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Prediction markets for Long
Will the Milky Way still exist in 2030? [long-term interest rate market]
Jan 9, 8:06 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
98%chance
67270839
OptionVotes
7005
143
OptionProbability
18
14
14
12
10
10
8
8
5
0
0
0
0
0
0
Will we have cheap long-distance jet packs by 2030?🔥
Jul 18, 8:54 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
20.13%chance
523832
OptionVotes
1203
937
OptionProbability
1629
773
Will OpenAI make significant changes OR discontinue Sora due to "long-term user satisfaction," two years after launch?
Oct 1, 6:00 PMSep 30, 5:51 PM
111815
OptionProbability
51
36
Will I have easy access to a long-distance self-driving car by the end of 2028?
Dec 12, 6:15 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM
41.6%chance
391474
OptionVotes
1020
938
How long until AI can generate original pages of an "I Spy" style picture book?
Jan 7, 8:08 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM
42.92%chance
17822
OptionProbability
1097
737
How long until a writer can use AI alone to generate consistent imagery for a comic book / graphic novel?
Jan 9, 2:38 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM
28%chance
19558
OptionProbability
1073
697
Will a quantum money that can support a long-term galactic civilization be designed before 2035?
Jul 23, 4:19 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM
22.38%chance
12497
OptionVotes
1024
979
Is human civilization compatible with computers in the long term?
Mar 1, 10:25 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
52.81%chance
12263
OptionVotes
1017
978
How long will it be until Candace Owen’s releases the Egyptian plane timeline? (From time of post)
Jan 28, 1:19 AMJan 1, 1:19 AM
00
OptionProbability
25
25
25
25
OptionProbability
13
13
13
13
13
13
13
13
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