty of human (sex) trafficking in Romania?

Dec 30, 3:16 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

47.81%chance

34782796726

OptionVotes

YES

NO

10702

8831

In 2028, will at least 350,000 Americans (1/1000) be talking at least weekly to an AI they consider a romantic companion?

Feb 20, 10:56 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

89%chance

526216209

OptionVotes

NO

YES

12091

5829

In 2028, will an AI be able to write poetry indistinguishable from that of a great Romantic poet?

Feb 20, 10:53 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

45%chance

23565646

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2795

498

Tontine

Sep 22, 1:25 AMJan 18, 4:59 AM

3926922

OptionProbability

@Joshua

@Gabrielle

@dreev

@Lorxus

@Anthem

@jgyou aka JGY

@roma

@jcb

@WilliamEhlhardt

@brubsby (NO)

@tfae

@jskf

@bohaska

@DylanSlagh

@AlexbGoode (NO)

@AnthonyPeterson (NO)

@tiswtr (NO)

@snoozingnewt (NO)

@case (NO)

@Nikos (NO)

@Primer

@Ernie

Other

@JoshuaB (NO)

@dylanslagh [dup]

@firstuserhere (NO)

@ArkPoint (NO)

@vansh (NO)

@Charlie (NO)

@CamillePerrin (NO)

@SeraphinaNix (NO)

32

25

8

5

5

3

3

2

2

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Will the Roman Catholic Church permit the ordination of female priests by 2050?

Apr 27, 8:40 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

21.33%chance

497835

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1829

1678

Jordan Peterson becomes a Roman Catholic (ends 2030)

Aug 15, 2:24 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

24.33%chance

101412

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1764

567

Roman Catholic Church decides damnation is not eternal (market ends 2040)

Jul 29, 11:39 PMAug 6, 3:59 AM

28.67%chance

12826

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1577

634

Brazil Election 2026: Who will be Flavio Bolsonaro running mate?

Apr 11, 4:04 AMOct 4, 8:00 AM

5476

OptionProbability

Tereza Cristina

Roberta Roma

Simone Marquetto

Romeu Zema

7

7

6

1

Will the Roman Empire make a comeback until EOY 4000?

Feb 9, 12:55 PMJan 1, 12:00 AM

31.48%chance

18357

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1063

957

Great Hwan Empire or Proto-Finnic Holy Roman Khaganate reformation attempt?

Jul 8, 3:45 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM

45%chance

4230

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1106

905

Will the definitive function/purpose of the Roman Dodecahedron be identified before March 6th, 2035?

Mar 6, 5:20 PMMar 7, 6:59 AM

45.8%chance

5122

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1093

924

Will "The Value Proposition of Romantic Relationships" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Jun 3, 2:47 AMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

14%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1000

1000

Latest stories

Latest stories

Aug 29, 2025
Aug 29, 2025
France
Soccer
Sports
Lyon, Nice and Lille Draw Europa League Opponents for 2025-26
Authors
3
11 months ago

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