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Top stories

New Hampshire Mother Kills Husband and Two Children in Rare Murder-Suicide

New Hampshire Mother Kills Husband and Two Children in Rare Murder-Suicide

Authors

13

5 months ago

Prediction markets for Long

Will the Milky Way still exist in 2030? [long-term interest rate market]

Jan 9, 8:06 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

94.48%chance

47225860

OptionVotes

NO

YES

4138

242

How long (in months) will patio11’s sabbatical be?

Jun 8, 6:41 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

3524702

OptionProbability

60-63

48-51

51-54

45-48

54-57

57-60

39-42

42-45

36-39

18-21

21-24

24-27

27-30

30-33

33-36

18

14

14

12

10

10

8

8

5

0

0

0

0

0

0

Will we have cheap long-distance jet packs by 2030?🔥

Jul 18, 8:54 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

20.13%chance

523832

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1203

937

How Long will King Charles reign?

May 7, 7:10 AMMay 7, 8:59 PM

16.52%chance

333367

OptionProbability

YES

NO

1629

773

Will I have easy access to a long-distance self-driving car by the end of 2028?

Dec 12, 6:15 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

41.6%chance

391474

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1020

938

How long until AI can generate original pages of an "I Spy" style picture book?

Jan 7, 8:08 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

42.92%chance

17822

OptionProbability

NO

YES

1097

737

Will OpenAI make significant changes OR discontinue Sora due to "long-term user satisfaction," two years after launch?

Oct 1, 6:00 PMSep 30, 5:51 PM

8735

OptionProbability

OpenAI makes significant changes to Sora

OpenAI discontinues Sora

51

44

How long until a writer can use AI alone to generate consistent imagery for a comic book / graphic novel?

Jan 9, 2:38 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

28%chance

19558

OptionProbability

NO

YES

1073

697

Will a quantum money that can support a long-term galactic civilization be designed before 2035?

Jul 23, 4:19 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

22.38%chance

12497

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1024

979

Is human civilization compatible with computers in the long term?

Mar 1, 10:25 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

52.81%chance

12263

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1017

978

Will "Notes on the Long Tasks METR paper, from a HC..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

May 22, 4:07 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

14%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1000

1000

How long will it be until Candace Owen’s releases the Egyptian plane timeline? (From time of post)

Jan 28, 1:19 AMJan 1, 1:19 AM

00

OptionProbability

0-9 Days

10-49 Days

50-99 Days

100+ Days

25

25

25

25

Latest stories

Latest stories

Aug 26, 2025
Aug 26, 2025
Crime
Culture
United States
New Hampshire Mother Kills Husband and Two Children in Rare Murder-Suicide
Authors
13
5 months ago

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