Roma News
Top stories
Prediction markets for Roma
Will Andrew Tate be found guilty of human (sex) trafficking in Romania?
Dec 30, 3:16 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM
47.13%chance
34822801045
OptionVotes
10841
8706
In 2028, will at least 350,000 Americans (1/1000) be talking at least weekly to an AI they consider a romantic companion?
Feb 20, 10:56 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
88.71%chance
526216469
OptionVotes
11814
5864
In 2028, will an AI be able to write poetry indistinguishable from that of a great Romantic poet?
Feb 20, 10:53 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
49.84%chance
23968851
OptionVotes
2700
584
OptionProbability
32
25
12
5
4
3
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Will the Roman Catholic Church permit the ordination of female priests by 2050?
Apr 27, 8:40 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
21.33%chance
497835
OptionVotes
1829
1678
OptionProbability
50
20
18
5
3
3
2
OptionProbability
52
11
11
11
9
6
Roman Catholic Church decides damnation is not eternal (market ends 2040)
Jul 29, 11:39 PMAug 6, 3:59 AM
28.67%chance
12826
OptionVotes
1577
634
Will the Roman Empire make a comeback until EOY 4000?
Feb 9, 12:55 PMJan 1, 12:00 AM
26.15%chance
20583
OptionVotes
1263
877
Great Hwan Empire or Proto-Finnic Holy Roman Khaganate reformation attempt?
Jul 8, 3:45 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM
45%chance
4230
OptionVotes
1106
905
Will the definitive function/purpose of the Roman Dodecahedron be identified before March 6th, 2035?
Mar 6, 5:20 PMMar 7, 6:59 AM
45.8%chance
5122
OptionVotes
1093
924
Will "The Value Proposition of Romantic Relationships" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
Jun 3, 2:47 AMFeb 1, 12:00 AM
14%chance
00
OptionVotes
1000
1000