State Ministries News
Top stories
Prediction markets for State Ministries
What will be the dominant unit of economic power used by humans in 2040?
Nov 4, 4:21 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM
7443529
OptionProbability
57
31
24
8
8
7
6
6
5
5
4
4
3
2
2
OptionVotes
1644
608
Will China reinstate or enforce export restrictions on gallium after current suspension expires in Nov?
Dec 26, 5:09 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
30.01%chance
85507
OptionVotes
15284
6552
On 1 April 2026: who is the de facto executive authority in Caracas?
Jan 3, 10:34 PMMar 31, 11:59 PM
161789
OptionProbability
81
6
5
4
4
Sussan Ley out before Liberal-National coalition reunites?
Jan 22, 12:44 PMMar 31, 11:59 PM
60.54%chance
5847
OptionVotes
1239
807
Would the invasion of Greenland by US military force be unethical and immoral?
Jan 20, 4:23 PMFeb 19, 4:21 PM
5383
OptionProbability
93
7
Will Iran and the United States reach an agreement by the end of February?
Feb 1, 6:18 PMFeb 28, 11:59 PM
8.13%chance
8370
OptionVotes
336
30
Will Honduras restablish diplomatic ties with the Republic of China (Taiwan) before 2027?
Nov 28, 1:22 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
66%chance
9222
OptionVotes
139
72
The Ministry for the Future Predictions: will there be a cryptocurrency tied to CO2 capture and storage by 2040?
Feb 8, 12:39 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
41.73%chance
11204
OptionVotes
1000
980
United States gains new territory before China or Russia
Jan 13, 9:57 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
25.19%chance
4169
OptionVotes
172
58
Will Brazil revoke the new eVisa requirement for US citizens, cancel the border for USA passport holders in 2026?
Dec 20, 8:52 PMDec 31, 9:59 PM
20.54%chance
6166
OptionVotes
197
51
Who DOSsed Finnish Defence Ministry web pages? (suggest answers, may take time to resolve)
Sep 25, 1:19 AMOct 2, 8:59 PM
368
OptionProbability
30
12
10
9
9
9
8
8
7