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Prediction markets for TSE
Will Brazilian ineligibility laws be revised to allow Bolsonaro to run for office in 2026?
Feb 4, 5:35 PMAug 2, 3:59 AM
5.72%chance
1817218
OptionVotes
15095
38
OptionProbability
44
40
5
4
2
2
2
2
How many deputies will Partido Missão elect to Brazil's Chamber of Deputies in the 2026 general election?
Nov 24, 6:11 PMOct 5, 11:59 PM
81184
OptionProbability
49
21
16
15
Which Finance PhD Candidates will accept an Assistant Professor position at a top 30 Finance Department by 2026?
Nov 15, 11:59 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
21028
OptionProbability
26
25
25
25
25
25
25
25
25
25
25
25
25
24
Lula vencerá as eleicões presidenciais em 4 de Outubro de 2026?
Oct 28, 6:58 PMOct 4, 6:56 PM
11%chance
7599
OptionVotes
284
35
Brazil 2026 Election: Which party will win the largest bloc in Brazil’s Chamber of Deputies elected in 2026?
Dec 9, 2:07 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
9409
OptionProbability
36
33
17
10
10
7
OptionProbability
87
12
10
10
7
Brazil 2026 Election: Who will be elected Senator in São Paulo (SP)? (2 seats)
Feb 17, 3:54 AMOct 4, 11:59 PM
6253
OptionProbability
60
58
34
20
2
Brazil 2026 Election: Which candidates will advance to Brazil's presidential runoff?
Jan 13, 9:08 PMOct 4, 11:59 PM
1181
OptionProbability
87
76
8
8
Brazil 2026 Election: US congratulates Brazil’s 2026 election winner within 24 hours?
Jan 29, 3:47 PMOct 27, 11:59 PM
29.84%chance
10146
OptionVotes
153
65
Brazil 2026 Election: Will Donald Trump publicly endorse any presidential candidate in either round?
Jan 5, 1:27 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
78.12%chance
5108
OptionVotes
189
53