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Top stories

Xiaomi Profit Surges on EV Momentum, Targets Europe Launch in 2027

Company Earnings

Xiaomi Profit Surges on EV Momentum, Targets Europe Launch in 2027

Authors

29

4 months ago

Prediction markets for Smart

Will we have an AGI as smart as a "generally educated human" by the end of 2025?

Aug 7, 9:35 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

6.66%chance

28075919

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3308

813

Will Apple announce a smart ring wearable product by the end of 2025?

May 9, 7:22 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

1.85%chance

3213616

OptionVotes

YES

NO

8794

307

Will Apple release a smart ring wearable product by the end of 2025?

May 9, 7:22 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

1.75%chance

11210221

OptionVotes

YES

NO

8218

564

Will there exist popular smart glasses with LLM integration by 2027?

Apr 8, 6:49 PMJan 1, 6:29 PM

88.27%chance

384317

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2134

661

Will there exist popular smart glasses with LLM integration by 2030?

Apr 8, 6:49 PMJan 1, 6:29 PM

85.66%chance

434022

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3633

1265

Will AI "smart glasses" be a popular AI wearable form factor by 2027? (eg Meta Ray Bans)

Mar 25, 10:24 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

82.39%chance

473852

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2174

415

Will Apple announce a Smart Ring before 2026?

Feb 22, 9:36 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

8.44%chance

362875

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2532

689

Will a smart agent pass our Turing test by the end of 2025?

Feb 20, 11:12 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

22.44%chance

482266

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1902

435

Should smart, ethical people go into AI rather than climate tech? (subsidized)

Oct 17, 6:41 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

77.02%chance

302249

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1140

912

Apple releases AR Smart Glasses by 2030

Jan 23, 3:52 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

65%chance

182185

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1448

632

Will we be able to print a smart humanoid bot at home by 2030?

Jul 12, 4:03 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

22.95%chance

242014

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1832

546

Will "Most smart and skilled people are outside of ..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?

Jul 16, 2:41 AMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

10.99%chance

3305

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1269

962

Latest stories

Latest stories

Aug 19, 2025
Aug 19, 2025
Automobile
Company Earnings
Business
Xiaomi Profit Surges on EV Momentum, Targets Europe Launch in 2027
Authors
29
4 months ago

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