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Top stories

US Domestic Policy

Trump Cabinet Ends DEI Programs, Pushes Education Control to States

Authors

5

1 year ago

Prediction markets for Transportation

Will NASA be folded into the US Department of Transportation?

Oct 21, 2:40 AMJan 1, 2:27 AM

2.55%chance

115324

OptionVotes

YES

NO

6186

162

Will self-driving cars become the primary mode of transportation in major US cities by 2030?

Jan 10, 12:39 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

34%chance

253062

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1137

542

Will a Tesla car or truck transport a SpaceX rocket by the end of 2029?

Dec 12, 4:35 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

18.31%chance

371949

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1147

946

Will flying cars become a widespread mode of individual transportation before 2032?

Feb 7, 6:19 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

6.79%chance

211456

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2313

824

Will the Swedish Transport Workers' Union (Transportarbetareförbundet) officially oppose self driving vehicles?

Apr 18, 1:53 PMJan 1, 2:47 PM

42.2%chance

3307

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1270

954

By the end of 2035, will I be able to use a hoverbike as a regular mode of transportation across New York Harbor?

Jul 13, 3:19 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

39.37%chance

8304

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1241

806

Will Heathrow increase monthly air transport movements from 40,000 to 50,000 before 2030?

Oct 11, 11:51 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

26.47%chance

6147

OptionVotes

YES

NO

167

60

Will public transportation ridership return to pre-pandemic levels by 2030?

Oct 24, 3:00 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

82.75%chance

6146

OptionVotes

NO

YES

228

202

Will an organisation offer suborbital point-to-point transportation before 2030?

Oct 19, 2:32 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

27.48%chance

10135

OptionVotes

YES

NO

198

123

Will lighter than air airships transport >1M passengers total before 2040?

Jun 21, 2:38 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

29%chance

591

OptionVotes

YES

NO

178

101

Will electric and autonomous transportation be among the fastest growing fields through 2030?

May 8, 6:02 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

68.07%chance

432

OptionVotes

NO

YES

142

89

Will lighter than air airships transport >1M passengers total before 2045?

Jun 21, 2:39 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

36.91%chance

228

OptionVotes

YES

NO

86

58

Latest stories

Latest stories

Aug 26, 2025
Aug 26, 2025
US Domestic Policy
Politics
Trump Cabinet Ends DEI Programs, Pushes Education Control to States
Authors
5
1 year ago

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