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Prediction markets for Luiz
🇧🇷 President in Jan 2027 is Lula, or whoever he endorses / Lula ou seu indicado é presidente em janeiro de 2027
Sep 24, 9:28 AMOct 3, 2:59 PM
46.05%chance
5520863
OptionVotes
52857
45934
OptionProbability
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
93
91
85
45
43
23
20
15
7
6
5
4
🗳️Who would Manifold vote for over both Trump AND Biden/Kamala in 1-on-1 presidential elections? [ADD RESPONSES]
Apr 13, 5:48 PMAug 6, 3:59 AM
11519238
OptionProbability
98
96
96
95
94
94
93
93
92
91
90
89
87
87
87
85
82
82
82
78
77
76
75
74
74
73
72
72
72
72
70
69
69
68
65
65
64
63
63
63
62
62
61
60
60
59
59
59
59
59
59
59
58
57
57
57
56
56
56
54
52
52
51
51
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
49
48
47
47
45
45
43
43
43
43
40
40
39
37
36
36
35
35
35
34
34
34
32
32
29
28
25
24
22
21
20
17
16
9
8
6
6
6
Will Luis Elizondo ever be criminally convicted of making false statements about UFOs/UAP?
Dec 17, 10:00 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
9.12%chance
201586
OptionVotes
662
65
Will Lula be a key actor in the peace between Ukraine and Russia?
Feb 23, 5:28 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM
4.98%chance
161505
OptionVotes
2046
896
OptionProbability
19
15
14
12
11
5
4
4
4
3
2
2
2
1
1
0
OptionProbability
61
12
8
6
5
5
4
OptionProbability
99
40
37
34
34
34
34
34
34
21
12
Will people who graduate around 2028 regret about starting a degree around 2023? Consider AI development.
Mar 27, 2:49 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
34.61%chance
11248
OptionVotes
1087
933
Brazil 2026 Election: Which candidates will advance to Brazil's presidential runoff?
Jan 13, 9:08 PMOct 4, 11:59 PM
1140
OptionProbability
83
50
10
8
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Jan 12, 1:01 AMOct 28, 11:59 PM
65.65%chance
5103
OptionVotes
138
72
Jorge Messias confirmed to Brazilian Supreme Court by March 31, 2026?
Nov 21, 2:30 AMMar 31, 11:59 PM
73.14%chance
165
OptionVotes
165
61
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