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Top stories

McDonald’s Japan Drops One Piece Happy Meal After Pokémon Card Frenzy

McDonald’s Japan Drops One Piece Happy Meal After Pokémon Card Frenzy

Authors

15

10 months ago

Prediction markets for TSE

Will Brazilian ineligibility laws be revised to allow Bolsonaro to run for office in 2026?

Feb 4, 5:35 PMAug 2, 3:59 AM

3.85%chance

1817468

OptionVotes

YES

NO

15345

25

Which Finance PhD Candidates will accept an Assistant Professor position at a top 30 Finance Department by 2026?

Nov 15, 11:59 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

21028

OptionProbability

Tasaneeya Viratyosin (Wharton)

Chi (Clara) Xu (Wharton)

Guanyu Zhou (Wharton)

Ching-Tse Chen (Chicago)

Bianca He (Chicago)

Jessica Li (Chicago)

Meichen Qian (Chicago)

Filippo Cavaleri (Chicago)

Joanna Harris Murphy (Chicago)

Patrick Adams (MIT)

Christian Kontz (Stanford)

Pauline Liang (Stanford)

Oliver Xie (Stanford)

Edoardo Marchesi (Chicago)

26

25

25

25

25

25

25

25

25

25

25

25

25

24

Brazil 2026 Election: Who will be elected State Governor in Minas Gerais (MG)?

May 12, 5:42 PMOct 4, 11:59 PM

3273

OptionProbability

Cleitinho Azevedo

Alexandre Kalil

Gabriel Azevedo

Rodrigo Pacheco

56

15

5

3

Brazil 2026 Election: Will the presidential election be decided in first round?

Dec 2, 12:15 AMOct 4, 11:59 PM

9.14%chance

5259

OptionVotes

YES

NO

315

32

Brazil 2026 Election: Which candidates will advance to Brazil's presidential runoff?

Jan 13, 9:08 PMOct 4, 11:59 PM

1181

OptionProbability

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

Flávio Bolsonaro

Tarcício de Freitas

Fernando Haddad

87

76

8

8

Brazil 2026 Election: Who will be elected State Governor in Rio de Janeiro (RJ)?

Apr 15, 12:14 PMOct 4, 11:59 PM

4172

OptionProbability

Eduardo Paes

Douglas Ruas

André Ceciliano

Italo Marsili

78

14

14

10

Will Paulo Kogos be elected state deputy of São Paulo? / Paulo Kogos será eleito deputado estadual de São Paulo?

Apr 24, 11:06 PMOct 5, 11:59 PM

37%chance

4163

OptionVotes

YES

NO

130

77

Brazil 2026 Election: US congratulates Brazil’s 2026 election winner within 24 hours?

Jan 29, 3:47 PMOct 27, 11:59 PM

29.84%chance

10146

OptionVotes

YES

NO

153

65

Brazil 2026 Election: Will Donald Trump publicly endorse any presidential candidate in either round?

Jan 5, 1:27 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

79.83%chance

6118

OptionVotes

NO

YES

199

50

Brazil 2026 Election: which pollsters stay within the margin for the top-2 in the 1st-round presidential election?

Feb 2, 7:33 PMOct 4, 11:59 PM

369

OptionProbability

Datafolha

Ipec

Quaest

Atlas Intel

Ipespe

Paraná Pesquisas

PoderData

35

35

35

35

35

35

28

Brazil 2026 Election: Will Brazil’s third way fail the 10% test?

May 27, 3:14 AMOct 4, 11:59 PM

69%chance

366

OptionVotes

NO

YES

149

67

Will the Goa Tse statue of Jose Luis Ricon be SO magnificent it becomes a work of art?

Aug 16, 3:43 AM

20

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McDonald’s Japan Drops One Piece Happy Meal After Pokémon Card Frenzy
Authors
15
10 months ago

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