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Chelsea Agree £40 Million Deal for Manchester United Winger Garnacho
Authors
8
7 months ago
Prediction markets for United
OptionProbability
28
22
17
11
5
3
3
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
22
21
15
6
4
3
3
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Will 50% of all new car sales in the United States be electric by 2030?
Oct 30, 4:19 AMJan 7, 4:59 AM
24.9%chance
153161899
OptionVotes
1673
632
Will gay marriage be illegal in the United States during Trump's presidency.
Dec 5, 4:35 PMJan 23, 4:59 AM
3.12%chance
6580709
OptionVotes
60159
3638
Who will be the two major party nominees of the 2028 United States Presidential Election? (resolves 50% each)
Aug 13, 7:26 PMAug 26, 10:59 PM
17175981
OptionProbability
39
20
12
4
3
3
3
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
Will the United States experience a constitutional crisis before 2030?
Jul 10, 8:22 AMDec 31, 4:01 PM
69.11%chance
14946894
OptionVotes
1612
360
Will China overtake the United States as the world's largest economy before the end of 2050?
Apr 21, 8:10 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
53.89%chance
9744005
OptionVotes
990
982
Will it become illegal to move >$50K/year out of the United States?
Apr 28, 7:34 PMJan 1, 8:33 PM
4.61%chance
2539518
OptionVotes
45511
2199
What will be the party of the next President of the United States?
Oct 15, 6:37 PMFeb 1, 4:59 AM
215423
OptionProbability
50
49
1
[ACX 2026] Will the United States experience negative GDP growth during Q1, Q2, or Q3 2026?
Jan 6, 11:15 PMSep 30, 11:59 PM
24.33%chance
162366
OptionVotes
6197
4686
How many housing units will California authorize, 2025-2028? (linear, 250k-750k)
Oct 29, 4:59 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
45.01%chance
2172
OptionVotes
2772
2450
OptionProbability
13
13
13
13
13
13
13
13