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Prediction markets for University of Oxford
Is the "Promethean virus" in Large Language Models real?
Jun 7, 10:50 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
10.55%chance
8250361
OptionVotes
28550
2982
What news stories of the 2020s will be included in respected history textbooks published in the 2050s?
May 23, 7:10 AMDec 30, 7:59 AM
8819859
OptionProbability
98
97
88
82
82
82
78
75
65
63
62
57
54
51
51
51
40
21
19
OptionProbability
90
4
2
2
2
Will Nick Bostrom (philosopher, existential risk researcher) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?
Jan 12, 11:59 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
3.88%chance
281650
OptionVotes
1445
946
What university will generate the highest number of new Nobel Laureate faculty between 2023 and 2033?
Jan 10, 7:06 AMFeb 2, 4:59 AM
6824
OptionProbability
79
14
3
3
0
0
0
0
0
When the Chinese K visa is available, would I be able to live and work in China on it right out of the box?
Sep 24, 3:09 PMMay 31, 9:00 PM
90.21%chance
6434
OptionVotes
304
33
Would Oxbridge win University Challenge without college-level entries?
Dec 18, 9:40 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM
57.65%chance
8296
OptionVotes
109
69
OptionVotes
501
499