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Top stories

Xbox’s ‘Gears of War’ Franchise Debuts on PlayStation With Reloaded Remaster

Xbox’s ‘Gears of War’ Franchise Debuts on PlayStation With Reloaded Remaster

Authors

9

5 months ago

Prediction markets for The Coalition

Will the Current Spanish Coalition of PSOE+SUMAR Govern Spain Until 2027, Completing a Full 4-Year Term?

Dec 26, 8:59 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

52.71%chance

316725

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1325

493

Will the German AfD be part of a ruling coalition on state (Bundesland) level by the end of 2026?

Feb 12, 9:43 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

13.39%chance

265299

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2543

393

Which Estonian political parties will be in the coalition after the 2027 parliamentary election?

Aug 16, 2:45 PMMar 7, 9:59 PM

42326

OptionProbability

Estonian Reform Party (RE)

Conservative People's Party of Estonia (EKRE)

Fatherland (I)

Estonian Nationalists and Conservatives (ERK)

The Right (PP)

Estonia 200 (E200)

Social Democratic Party (SDE)

Estonian Centre Party (KE)

Estonian Greens (EER)

36

31

27

27

27

27

25

25

7

Which coalition will govern Germany after the next federal election?

Feb 24, 10:56 PMDec 31, 11:00 PM

252216

OptionProbability

CDU/CSU + SPD

CDU/CSU + AfD

CDU/CSU + SPD + Greens

SPD + Greens + Left

CDU/CSU + Greens

CDU/CSU + Greens + FDP

CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP

Other

CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP

No coalition before 2030

SPD + Greens + FDP

SPD + Greens

CDU/CSU + FDP

CDU/CSU + SPD + Greens + FDP

AfD alone

24

21

16

8

6

5

4

4

3

1

1

1

1

1

1

Will an Arab party be in the next Israeli coalition?

Apr 24, 7:38 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

24.5%chance

8617

OptionVotes

YES

NO

246

80

Will the new the new coalition of CDU/CSU/SPD govern until the end of the term in spring 2029?

May 6, 3:08 PMMar 30, 11:59 PM

56.66%chance

6255

OptionVotes

NO

YES

114

87

Who will win the Coalition Avenir Quebec (CAQ) leadership election?

Jan 24, 8:47 PMApr 12, 3:59 AM

2165

OptionProbability

Christine Fréchette

Other

Bernard Drainville

Jean-François Simard

88

5

4

4

Will I acquire the Coalition for Prediction Markets ad by EOM?

Feb 1, 7:01 PMFeb 28, 11:59 PM

16.93%chance

3157

OptionVotes

YES

NO

222

45

Which coalition will govern Thuringia after the next state election?

Mar 1, 7:22 PMDec 31, 11:00 PM

12117

OptionProbability

AfD + BSW

CDU + BSW + SPD

CDU + SPD

CDU + Left + BSW

Left + SPD + Greens

None by 2031

CDU + Left + SPD

CDU + SPD + Greens

AfD alone

Other

Left + BSW + SPD

AfD + CDU

18

14

11

9

9

8

7

6

6

5

3

3

Will the current Austrian coalition last until the end of the legislature period?

Nov 26, 9:30 AMJul 31, 10:59 PM

50.62%chance

3110

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1012

988

Will "A high integrity/epistemics political coalition?" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Dec 15, 6:35 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

13.32%chance

271

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1051

992

If Israel is engaged in sustained heavy combat against a coalition of adversaries on multiple what should the US do?

Nov 4, 10:17 AM

820

Latest stories

Latest stories

Aug 26, 2025
Aug 26, 2025
Video Games
Culture
Xbox’s ‘Gears of War’ Franchise Debuts on PlayStation With Reloaded Remaster
Authors
9
5 months ago

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