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Katie Hobbs News

    Prediction markets for Katie Hobbs

    OptionProbability

    Other

    JD Vance

    Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

    Gavin Newsom

    Pete Buttigieg

    Ron DeSantis

    Kamala Harris

    Josh Shapiro

    Tucker Carlson

    Donald Trump

    Gretchen Whitmer

    Andy Beshear

    JB Pritzker

    Nikki Haley

    Mark Kelly

    Donald Trump Jr.

    Mark Cuban

    Ruben Gallego

    None

    Vivek Ramaswamy

    Joe Biden

    Tim Scott

    Katie Hobbs

    Greg Abbott

    Elizabeth Warren

    Mike Johnson

    Ted Cruz

    Mike Pence

    Jared Polis

    Michelle Obama

    Ivanka Trump

    Elon Musk

    Sam Altman

    Dwayne “The Rock” Johnson

    Elise Stefanik

    Kristi Noem

    Robert F. Kennedy, Jr.

    Nicole Shanahan

    Tulsi Gabbard

    Scott Alexander

    Eliezer Yudkowsky

    Aella

    Jamie Dimon

    George Clooney

    Tom Hanks

    Steven Pinker

    Patrick Stewart

    George R R Martin

    Noah Smith

    Matt Yglesias

    Kanye West

    Doug Burgum

    Jeff Jackson

    Glenn Youngkin

    Tim Walz

    John Fetterman

    Barack Obama

    Oprah Winfrey

    Hillary Clinton

    Joe Rogan

    Ro Khanna

    43

    14

    10

    8

    3

    3

    2

    2

    2

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    OptionProbability

    J. D. Vance

    Gavin Newsom

    Josh Shapiro

    Pete Buttigieg

    Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

    Gretchen Whitmer

    Jon Ossoff

    Josh Hawley

    KRANTZ (the abstract idea that evolves into a decentralized superintelligence, not the user)

    Glenn Youngkin

    Tucker Carlson

    Andy Beshear

    Kamala Harris

    Marco Rubio

    J. B. Pritzker

    Mark Kelly

    James Talarico

    Ron DeSantis

    Elise Stefanik

    Wes Moore

    Stephen Miller

    Nikki Haley

    Vivek Ramaswamy

    Raphael Warnock

    Gina Raimondo

    Ro Khanna

    Chris Murphy

    Tammy Duckworth

    Chris Sununu

    Jeff Jackson

    Donald Trump Jr.

    James Donaldson (MrBeast)

    Sam Altman

    Tim Scott

    Brian Kemp

    Kristi Noem

    Cory Booker

    Beto O'Rourke

    John Fetterman

    Mark Zuckerberg

    Tom Cotton

    Brian Schatz

    Joni Ernst

    Michael Bennet

    Tammy Baldwin

    Sarah Huckabee Sanders

    Josh Green

    Tina Kotek

    Ted Cruz

    Tulsi Gabbard

    Joe Rogan

    Jay Inslee

    Deval Patrick

    Eric Swalwell

    Wayne Messam

    Jared Polis

    Kirsten Gillibrand

    Julian Castro

    Dean Phillips

    Katie Britt

    Laphonza Butler

    Eric Schmitt

    Mike Lee

    Catherine Cortez Masto

    Chris Coons

    Tim Kaine

    Lisa Murkowski

    Katie Hobbs

    Spencer Cox

    Tate Reeves

    Ruben Gallego

    Mark Cuban

    Erika Kirk

    Will Hurd

    Dan Crenshaw

    Robert F. Kennedy Jr

    Amy Klobuchar

    Andrew Yang

    Ezra Klein

    Stephen Colbert

    Stephen Curry

    Markwayne Mullin

    Rand Paul

    Joe Manchin

    Kevin Stitt

    Maura Healey

    Ivanka Trump

    David Hogg

    Dwayne Johnson (The Rock)

    Taylor Swift

    Steven Kenneth Bonnell II (Destiny)

    Matt Gaetz

    Marianne Williamson

    Mike Pence

    Jon Stewart

    DUPLICATE

    Eliezer Yudkowsky

    Aella

    Scott Alexander

    Zendaya

    Michelle Obama

    Kanye West

    Mitt Romney

    Sarah Palin

    Ben Shapiro

    Bernie Sanders

    Hillary Clinton

    Tim Walz

    Al Gore

    Elon Musk (Natural-born-citizen clause repealed/bypassed)

    Me

    Krantz (the user @Krantz)

    35

    18

    18

    15

    13

    12

    12

    10

    10

    9

    9

    9

    8

    8

    8

    8

    8

    7

    7

    7

    7

    6

    6

    6

    6

    6

    6

    6

    6

    6

    6

    5

    5

    5

    5

    5

    5

    5

    5

    5

    5

    5

    5

    5

    5

    5

    5

    5

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

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    4

    4

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    4

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    4

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    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    3

    3

    3

    3

    3

    3

    3

    3

    3

    3

    3

    3

    3

    3

    3

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    What will happen during Trump's second term?

    Nov 8, 3:31 AMJan 22, 4:59 AM
    15330284

    OptionProbability

    RFK Jr. gets cabinet position or position in any public health department

    Flag desecration prohibition passed

    Any vaccines banned for any group of people

    J6er pardoned

    Sports team invited to the white house

    A member of Congress is censured or expelled

    The democrats take control of the house of representatives

    Significant Rogue AI Incident

    Blue wave in 2026 midterm elections

    Democrats win Iowa governorship

    Republicans lose the house majority in midterms

    James Talarico wins Texas senate election

    Rob Sand wins 2026 Iowa governor election

    Katie Hobbs win 2026 Arizona governor election

    @DudleyDOODOO creates over 80 options for this market

    Prohibiting or restricting transgender care for adults

    Democrats win the early voting race game and win the midterms

    Democracy survives

    Generative AI becomes permanent part our daily lives permanently

    Mass Deportations

    Trump is impeached

    A major insider trading scandal linked to the US executive branch

    Democrats win back the white house in 2028

    Giorgia Meloni wins reelection prime minister

    Left-wing CPAC alternative launches

    RFK Jr impeached

    Suffer a fall in public

    Nicolas Maduro prosecuted and imprisoned for life

    Chuck Grassley dies

    Peter Hotez goes to prison

    Convergence Magazine (Organizing Upgrade) shut down and cease to exist

    @dudleyDOODO creates over 50 options that are either illogical, incomprehensible or too vague to resolve

    Another project 2025 launched by Heritage Foundation for GOP 2029 presidency

    All pseudo-legal sovereign citizen international tribunals causes all prediction markets as concept to defunct and cease to exist

    Drone strike in Mexico by US

    Nuclear weapon detonation

    AGI achieved

    US punitive expedition in Mexico

    Starlink satellites damaged by US adversary

    A second pope is elected

    Republicans win the white house in 2028

    Deep funding cuts to NIH, NSF, FDA, CDC, HHS, EPA fully implemented and becomes law

    Democrats win trifecta in 2026 midterms

    100k humanoid robots manufactured

    All pseudo-legal sovereign citizen international tribunals causes all AI technologies and generative ai to defunct and cease to exist

    Reiner Fuellmich released from prison

    350 million people or more die, according to expert estimates

    Another covid-like pandemic

    NIH, CDC, FDA, HHS, NSF abolished permanently

    Bell tower added at the US Capitol

    Pauline Hanson becomes Australia prime minister

    Reiner Fuellmich's Nuremberg 2.0 occurs and becomes reality

    Science and public health infrastructures dies

    All COVID-19 vaccines pulled off market entirely

    Abolish vaccine funding entirely permanently

    Zach Lahn wins Iowa 2026 governor election

    Alice Weidel becomes German chancellor

    Climate change infrastructures abolished permanently

    MAGA and Trump challenge 2026 midterm GOP losses

    A human walks on the Moon

    Joe Exotic is released from prison

    Nuremberg 2.0 over pandemics becomes reality and occurs

    Patriots for Europe controls European parliament and wins majority

    It ends with JD Vance becoming president

    Antifa dissolves

    Post-WW2 international orders die and abolished

    AfD controls chancellorship and AfD becomes chancellor

    Mark Carney wins 2029 Canada election

    Vaccine research and projects permanently abolished

    NASA abolished

    US captures Daniel Ortega and all other leftist leaders worldwide

    Europe of Sovereign Nations controls European parliament and wins majority

    Measles vaccines abolished and pulled off market

    Adam Schiff goes to prison

    Chris Whitty goes to prison

    European countries all under far-right regime control

    Steve Bannon runs for 2028 president

    Probabilistic forecasting dies, extinct, defunct, and cease to exist

    Fauci and other scientist experts go to prison

    Actblue shut down and cease to exist

    All prediction markets defunct and cease to exist permanently

    World war 3 and global war launch

    Metaculus shut down and cease to exist

    Room temperature superconductor discovered

    Elon Musk is arrested for treason

    China invades Taiwan

    US military intervention on Canadian territory

    Apple, Google, Microsoft, OpenAI, Perplexity defunct and cease to exist

    Latin American countries all under far-right regime control

    Ilhan Omar deported

    Soros family goes to prison

    Tulsi Gabbard is arrested for treason

    Coup attempt in the United States

    All in person comic con events get cancelled throughout 2020s

    Republicans leads in early and mail in voting in midterms

    Roberto Vannacci becomes Italy prime minister

    Hillary Clinton goes to prison

    All international NGOs defunct and cease to exist

    Lula's 2026 Brazil election victory overturned and tilted to Bolsonaro

    Any part of Greenland becomes de facto US territory (excludes military bases)

    Republicans win control of the house

    All type of vaccines abolished and pulled off market

    Fauci goes to prison

    Manifold market shut down and cease to exist

    US withdraws from United Nations

    Viktor Orban returns as prime minister

    GOP, Trump, and MAGA controls all election infrastructures away from state governments

    Russia invades all European countries

    Barack Obama goes to prison

    Nigel Farage becomes UK prime minister

    Abolish global health funding and infrastructures

    Abolish global vaccine funding and vaccine infrastructures permanently

    Mass imprisonment of scientists, public health officials, pandemic officials and others worldwide

    Far-right seizes all American universities nationwide

    Global far-right alliances abolishes and defuncts generative AI and all AI technology

    Global far-right alliances abolishes and defuncts all prediction markets

    Anti-AI movement abolishes and defuncts all AI technologies and infrastructures

    The Senate eliminates the filibuster

    Largest solar flare since Carrington Event

    Democracy dies

    All left-wing pro democracy and pro science organizations shut down

    World Health Organization dissolved and abolished

    Far-right seizes all American institutions

    All US citizens arrested, detained, and targeted by ICE

    Nuclear war

    Reform UK wins UK 2029 election

    World becomes global far-right regime

    Russia invades all NATO countries

    Bill Gates goes to prison

    All media under right-wing control

    North Korea bombs and invades South Korea

    Elon Musk buys the 2026 midterm elections

    US captures Lula and removes him from office

    Supreme Court packing

    22nd amendment repealed or interpreted to only apply to consecutive terms

    Donald Trump reelected President

    United States and the world becomes totalitarian dictatorship

    All federal and state judges impeached

    All Democrats imprisoned

    Iran, Russia, North Korea, and China bombs US mainland

    Rupert Lowe becomes UK prime minister

    Human extinction

    US buys Greenland and becomes 52nd state

    Democrats permanently locked out of power

    Democrats lose the house in 2026 midterm election

    All scientists, doctors, pandemic experts, and all other public health officials go to prison

    Eagles three-peat

    2026 midterm election gets stolen by Trump and GOP and tilted in ruling party's favor

    Abolish elections permanently

    Russia invades all continents and controls the world globally

    All Trump opponents go to prison

    Canada becomes 51st state

    Russia, China, North Korea, and Iran invades US mainland

    Republicans win the early voting race game and win the midterms

    Republicans surprisingly win the house in 2026 midterms

    Abortion permanently banned nationwide and worldwide

    End Russo-Ukranian war in 90 days

    Red wave in 2026 midterm elections

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    99

    99

    99

    99

    99

    98

    96

    95

    94

    91

    73

    73

    71

    63

    60

    58

    50

    46

    44

    44

    42

    35

    34

    30

    29

    28

    27

    25

    25

    24

    24

    24

    23

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    21

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    20

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    15

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    14

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    12

    12

    12

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    10

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    10

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    9

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    9

    8

    8

    8

    8

    8

    7

    7

    7

    7

    7

    7

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    6

    6

    6

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    6

    6

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    6

    5

    5

    5

    5

    5

    5

    5

    5

    5

    5

    5

    5

    5

    5

    5

    5

    5

    5

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    3

    3

    3

    3

    3

    3

    3

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    0

    0

    OptionProbability

    J.B. Pritzker

    Gavin Newsom

    Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

    Pete Buttigieg

    Jon Ossoff

    Josh Shapiro

    Kamala Harris

    Cory Booker

    Gretchen Whitmer

    Amy Klobuchar

    Chris Murphy

    Raphael Warnock

    Deval Patrick

    Gina Raimondo

    J. B. Pritzker

    Steve Bullock

    Mark Kelly

    Andy Beshear

    Ro Khanna

    Maura Healey

    Chris Coons

    Jeff Jackson

    Catherine Cortez Masto

    Katie Hobbs

    Tim Walz

    Tina Kotek

    Abigail Spanberger

    Michael Bennet

    Julián Castro

    Beto O'Rourke

    Bill de Blasio

    Jay Inslee

    Jared Polis

    Roy Cooper

    Martin O'Malley

    Cornel West

    Tom Steyer

    Wayne Messam

    Kirsten Gillibrand

    Mitch Landrieu

    Tammy Duckworth

    Tammy Baldwin

    Tim Kaine

    Marianne Williamson

    Eric Swalwell

    Wes Moore

    John Fetterman

    Dean Phillips

    Michelle Obama

    Laphonza Butler

    Tulsi Gabbard

    Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

    Steven Kenneth Bonnell II

    66

    50

    42

    33

    30

    25

    23

    18

    16

    10

    9

    9

    7

    7

    7

    6

    6

    6

    6

    6

    6

    6

    6

    6

    6

    6

    6

    5

    5

    5

    5

    5

    5

    5

    5

    5

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    3

    3

    3

    3

    2

    2

    2

    1

    1

    1

    OptionProbability

    Other

    Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

    Jamie Dimon

    J. D. Vance

    Kamala Harris

    Ted Cruz

    Gavin Newsom

    Tulsi Gabbard

    Cory Booker

    Ron DeSantis

    Nikki Haley

    Gretchen Whitmer

    Pete Buttigieg

    Tim Scott

    J. B. Pritzker

    Robert F. Kennedy, Jr.

    Elise Stefanik

    Josh Shapiro

    Mike Pence

    Kristi Noem

    Andy Beshear

    Spencer Cox

    Glenn Youngkin

    Ro Khanna

    Marco Rubio

    Jackson Hinkle

    Dean Phillips

    Donald Trump

    Elon Musk

    Aella

    Eliezer Yudkowsky

    Xi Jinping

    Tammy Duckworth

    Ivanka Trump

    Mike Johnson

    Tucker Carlson

    Mark Zuckerberg

    An AGI

    Jared Kushner

    Zvi Mowshowitz

    Curtis Yarvin

    Mike Dunleavy

    Katie Hobbs

    Sarah Huckabee Sanders

    Jared Polis

    Brian Kemp

    Scott Perry

    Joe Biden

    Josh Green

    Eric Holcomb

    Kim Reynolds

    Jeff Landry

    Wes Moore

    Maura Healey

    Tim Walz

    Tate Reeves

    Mike Parson

    Greg Gianforte

    Christopher Sununu

    Jim Pillen

    Joe Lombardo

    Phil Murphy

    Michelle Lujan Grisham

    Kathy Hochul

    Roy Cooper

    Doug Burgum

    Kevin Stitt

    Tina Kotek

    Bill Lee

    Greg Abbott

    Phil Scott

    Mark Gordon

    Tammy Baldwin

    Taylor Swift

    Josh Hawley

    Raphael Warnock

    Luigi Mangione

    Chuck Norris

    Robert Francis Prevost

    57

    5

    4

    3

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    Who will be the first female president of the U.S.?

    Apr 9, 4:07 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM
    462951

    OptionProbability

    Other

    Kamala Harris

    Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

    Ivanka Trump

    Gretchen Whitmer

    Nikki Haley

    Stacey Abrams

    Sarah Huckabee Sanders

    Kristi Noem

    Anna Paulina Luna

    Krystal Ball

    Carly Fiorina

    Michelle Obama

    Katie Porter

    Elizabeth Warren

    Tammy Baldwin

    Tammy Duckworth

    Oprah Winfrey

    Michelle Lujan Grisham

    Ayanna Pressley

    Joni Ernst

    Tina Kotek

    Katie Hobbs

    Barbara Lee

    Young Kim

    Lucy McBath

    Cori Bush

    Deb Haaland

    Hillary Clinton

    Meghan Markle, Duchess of Sussex

    77

    6

    4

    4

    2

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    OptionProbability

    At least 1

    At least 2

    At least 3

    At least 4

    At least 5

    At least 6

    0

    At least 7

    At least 8

    At least 9

    At least 10

    90

    79

    57

    36

    25

    12

    11

    10

    8

    7

    5

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