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María Corina Machado News

    Prediction markets for María Corina Machado

    OptionProbability

    Other

    Donald Trump

    Yulia Navalnaya

    The International Court of Justice

    UNESCO

    UNRWA

    Volodymyr Zelenskyy

    Greta Thunberg

    Wa Lone

    MSF / Doctors without Borders

    Vladimir Putin

    Bill Gates / Gates Foundation

    Kim Jong Un

    Daniel Sheehan

    @Krantz

    Philippe Lazzarini

    Joe Biden

    Alexei Navalny

    Kyaw Moe Tun

    José Andrés

    World Uyghur Congress

    Maria Corina Machado

    Eliezer Yudkowsky

    OSCE Office for Democratic Institutions and Human Rights

    Timnit Gebru

    Elon Musk

    NATO

    Netanyahu

    JD Vance

    AOC

    Antonio Guterres

    Julian Assange

    David Attenborough

    Pope Francis

    Ursula von der Leyen

    Keir Starmer

    European Union

    Ilham Tohti

    Sviatlana Tsikhanouskaya

    International Court of Justice

    Jacinda Ardern

    Raoni Metuktire

    José Andrés

    Loujain al-Hathloul

    Ilwad Elman

    Narendra Modi

    Yvonne Ridley

    Hajer Sharief

    Alexis Tsipras

    Isaias Afwerki

    Nathan Law

    Agnes Chow

    Filippo Grandi

    Yuan Longping

    Mahbouba Seraj

    Narges Mohammadi

    Victoria Tauli-Corpuz

    Juan Carlos Jintiach

    Joshua Wong

    Ernest Moniz

    DOGE

    Kamala Harris

    Noam Chomsky

    International Fact-Checking Network

    Manifold Markets

    Justin Trudeau

    Aleksandr Lukashenko

    Sam Altman

    Abdullah Öcalan

    Robert Kennedy Jr

    59

    9

    3

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    Who will win a Nobel Prize before they die?

    Jul 5, 9:47 AMJan 1, 10:40 AM
    352601

    OptionProbability

    María Corina Machado

    Alexei Kitaev

    Robin Hanson

    Jamie Joyce

    Daniel Sheehan

    Daniel Hillis

    John Preskill

    Donald Trump

    Jared Kushner

    Balaji Srinivasan

    Eliezer Yudkowsky

    Elon Musk

    Jack Dorsey

    Robert Kennedy Jr.

    @Krantz

    99

    84

    50

    34

    29

    26

    26

    16

    10

    8

    7

    6

    6

    3

    0

    OptionProbability

    Unclear

    Insider trading (leaked information from Nobel Committee)

    Activism to raise profile of her and her cause

    Market manipulation scheme (for-profit motives)

    Other

    69

    19

    8

    3

    1

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    436

    209

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