Federer News

Sinner Cruises Past Popyrin, Extends Hard-Court Slam Streak at US Open

11 months ago

Balance of Power: Who will control the government after the 2026 US federal elections?

Sep 19, 12:51 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

356491272

OptionProbability

R President, R Senate, D House

R Pres, D Senate, D House

R President, R Senate, R House - Republican Trifecta

R President, D Senate, R House

D President, D Senate, D House - Democrat Trifecta

D President, R Senate, R House

D President, D Senate, R House

D President, R Senate, D House

If Trump wins, will marijuana be federally rescheduled before the 2026 midterms?

Mar 10, 5:12 AMNov 3, 7:59 AM

26.56%chance

210115067

OptionVotes

YES

8187

5998

Will there be troops or federal agents at US voting booths in 2026 or 2028?

Feb 3, 9:42 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

58.98%chance

25979322

OptionVotes

YES

9468

4190

Will Trump deploy federal law enforcement to crack down on protests by "radical left lunatics" by X date?

Nov 7, 7:29 PMJan 21, 2:59 AM

5379100

OptionProbability

January 20, 2029 (Whole term)

January 20, 2026 (First year)

January 20, 2025 (Inauguration Day)

February 20, 2025 (First month)

April 29, 2025 (First 100 days)

Alcatraz holds ten federal inmates for one week before January 20, 2029?

May 4, 11:58 PMJan 19, 11:59 PM

9.17%chance

11744741

OptionVotes

YES

31503

3180

Will the farm bill (HR 7567) pass and destroy / federally preempt state animal welfare laws?

Apr 29, 12:45 AMJan 14, 12:59 AM

16.27%chance

9340003

OptionVotes

YES

10225

1947

Will Trump tout (positively promote) the possibility of default on US federal debt at any time during his second term?

Feb 2, 9:27 AMFeb 1, 1:59 PM

51.05%chance

4410157

OptionVotes

YES

10938

8979

[ACX 2026] Will the U.S. enact an AI safety federal statute or executive order in 2026?

Jan 6, 10:35 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

29.1%chance

429434

OptionVotes

YES

5885

4737

Will a member of Congress or a federal judge be arrested and held without bail?

Apr 28, 7:29 PMApr 29, 7:28 PM

38.42%chance

227750

OptionVotes

YES

12660

7899

Will there be any significant legislation or executive orders cancelling vote-by-mail in the 2026 federal elections?

Feb 21, 2:05 AMJan 4, 7:59 AM

46.81%chance

345992

OptionVotes

YES

10059

9922

Will there be a US federal shutdown in November 2026?

Feb 4, 5:47 PMNov 30, 11:59 PM

27.9%chance

144602

OptionVotes

YES

3319

1116

Federal government fellowship approximating discontinued PMF program opens applications by EOY2030?

Apr 20, 6:28 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

52.62%chance

9702

OptionVotes

YES

10538

9489

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Balance of Power: Who will control the government after the 2026 US federal elections?

If Trump wins, will marijuana be federally rescheduled before the 2026 midterms?

Will there be troops or federal agents at US voting booths in 2026 or 2028?

Will Trump deploy federal law enforcement to crack down on protests by "radical left lunatics" by X date?

Alcatraz holds ten federal inmates for one week before January 20, 2029?

Will the farm bill (HR 7567) pass and destroy / federally preempt state animal welfare laws?

Will Trump tout (positively promote) the possibility of default on US federal debt at any time during his second term?

[ACX 2026] Will the U.S. enact an AI safety federal statute or executive order in 2026?

Will a member of Congress or a federal judge be arrested and held without bail?

Will there be any significant legislation or executive orders cancelling vote-by-mail in the 2026 federal elections?

Will there be a US federal shutdown in November 2026?

Federal government fellowship approximating discontinued PMF program opens applications by EOY2030?

Latest stories

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