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Prediction markets for YouTube
Will an AI generated YouTube video reach 1B views before 2027?
Jan 5, 12:58 AMJan 6, 10:59 PM
20.97%chance
467509
OptionVotes
1959
462
Will it be possible to search for text across ALL YouTube videos by 2026?
Mar 9, 3:42 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
31.67%chance
175233
OptionVotes
1323
782
OptionProbability
1479
938
OptionVotes
1071
931
Will there be a Youtube video with at least 100 million likes before 2030?
Oct 1, 12:53 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM
39.26%chance
341949
OptionVotes
1027
969
In 2028, Will a >5 min video completely generated by an AI have more than 1 billion views on Youtube?
Sep 26, 1:10 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
41.9%chance
451869
OptionVotes
1147
717
Will a video on Youtube break the current record for most viewed independent animation pilot before Jan 1st 2027?
Dec 1, 9:19 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
12.82%chance
201726
OptionVotes
2495
231
Will YouTube resolutely address the problem of clickbait thumbnails and video titles by 2029?
Mar 12, 3:15 PMJan 1, 3:59 PM
46.87%chance
161072
OptionVotes
1255
471
Will anyone make a YouTube video seriously claiming to "debunk" Eliezer Yudkowsky on AI risk?
Apr 4, 6:04 PMApr 4, 10:59 PM
85.48%chance
17799
OptionVotes
1308
920
Will the LoFi girl Youtube channel still be live at the end of 2036?
Mar 21, 10:22 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
21.7%chance
21625
OptionVotes
1064
946
Will there be a YouTube channel with 1 billion subscribers by 2040?
Dec 16, 1:29 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
49.55%chance
18588
OptionVotes
1056
916
Will a YouTube video of/about a Gen-AI film awards ceremony reach 1 million+ views within a year of release by 2030?"
Oct 3, 6:16 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM
52.49%chance
251
OptionVotes
1051
951