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Top stories

Xbox’s ‘Gears of War’ Franchise Debuts on PlayStation With Reloaded Remaster

Xbox’s ‘Gears of War’ Franchise Debuts on PlayStation With Reloaded Remaster

Authors

9

1 year ago

Prediction markets for The Coalition

Will the German AfD be part of a ruling coalition on state (Bundesland) level by the end of 2026?

Feb 12, 9:43 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

22.76%chance

4410757

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1842

543

Will the Current Spanish Coalition of PSOE+SUMAR Govern Spain Until 2027, Completing a Full 4-Year Term?

Dec 26, 8:59 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

58%chance

337173

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1411

424

Will an Arab party be in the next Israeli coalition?

Apr 24, 7:38 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

24.5%chance

8617

OptionVotes

YES

NO

246

80

Which party or coalition will win the primary vote in the 2026 Victorian state election?

Jun 17, 3:18 AMNov 28, 11:59 PM

6613

OptionProbability

Liberal-National Coalition

Labor Party

One Nation

Other

55

29

15

2

Will the German government coalition hold until the next federal election in 2029?

May 20, 9:00 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

33%chance

16603

OptionVotes

YES

NO

142

70

Will the AfD officially join any German state-level governing coalition by December 31, 2026?

Feb 9, 3:14 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

30%chance

21466

OptionVotes

YES

NO

153

65

Will the new the new coalition of CDU/CSU/SPD govern until the end of the term in spring 2029?

May 6, 3:08 PMMar 30, 11:59 PM

45.09%chance

6439

OptionVotes

YES

NO

110

91

Will the current Austrian coalition last until the end of the legislature period?

Nov 26, 9:30 AMJul 31, 10:59 PM

61.44%chance

4360

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1262

792

Will the Coalition next split before the next election?

Feb 8, 4:59 AMDec 30, 10:59 PM

43.52%chance

6225

OptionVotes

YES

NO

136

56

Will "A high integrity/epistemics political coalition?" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Dec 15, 6:35 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

13.32%chance

271

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1051

992

Which electoral coalitions will happen in the 2027 Polish parlimentary election?

Aug 15, 2:20 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

120

OptionProbability

KO + PSL

Rozwój Plus + PSL

Rozwój Plus + Polska 2050

KO + Polska 2050

PiS + Rozwój Plus

76

50

50

50

50

Which parties will be part of the ruling coalition after the 2027 Polish parlimentary election?

Jun 9, 5:31 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

112

OptionProbability

Prawo i Sprawiedliwość

Koalicja Obywatelska

Polskie Stronnictwo Ludowe

Nowa Lewica

Konfederacja

Polska 2050

Razem

Konfederacja Korony Polskiej

69

50

50

50

50

50

50

50

Latest stories

Latest stories

Aug 26, 2025
Aug 26, 2025
Video Games
Culture
Xbox’s ‘Gears of War’ Franchise Debuts on PlayStation With Reloaded Remaster
Authors
9
1 year ago

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