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Prediction markets for SHA
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky win his $150,000 - $1,000 bet about UFOs not having a worldview-shattering origin?
Jul 21, 6:56 PMJul 19, 6:59 AM
95.72%chance
9869795392
OptionVotes
29212
8225
When will we know that any past UFO was really Aliens, or anything Worldview-Shattering?
Nov 23, 6:10 PMJan 1, 7:59 PM
103447144
OptionProbability
76
9
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
57
43
Will there be a >0 value liquidity event for me, a former Consensys Software Inc. employee, on my shares of the company?
Jun 24, 1:17 PMSep 3, 4:00 AM
30.42%chance
2154258
OptionVotes
16293
6948
Will Platreef Shaft #3 have achieved operational ore hoisting by
Apr 7, 1:26 PMDec 31, 5:00 AM
63.14%chance
34092
OptionVotes
14090
6464
What will be the log change in bitcoin's market share among all currencies between 2023 and 2100? (M3000 subsidy)
May 22, 2:50 AMFeb 1, 7:59 AM
66.3%chance
72461
OptionProbability
4576
2499
OptionVotes
458
23
OptionProbability
43
21
9
7
5
4
3
3
2
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionVotes
510
20
OptionProbability
86
85
85
85
80
80
60
59
53
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
37
35
31
31
26
22
20
20
20
OptionVotes
86
58
What will be the national vote share, by party, in the City Mayor and Country Magistrate elections in Taiwan in 2026?
Dec 23, 3:51 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
00
OptionProbability
20
20
20
20
20
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