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Top stories

McDonald’s Japan Drops One Piece Happy Meal After Pokémon Card Frenzy

McDonald’s Japan Drops One Piece Happy Meal After Pokémon Card Frenzy

Authors

15

6 months ago

Prediction markets for TSE

Will Brazilian ineligibility laws be revised to allow Bolsonaro to run for office in 2026?

Feb 4, 5:35 PMAug 2, 3:59 AM

5.72%chance

1817218

OptionVotes

YES

NO

15095

38

Which Finance PhD Candidates will accept an Assistant Professor position at a top 30 Finance Department by 2026?

Nov 15, 11:59 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

21028

OptionProbability

Tasaneeya Viratyosin (Wharton)

Chi (Clara) Xu (Wharton)

Guanyu Zhou (Wharton)

Ching-Tse Chen (Chicago)

Bianca He (Chicago)

Jessica Li (Chicago)

Meichen Qian (Chicago)

Filippo Cavaleri (Chicago)

Joanna Harris Murphy (Chicago)

Patrick Adams (MIT)

Christian Kontz (Stanford)

Pauline Liang (Stanford)

Oliver Xie (Stanford)

Edoardo Marchesi (Chicago)

26

25

25

25

25

25

25

25

25

25

25

25

25

24

Brazil 2026 Election: Which party will win the largest bloc in Brazil’s Chamber of Deputies elected in 2026?

Dec 9, 2:07 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

5341

OptionProbability

PL

PT

PSD

Republicanos

Other

União Brasil

43

23

15

10

10

7

Brazil 2026: Will Lula get more votes than in 2022 (59,563,912) in any round?

Dec 18, 9:58 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

44.85%chance

9218

OptionVotes

YES

NO

111

90

Brazil 2026 Election: Will the presidential election be decided in first round?

Dec 2, 12:15 AMOct 4, 11:59 PM

12.76%chance

4166

OptionVotes

YES

NO

261

38

Brazil 2026 Election: Which candidates will advance to Brazil's presidential runoff?

Jan 13, 9:08 PMOct 4, 11:59 PM

1140

OptionProbability

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

Flávio Bolsonaro

Fernando Haddad

Tarcício de Freitas

83

50

10

8

How many deputies will Partido Missão elect to Brazil's Chamber of Deputies in the 2026 general election?

Nov 24, 6:11 PMOct 5, 11:59 PM

4126

OptionProbability

0-4 deputies

5-8 deputies

9-12 deputies

13+ deputies

72

15

8

6

Brazil 2026 Election: Will Donald Trump publicly endorse any presidential candidate in either round?

Jan 5, 1:27 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

79.41%chance

4106

OptionVotes

NO

YES

196

51

Lula vencerá as eleicões presidenciais em 4 de Outubro de 2026?

Oct 28, 6:58 PMOct 4, 6:56 PM

56.64%chance

285

OptionVotes

NO

YES

114

88

Brazil 2026 Election: which pollsters stay within the margin for the top-2 in the 1st-round presidential election?

Feb 2, 7:33 PMOct 4, 11:59 PM

264

OptionProbability

Datafolha

Ipec

Quaest

Atlas Intel

Ipespe

Paraná Pesquisas

PoderData

35

35

35

35

35

35

34

Brazil 2026 Election: US congratulates Brazil’s 2026 election winner within 24 hours?

Jan 29, 3:47 PMOct 27, 11:59 PM

46.32%chance

438

OptionVotes

YES

NO

108

93

Will the Goa Tse statue of Jose Luis Ricon be SO magnificent it becomes a work of art?

Aug 16, 3:43 AM

20

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McDonald’s Japan Drops One Piece Happy Meal After Pokémon Card Frenzy
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6 months ago

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