SHA News

NO

[All non-meta options for before 2030 are continuously under 50% for any 4 week period before 2025]

Before January 2040

Before January 2028

Before January 2029

Before January 2030

Before January 2027

By January 2024

By February 2024

By March 2024

By April 2024

By June 2024

Before July 2024

Before January 2025

Before January 2026

[Any month is continuously over 50% for any 6 week period less than one year before it arrives, before January 2026]

Mihawk

YES

NO

NO

YES

YES

Other

Resolves to whichever answer is closest to 10% probability

Resolves to the answer of a second market which duplicates all the choices of the original

Resolves as specified in the answer with the lowest SHA-1 hash value (random choice in case of collisions)

Resolves as specified in the lowest rated answer

Resolves as specified in the highest-rating answer.

NO

Resolves to the longest answer (splitting equally in case of equal length in characters)

Resolves to the lowest rated answer

Does not resolve.

Resolves randomly among the choices listed

Resolves to the shortest answer

Resolves randomly to one of the answers here with equal probability

Splits equally between all answers

The first answer above this one that starts with the letter R (or NO if there are none)

Reopen the market for another week and try again

YES

Leon Marchand

Sydney McLaughlin-Levrone

Katie Ledecky

Summer McIntosh

Bobby Finke

Amit Elor

Letsile Tebogo

Grant Holloway

Noah Lyles

Torri Huske

Lee Kiefer

Ryan Crouser

Valerie Allman

Gabby Thomas

Rai Benjamin

Gretchen Walsh

Tara Davis-Woodhall

Quincy Wilson

Kate Douglass

Katie Grimes

Regan Smith

Sha'Carri Richardson

Simone Biles

Suni Lee

YES

Above 0%

Above 10%

Above 20%

Above 30%

Above 40%

Above 50%

Above 60%

Above 70%

Above 80%