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Prediction markets for State Ministries
OptionVotes
1386
722
What will be the dominant unit of economic power used by humans in 2040?
Nov 4, 4:21 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM
7745090
OptionProbability
63
31
24
20
9
9
8
8
8
7
6
5
5
4
3
2
Will China reinstate or enforce export restrictions on gallium after current suspension expires in Nov?
Dec 26, 5:09 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
35.39%chance
196976
OptionVotes
13522
7406
Will the next president of France be from Parti Socialiste?
Mar 23, 11:51 AMApr 24, 11:59 PM
18.23%chance
142313
OptionVotes
2472
759
The Ministry for the Future Predictions: will there be a cryptocurrency tied to CO2 capture and storage by 2040?
Feb 8, 12:39 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
41.73%chance
11204
OptionVotes
1000
980
OptionVotes
100
100
Will Serra Verde MREC production for the 6 months ending September 2026 exceed 1500 t?
Mar 30, 9:14 PMDec 31, 5:00 AM
76.78%chance
2105
OptionVotes
182
55
Will Serra Verde MREC production for the 6 months ending September 2026 exceed 8000 t?
Mar 30, 9:15 PMDec 31, 5:00 AM
30.77%chance
150
OptionVotes
150
67
Italy: Will Parliament curb prosecutors' judicial police powers by EOY 2029? (unconditional)
Mar 12, 8:02 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
32.23%chance
345
OptionVotes
145
69
Will Serra Verde MREC production for the 6 months ending September 2026 exceed 5500 t?
Mar 30, 9:15 PMDec 31, 5:00 AM
60.98%chance
225
OptionVotes
125
80
Will China have active export controls on silicon metal (MG-Si) on December 31, 2026?
Apr 6, 6:23 PMDec 31, 5:00 AM
38.35%chance
120
OptionVotes
120
48
Will Serra Verde MREC production for the 6 months ending March 2027 exceed 5500 t?
Mar 30, 9:16 PMJun 30, 4:00 AM
45.25%chance
110
OptionVotes
110
91