Standing Committee News

Who will be the next General Secretary of China after Xi Jinping?

Feb 15, 12:23 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

325948

OptionProbability

Other

Li Qiang (Premier, 2nd rank PSC member)

Ding Xuexiang (Vice Premier, 6th rank PSC member)

Chen Jining (Party Secretary of Shanghai)

Zhang Youxia (Vice Chairman of the Central Military Commission)

Wang Yang (former Chairman of the National Committee of the Chinese People's Political Consultative Conference)

[Nobody] (Xi Jinping does not have a successor as General Secretary)

Cai Qi (5th rank PSC member, first-ranked of Secretariat)

Li Xi (7th rank PSC member, Secretary of the Central Commission for Discipline Inspection)

Wang Yi (Foreign Minister)

Wang Huning (tourist, political theorist, and 4th rank PSC member)

Chen Min'er (Party Secretary of Tianjin)

Yuan Jiajun (Party Secretary of Chongqing)

Yin Li (Party Secretary of Beijing)

Li Shulei (Head of Party Publicity)

Zhao Leji (3rd rank PSC member, chairman of NPC Standing Committee)

Chen Wenqing (Secretary of the Central Political and Legal Affairs Commission)

Will there be a change of power in China by 2025

Apr 5, 3:15 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

8.37%chance

242005

OptionVotes

YES

2094

815

Will there be a change in the members of the CCP Politburo Standing Committee by the end of 2025?

Oct 17, 2:04 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

30.35%chance

41221

OptionVotes

YES

1209

127

Will Hu Chunhua be added to the Chinese Communist Party Standing Committee by the end of 2025?

Aug 21, 2:00 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

32.23%chance

2441

OptionVotes

YES

145

Will any member of the Politburo Standing Committee of the CCP be removed from their position before Autumn 2027?

Nov 2, 12:26 PMNov 1, 3:59 PM

57.86%chance

499

OptionVotes

YES

Any current member of the CCP's Politburo Standing Committee (PSC) dies in a plane crash

Aug 23, 5:48 PMAug 13, 6:59 AM

23%chance

466

OptionVotes

YES

154

Will Xi Jinping choose a successor in 2027?

Nov 2, 3:02 PMNov 1, 3:59 PM

27.21%chance

551

OptionVotes

YES

137

When will the first Politburo Standing Committee of the Chinese Communist Party to include a woman be chosen?

Mar 27, 3:12 AMJan 27, 3:59 PM

350

OptionProbability

2032

2037

2042

2047

2027

Will a 'civilian' Vice Chairman of Central Military Committee of the CCP be elected before Autumn 2032?

Nov 2, 1:14 PMNov 1, 3:59 PM

40.34%chance

442

OptionVotes

YES

Any current or past member of the CCP's Politburo Standing Committee (PSC) dies in a plane crash

Aug 23, 5:48 PMAug 13, 6:59 AM

32.06%chance

331

OptionVotes

YES

119

Will Xi Jinping choose a successor in 2032?

Nov 2, 3:05 PMNov 1, 3:59 PM

65.89%chance

325

OptionVotes

YES

115

Will a 'civilian' Vice Chairman of Central Military Committee of the CCP be elected before Autumn 2027?

Nov 2, 1:11 PMNov 1, 3:59 PM

40.98%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

Standing Committee News

Prediction markets for Standing Committee

Prediction markets for Standing Committee

Prediction markets for Standing Committee

Who will be the next General Secretary of China after Xi Jinping?

Will there be a change of power in China by 2025

Will there be a change in the members of the CCP Politburo Standing Committee by the end of 2025?

Will Hu Chunhua be added to the Chinese Communist Party Standing Committee by the end of 2025?

Will any member of the Politburo Standing Committee of the CCP be removed from their position before Autumn 2027?

Any current member of the CCP's Politburo Standing Committee (PSC) dies in a plane crash

Will Xi Jinping choose a successor in 2027?

When will the first Politburo Standing Committee of the Chinese Communist Party to include a woman be chosen?

Will a 'civilian' Vice Chairman of Central Military Committee of the CCP be elected before Autumn 2032?

Any current or past member of the CCP's Politburo Standing Committee (PSC) dies in a plane crash

Will Xi Jinping choose a successor in 2032?

Will a 'civilian' Vice Chairman of Central Military Committee of the CCP be elected before Autumn 2027?

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