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Top stories

US Domestic Policy

Trump Cabinet Ends DEI Programs, Pushes Education Control to States

Authors

5

3 months ago

Prediction markets for Transportation

Will NASA be folded into the US Department of Transportation?

Oct 21, 2:40 AMJan 1, 2:27 AM

8.6%chance

92370

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3260

307

Will a Tesla car or truck transport a SpaceX rocket by the end of 2029?

Dec 12, 4:35 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

18.31%chance

371949

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1147

946

Will flying cars become a widespread mode of individual transportation before 2032?

Feb 7, 6:19 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

6.75%chance

201455

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2327

823

Will self-driving cars become the primary mode of transportation in major US cities by 2030?

Jan 10, 12:39 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

18.12%chance

22950

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1069

962

Will commercial space travel become a common mode of transportation for the general public by 2030?

Jan 10, 12:48 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

5.11%chance

8673

OptionVotes

YES

NO

560

129

Will Tesla officially announce the development or launch of a new transportation vehicle type by December 31, 2025?

Sep 26, 11:26 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

9.13%chance

10497

OptionVotes

YES

NO

534

71

Will cars still be a dominant form of personal transportation in 2050?

Apr 29, 8:55 PMJan 1, 10:59 AM

67.92%chance

6316

OptionVotes

NO

YES

237

103

Will an organisation offer suborbital point-to-point transportation before 2030?

Oct 19, 2:32 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

29.35%chance

9124

OptionVotes

YES

NO

187

127

Will an oblique wing aircraft enter service for civilian transportation or military purposes by 2050?

Jan 21, 8:00 AMJan 2, 5:59 AM

51.6%chance

573

OptionVotes

NO

YES

142

117

Will an organisation offer suborbital point-to-point transportation before 2040?

Oct 19, 2:35 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

71.89%chance

461

OptionVotes

NO

YES

109

47

Will an organisation offer suborbital point-to-point transportation before 2035?

Oct 19, 2:34 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

79.91%chance

360

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

25

Will lighter than air airships transport >1M passengers total before 2045?

Jun 21, 2:39 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

36.91%chance

228

OptionVotes

YES

NO

86

58

Latest stories

Latest stories

Aug 26, 2025
Aug 26, 2025
US Domestic Policy
Politics
Trump Cabinet Ends DEI Programs, Pushes Education Control to States
Authors
5
3 months ago

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