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Top stories

US Domestic Policy

Trump Cabinet Ends DEI Programs, Pushes Education Control to States

Authors

5

5 months ago

Prediction markets for Transportation

Will NASA be folded into the US Department of Transportation?

Oct 21, 2:40 AMJan 1, 2:27 AM

3.66%chance

104271

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5133

195

Will self-driving cars become the primary mode of transportation in major US cities by 2030?

Jan 10, 12:39 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

23.31%chance

242358

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1025

828

Will a Tesla car or truck transport a SpaceX rocket by the end of 2029?

Dec 12, 4:35 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

18.31%chance

371949

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1147

946

Will flying cars become a widespread mode of individual transportation before 2032?

Feb 7, 6:19 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

6.79%chance

211456

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2313

824

Will there be <5hr UK-Australia public transport by 2033?

Sep 8, 2:43 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

4.22%chance

14827

OptionVotes

YES

NO

752

91

Will commercial space travel become a common mode of transportation for the general public by 2030?

Jan 10, 12:48 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

4.38%chance

10774

OptionVotes

YES

NO

638

125

Will an organisation offer suborbital point-to-point transportation before 2030?

Oct 19, 2:32 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

29.35%chance

9124

OptionVotes

YES

NO

187

127

Will an oblique wing aircraft enter service for civilian transportation or military purposes by 2050?

Jan 21, 8:00 AMJan 2, 5:59 AM

51.6%chance

573

OptionVotes

NO

YES

142

117

Will an organisation offer suborbital point-to-point transportation before 2040?

Oct 19, 2:35 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

71.89%chance

461

OptionVotes

NO

YES

109

47

Will an organisation offer suborbital point-to-point transportation before 2035?

Oct 19, 2:34 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

79.91%chance

360

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

25

Will any of NASA's Canoo Crew Transportation Vehicles (CTVs) fail during operation or no longer be utilised by 2028?

Apr 2, 10:12 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

29.65%chance

255

OptionVotes

YES

NO

175

85

Will lighter than air airships transport >1M passengers total before 2045?

Jun 21, 2:39 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

36.91%chance

228

OptionVotes

YES

NO

86

58

Latest stories

Latest stories

Aug 26, 2025
Aug 26, 2025
US Domestic Policy
Politics
Trump Cabinet Ends DEI Programs, Pushes Education Control to States
Authors
5
5 months ago

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