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Prediction markets for TikTok
OptionProbability
60
24
10
4
1
1
OptionVotes
5753
174
Which company will buy TikTok? (resolves only if/when divested from China)
Mar 6, 9:27 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
22625589
OptionProbability
32
23
22
12
2
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
At EOY 2025, will ByteDance own the American version of TikTok?
Mar 5, 7:29 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
89.86%chance
6712751
OptionVotes
2868
245
Will the new TikTok Notes app be more popular than Instagram by the end of 2025?
Mar 13, 1:46 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
5.39%chance
267238
OptionVotes
3203
712
Will Elon Musk get control over TikTok in the US before 2026?
Dec 12, 9:41 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
4.4%chance
296161
OptionVotes
4662
214
OptionVotes
2476
778
Will the Supreme Court deem unconstitutional the Montana statewide ban on TikTok by 2026 year end?
May 17, 11:00 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM
7.91%chance
162616
OptionVotes
3118
570
Will Chaya Raichik (Libs of TikTok) be found guilty in a US court of law by the end of 2030?
Feb 22, 1:46 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
14.4%chance
392317
OptionVotes
1804
718
If TikTok is sold, will the algorithm be included in the sale?
Apr 25, 9:14 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
65.78%chance
191400
OptionVotes
1541
337
By 2033, will TikTok DJs face competition from at least one AI DJ?
Apr 26, 7:58 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM
75.44%chance
16626
OptionVotes
1116
942
OptionVotes
1395
717
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