State Ministries News
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Prediction markets for State Ministries
OptionVotes
3095
323
What will be the dominant unit of economic power used by humans in 2040?
Nov 4, 4:21 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM
7443529
OptionProbability
57
31
24
8
8
7
6
6
5
5
4
4
3
2
2
OptionVotes
2359
424
OptionProbability
35
29
10
5
5
4
3
3
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Will China reinstate or enforce export restrictions on gallium after current suspension expires in Nov?
Dec 26, 5:09 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
35.3%chance
196946
OptionVotes
13549
7392
On 1 April 2026: who is the de facto executive authority in Caracas?
Jan 3, 10:34 PMMar 31, 11:59 PM
183920
OptionProbability
93
2
2
2
2
The Ministry for the Future Predictions: will there be a cryptocurrency tied to CO2 capture and storage by 2040?
Feb 8, 12:39 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
41.73%chance
11204
OptionVotes
1000
980
Will Brazil revoke the new eVisa requirement for US citizens, cancel the border for USA passport holders in 2026?
Dec 20, 8:52 PMDec 31, 9:59 PM
20.54%chance
6166
OptionVotes
197
51
Will Iran run out of ballistic missiles before the coalition runs out of interceptors?
Mar 16, 9:29 PMMar 16, 9:28 PM
79%chance
8124
OptionVotes
194
52
OptionVotes
100
100
OptionVotes
161
62
Italy: Will Parliament curb prosecutors' judicial police powers by EOY 2029? (unconditional)
Mar 12, 8:02 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
32.23%chance
345
OptionVotes
145
69