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María Corina Machado News

    Prediction markets for María Corina Machado

    President of Venezuela at the end of 2026

    Jan 3, 2:11 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
    350116914

    OptionProbability

    Delcy Rodríguez

    Other

    Diosdado Cabello

    María Corina Machado

    Nicolás Maduro

    Edmundo González

    Vladimir Padrino López

    79

    9

    3

    3

    2

    2

    1

    OptionProbability

    Other

    Sudan’s Emergency Response Rooms

    MSF / Doctors without Borders

    Pope Leo XIV

    Yulia Navalnaya

    International Court of Justice

    Narges Mohammadi

    Volodymyr Zelenskyy

    Netanyahu

    Greta Thunberg

    Narendra Modi

    Nathan Law

    duplicate - international Court of Justice

    UNESCO

    Philippe Lazzarini

    Joe Biden

    UNRWA

    Alexei Navalny

    Kyaw Moe Tun

    José Andrés

    World Uyghur Congress

    Maria Corina Machado

    Eliezer Yudkowsky

    OSCE Office for Democratic Institutions and Human Rights

    Timnit Gebru

    Elon Musk

    NATO

    Donald Trump

    JD Vance

    AOC

    Antonio Guterres

    Julian Assange

    David Attenborough

    Pope Francis

    Ursula von der Leyen

    Keir Starmer

    European Union

    Ilham Tohti

    Sviatlana Tsikhanouskaya

    Jacinda Ardern

    Raoni Metuktire

    José Andrés

    Loujain al-Hathloul

    Ilwad Elman

    Wa Lone

    Yvonne Ridley

    Hajer Sharief

    Alexis Tsipras

    Isaias Afwerki

    Agnes Chow

    Filippo Grandi

    Yuan Longping

    Mahbouba Seraj

    Victoria Tauli-Corpuz

    Juan Carlos Jintiach

    Joshua Wong

    Ernest Moniz

    DOGE

    Kamala Harris

    Noam Chomsky

    International Fact-Checking Network

    Manifold Markets

    Justin Trudeau

    Vladimir Putin

    Aleksandr Lukashenko

    Sam Altman

    Bill Gates / Gates Foundation

    Kim Jong Un

    Abdullah Öcalan

    Daniel Sheehan

    Robert Kennedy Jr

    @Krantz

    Gustavo Petro

    The Iranian protesters

    Peacekeepers

    Jimmy Lai

    Minnesota (or the People of Minnesota)

    Francesca Albanese

    Centre for Humanitarian Dialogue

    Haitham bin Tariq Al Said

    Any Kurdish person (or the Kurdish people

    Shehbaz Sharif

    44

    25

    6

    6

    2

    2

    2

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    Will Maria Corina Machado ever be President of Venezuela?

    Jan 3, 12:05 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
    17.33%chance
    539789

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    2186

    458

    Next Venezuelan President

    Jan 3, 9:01 AMSep 30, 8:58 AM
    739138

    OptionProbability

    Delcy Rodríguez

    Maria Corina Machado

    Other

    Edmundo González

    82

    9

    7

    3

    Who will win a Nobel Prize before they die?

    Jul 5, 9:47 AMJan 1, 10:40 AM
    372721

    OptionProbability

    María Corina Machado

    Alexei Kitaev

    Robin Hanson

    Donald Trump

    Jamie Joyce

    Daniel Sheehan

    Daniel Hillis

    John Preskill

    Jared Kushner

    Balaji Srinivasan

    Eliezer Yudkowsky

    Elon Musk

    Jack Dorsey

    Robert Kennedy Jr.

    @Krantz

    99

    84

    50

    47

    34

    29

    26

    26

    10

    8

    7

    6

    6

    3

    0

    US–Venezuela conflict prop bets

    Jan 5, 7:34 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM
    302639

    OptionProbability

    Delcy Rodríguez remains as acting president of Venezuela through 15 February 2026

    Nicolás Maduro is convicted and incarcerated in a US prison

    Despite all unlawful actions by the US, venezuelan economy prospers.

    Will María Machado return to Venezuela before 2026 June 1?

    US deploys ground troops to Venezuela

    UN Security Council passes a resolution condemning US actions in Venezuela

    Either the US or Venezuela declares war on the other

    Will the Venezuelan government officially announce early presidential elections before 1 June 2026?

    María Corina Machado becomes interim president of Venezuela by 31 March 2026

    100

    87

    73

    25

    21

    8

    7

    7

    0

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    422

    216

    OptionProbability

    Ball to the wall riots, in Caracas, and other cities, the full 10 yards with burning tires etc.

    at least 10 persons is killed due to police violence

    A massive police/millitary crackdown on said riots

    at least 50 persons is arrested due to demonstrations

    at least 50 persons is arrested due to her return...

    Imprisonment

    She disapears from the public eye ...

    Executión (LEO)

    Assassination attempt

    51

    41

    34

    34

    34

    21

    20

    17

    12

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