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Bennett News

    Prediction markets for Bennett

    Will Naftali Bennett become Israel's prime minister after the October 2026 elections?

    May 11, 10:44 AMDec 30, 11:59 PM
    12%chance
    1013623

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    271

    37

    Will Saikat Chakrabarti be elected to Congress in 2026?

    Aug 27, 8:43 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
    1.45%chance
    2010607

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    8256

    121

    Who will win a Nobel Prize before 2030? [Unlinked free response]

    Oct 10, 5:21 AMJan 2, 6:59 AM
    272961

    OptionProbability

    Omar M. Yaghi

    Susumu Kitagawa

    Daron Acemoglu

    Demis Hassabis

    Jun Ye

    Salman Rushdie

    David Deutsch

    Peter Zoller

    Gilles Brassard

    Charles Henry Bennett

    Robert S Langer

    Olga Botner

    Can Xue

    Krzysztof Matyjaszewski

    Elizaveta 'Monetochka' Gyrdymova

    Ed Boyden

    Peter Shor

    Chi-Huey Wong

    William Jorgesen

    Charles Leonard Bennett

    Jean Fréchet

    Charles L. Brooks III

    Volodymyr Zelenskyy

    Tao Zhang

    Haruki Murakami

    Michele Parrinello

    Roberto Car

    Anthony A. Hyman

    AI

    Thomas Piketty

    Omar Farha

    100

    100

    99

    99

    70

    53

    53

    50

    46

    45

    45

    43

    41

    41

    41

    41

    40

    36

    35

    34

    34

    29

    29

    20

    18

    17

    17

    13

    9

    5

    4

    Who will be in the Israeli government following the next elections?

    Nov 7, 10:02 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
    312301

    OptionProbability

    Gadi Eisenkot

    Naftali Bennett

    Avigdor Lieberman

    Yair Lapid

    Yair Golan

    Nir Barkat

    Benjamin Netanyahu

    Benny Gantz

    Yitzhak Goldknopf

    Bezalel Smotrich

    Mansour Abbas

    Yoav Gallant

    70

    65

    65

    64

    46

    45

    45

    44

    37

    31

    22

    11

    Who will be the next Israeli Prime Minister?

    Mar 6, 2:08 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
    252184

    OptionProbability

    Gadi Eisenkot

    Benjamin Netanyahu

    Naftali Bennett

    Yair Lapid

    Other

    Benny Gantz

    Yoav Gallant

    Bezalel Smotrich

    44

    33

    14

    3

    3

    2

    1

    1

    What will be the results of Israel's next election?

    Jan 5, 4:35 AMDec 31, 9:59 PM
    23873

    OptionProbability

    Ben Gvir is elected to Knesset

    > 20 new MKs (who never been in the Knesset before)

    A party receive more than 3% of the valid votes but does not pass the electoral threshold

    Netanyahu is not elected

    no coalition is formed

    A single list gets more than 30 seats

    > 40 women elected

    More valid votes in Tel Aviv than in Jerusalem

    Bennett becomes PM

    98

    96

    50

    50

    46

    41

    37

    27

    14

    Who Will Win CA 3rd Congressional District?

    May 1, 2:52 PMNov 3, 11:59 PM
    6458

    OptionProbability

    Ami Bera

    Chris Bennett

    Heidi Hall

    Other

    Christine Bish

    Robb Tucker

    86

    4

    3

    3

    2

    2

    Which novel will win a Hugo award in 2026?

    Apr 21, 11:23 PMAug 30, 11:00 PM
    6327

    OptionProbability

    The Incandescent - Emily Tesh

    Death of the Author - Nnedi Okorafor

    A Drop of Corruption - Robert Jackson Bennett

    The Everlasting - Alix E. Harrow

    Shroud - Adrian Tchaikovsky

    The Raven Scholar - Antonia Hodgson

    24

    22

    19

    15

    10

    10

    Israel's next Prime minister

    Jul 16, 10:20 PMOct 31, 6:00 PM
    9306

    OptionProbability

    Gadi Eisenkot

    Benjamin Netanyahu

    Naftali Bennett

    Avigdor Lieberman

    Other

    51

    28

    13

    5

    3

    Who will start for the Los Angeles Rams the first Week One that Matt Stafford is not on the roster?

    Jan 27, 4:35 AMOct 1, 12:00 PM
    5294

    OptionProbability

    Other

    Jimmy Garoppolo

    Stetson Bennett

    Baker Mayfield

    Lamar Jackson

    Josh Allen

    Joe Burrow

    92

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    What National DSA-endorsed candidates will win their elections in 2026?

    Jul 18, 11:29 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
    8172

    OptionProbability

    Chris Gilmer-Hill, Michigan State House, District 8 (Primary)

    Rashida Tlaib, MI-12 (Primary)

    Donavan McKinney, MI-13 (Primary)

    Evan Mackay, Massachusetts State House, District 25 (Primary)

    Andrea Parr, Louisville Metro Council, District 9 (General)

    Juliana Bennett, Wisconsin State Assembly, District 76 (Primary)

    Oliver Larkin, FL-25 (Primary)

    Cori Bush, MO-01 (Primary)

    Dave Zeglen, Ann Arbor City Council, Ward 4 (Primary)

    100

    100

    100

    72

    61

    52

    17

    0

    0

    Who will win the CA-3 Election?

    May 23, 1:35 AMNov 3, 10:59 AM
    1165

    OptionProbability

    Ami Bera (D)

    Christopher Bennett (D)

    Heidi Hall (D)

    Christine Bish (R)

    Lauren Koscki (R)

    Robb Tucker (R)

    Chris Richardson (G)

    Lyndon Cervantes (D)

    77

    4

    4

    3

    3

    3

    3

    2

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