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Prediction markets for Standing Committee
Will the Fed change its 2% inflation target before the end of Trump’s term?
Dec 14, 1:34 PMJan 20, 11:59 AM
17.84%chance
4810173
OptionVotes
1609
816
Who will be the next General Secretary of China after Xi Jinping?
Feb 15, 12:23 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
346245
OptionProbability
49
13
10
9
5
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
Which Labour MP(s) will mount a leadership challenge against Keir Starmer? [Add Answers]
Oct 27, 1:50 PMDec 28, 1:45 PM
103150
OptionProbability
26
13
11
10
8
Will any member of the Politburo Standing Committee of the CCP be removed from their position before Autumn 2027?
Nov 2, 12:26 PMNov 1, 3:59 PM
46.12%chance
5119
OptionVotes
105
73
OptionVotes
163
55
Any current member of the CCP's Politburo Standing Committee (PSC) dies in a plane crash
Aug 23, 5:48 PMAug 13, 6:59 AM
23%chance
466
OptionVotes
154
58
When will the first Politburo Standing Committee of the Chinese Communist Party to include a woman be chosen?
Mar 27, 3:12 AMJan 27, 3:59 PM
350
OptionProbability
23
23
23
22
8
Will a 'civilian' Vice Chairman of Central Military Committee of the CCP be elected before Autumn 2032?
Nov 2, 1:14 PMNov 1, 3:59 PM
40.34%chance
442
OptionVotes
96
84
Any current or past member of the CCP's Politburo Standing Committee (PSC) dies in a plane crash
Aug 23, 5:48 PMAug 13, 6:59 AM
32.06%chance
331
OptionVotes
119
71
OptionVotes
115
73
Will a 'civilian' Vice Chairman of Central Military Committee of the CCP be elected before Autumn 2027?
Nov 2, 1:11 PMNov 1, 3:59 PM
40.98%chance
110
OptionVotes
60
42