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Prediction markets for Transportation
Will NASA be folded into the US Department of Transportation?
Oct 21, 2:40 AMJan 1, 2:27 AM
2.55%chance
115324
OptionVotes
6186
162
Will self-driving cars become the primary mode of transportation in major US cities by 2030?
Jan 10, 12:39 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
34%chance
253062
OptionVotes
1137
542
Will a Tesla car or truck transport a SpaceX rocket by the end of 2029?
Dec 12, 4:35 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM
18.31%chance
371949
OptionVotes
1147
946
Will flying cars become a widespread mode of individual transportation before 2032?
Feb 7, 6:19 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM
6.79%chance
211456
OptionVotes
2313
824
Will the Swedish Transport Workers' Union (Transportarbetareförbundet) officially oppose self driving vehicles?
Apr 18, 1:53 PMJan 1, 2:47 PM
42.2%chance
3307
OptionVotes
1270
954
By the end of 2035, will I be able to use a hoverbike as a regular mode of transportation across New York Harbor?
Jul 13, 3:19 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
39.37%chance
8304
OptionVotes
1241
806
Will Heathrow increase monthly air transport movements from 40,000 to 50,000 before 2030?
Oct 11, 11:51 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
26.47%chance
6147
OptionVotes
167
60
Will public transportation ridership return to pre-pandemic levels by 2030?
Oct 24, 3:00 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
82.75%chance
6146
OptionVotes
228
202
Will an organisation offer suborbital point-to-point transportation before 2030?
Oct 19, 2:32 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM
27.48%chance
10135
OptionVotes
198
123
Will lighter than air airships transport >1M passengers total before 2040?
Jun 21, 2:38 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
29%chance
591
OptionVotes
178
101
Will electric and autonomous transportation be among the fastest growing fields through 2030?
May 8, 6:02 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM
68.07%chance
432
OptionVotes
142
89
Will lighter than air airships transport >1M passengers total before 2045?
Jun 21, 2:39 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
36.91%chance
228
OptionVotes
86
58
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