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When will a new mainline Animal Crossing game be released on a Nintendo console?
Sep 11, 9:12 PMJan 2, 5:59 AM
3211461
OptionProbability
35
23
17
14
9
1
Will a Bering Strait crossing be announced by Russia and the US, in 2025?
Mar 6, 9:32 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
4.27%chance
63857
OptionVotes
4737
211
Will OpenAI release a cross-platform web browser by the end of 2026?
Nov 22, 10:01 AMDec 31, 2:59 PM
88.98%chance
122232
OptionVotes
2841
352
Will a Bering Strait crossing be announced by Russia and the US, before Jan 20 2029?
Mar 6, 9:37 AMJan 21, 4:59 AM
10.52%chance
82081
OptionVotes
2917
343
OptionVotes
987
979
OptionVotes
1475
678
Sometime before 2031, AI is going to cross a generality threshold that allows for recursive self-improvement, and then FOOM to superhuman capability. Before that point humanity must solve AI safety or be helpless.
Dec 24, 3:53 AMFeb 1, 7:59 AM
27.15%chance
17792
OptionVotes
990
970
Will a crossing of the Strait of Gibraltar, between Morocco and Spain, have started construction by 2035?
Jul 4, 8:16 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM
33.2%chance
15533
OptionVotes
1011
959
Will another manmade probe cross the heliopause before 2075?
Sep 17, 2:51 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
88.49%chance
14501
OptionVotes
1232
937
Twitter (X) Crosses 1 billion Monthly Active Users by 2030
Mar 26, 6:25 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM
24.47%chance
14456
OptionVotes
1275
875
OptionVotes
1309
764
Will a crossing of the Bab-el-Mandeb, between Yemen and Djibouti or Eritrea, have started construction by 2040?
Jul 4, 8:28 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM
21.22%chance
13326
OptionVotes
1122
944
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