Manning News
Prediction markets for Manning
Will there be a government-backed manned mission to Mars that returns to Earth before the end of 2040?
Apr 20, 12:07 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
32%chance
8720070
OptionVotes
1407
1066
Will P vs NP be resolved before man lands on Mars?
Dec 28, 12:30 AMFeb 22, 9:22 PM
40.26%chance
14418803
OptionVotes
2496
1058
Will there be a successful manned mission to Mars by 2030?
Apr 10, 11:59 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
7.49%chance
919455
OptionVotes
3159
1457
OptionVotes
1452
689
Will a manned interstellar mission be launched before January 1, 2060?
May 19, 7:01 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM
19.92%chance
252616
OptionVotes
2005
499
Will there be a manned interstellar mission before 2250?
Sep 17, 2:31 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
74.89%chance
22786
OptionVotes
1248
869
In 2028, will an AI be able to generate equivalent to ~=200 man years of effort towards a software 1.0 given a prompt?
Apr 2, 1:06 AMJan 2, 12:59 PM
23.65%chance
21688
OptionVotes
1258
872
Will there be any successful manned mission to Mars launched by any country/private company by 2040 ?
Mar 8, 2:27 PMDec 16, 2:59 AM
39.42%chance
21668
OptionVotes
1090
929
OptionVotes
1027
962
Will Quinn Ewers defeat Arch Manning's NFL team in a conference championship or Super Bowl?
Sep 15, 2:34 AMMar 16, 4:59 AM
35.43%chance
2370
OptionVotes
1350
741
Will we land on Mars with a Manned Vehicle until 2040?
Jan 19, 7:20 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM
32.63%chance
16355
OptionVotes
1011
955
Will Plastic Man make an appearance in the DCU before 2040?
Aug 18, 11:04 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM
50.75%chance
237
OptionVotes
1015
985
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