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ASEAN Secretary-General Kao Kim Hourn Highlights India Ties, Security, and Economic Cooperation at Australia-ASEAN Business Forum 2025

3 months ago

Will the OpenAI Non-Profit become a major AI Safety research funder? (Announced by end of 2025)

Dec 28, 12:57 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

7.68%chance

2236231

OptionVotes

YES

34661

2885

If Trump is elected, will the shutdown of the US AI Safety Institute be announced in 2025?

Apr 22, 1:31 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

13.47%chance

5131182

OptionVotes

YES

23110

6062

I am an AI safety researcher with a background in machine learning engineering and neuroscience. Will I personally be able to program and train an AGI for less than $10k by 2030?

Dec 21, 8:35 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

20.49%chance

716636

OptionVotes

YES

1742

1335

Will there be a coherent AI safety movement with leaders and an agenda in May 2029?

May 23, 1:18 PMMay 31, 3:59 AM

78.52%chance

534606

OptionVotes

YES

1912

523

10. The first real AI safety incident will occur.

Dec 27, 8:26 AMJan 3, 10:59 PM

28.29%chance

213651

OptionVotes

YES

1592

628

If Trump wins, will the US AI Safety Institute receive an increase in Congressional appropriations for FY26?

Jun 30, 7:25 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

17.31%chance

163092

OptionVotes

YES

3237

737

Will the percentage of top graduates in math and CS at elite universities who aspire to AI safety work rise by May 2029?

May 23, 1:22 PMMay 31, 3:59 AM

78.35%chance

422502

OptionVotes

YES

1902

526

Will there be serious AI safety drama at Google or Deepmind before 2026?

Mar 20, 9:53 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

10%chance

342460

OptionVotes

YES

2784

176

Will someone be arrested for a felony offense committed in the name of AI safety in the US before 2026?

Mar 31, 9:48 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

10.47%chance

232028

OptionVotes

YES

2422

120

Will this issue with Rust's type safety be fixed before the release of edition 2027?

Sep 12, 1:14 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

65.19%chance

131082

OptionVotes

YES

1178

888

By 2028, will an AI safety evaluation become a mandatory requirement for autonomous vehicle manufacturers?

Jun 29, 5:53 PMDec 31, 6:29 AM

72.73%chance

16315

OptionVotes

YES

1078

959

Will an unaligned AI or an aligned AI controlled by a malicious actor create a "wake-up call" for humanity on AI safety?

Apr 7, 6:09 PMApr 7, 10:59 PM

68.84%chance

10141

OptionVotes

YES

1045

974

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Aug 25, 2025
Aug 25, 2025
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ASEAN Secretary-General Kao Kim Hourn Highlights India Ties, Security, and Economic Cooperation at Australia-ASEAN Business Forum 2025
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Will the OpenAI Non-Profit become a major AI Safety research funder? (Announced by end of 2025)

If Trump is elected, will the shutdown of the US AI Safety Institute be announced in 2025?

I am an AI safety researcher with a background in machine learning engineering and neuroscience. Will I personally be able to program and train an AGI for less than $10k by 2030?

Will there be a coherent AI safety movement with leaders and an agenda in May 2029?

10. The first real AI safety incident will occur.

If Trump wins, will the US AI Safety Institute receive an increase in Congressional appropriations for FY26?

Will the percentage of top graduates in math and CS at elite universities who aspire to AI safety work rise by May 2029?

Will there be serious AI safety drama at Google or Deepmind before 2026?

Will someone be arrested for a felony offense committed in the name of AI safety in the US before 2026?

Will this issue with Rust's type safety be fixed before the release of edition 2027?

By 2028, will an AI safety evaluation become a mandatory requirement for autonomous vehicle manufacturers?

Will an unaligned AI or an aligned AI controlled by a malicious actor create a "wake-up call" for humanity on AI safety?

Latest stories

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