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Prediction markets for Meta
Will any 4 of AAPL, AMZN, ASML, GOOG, META, MSFT, NVDA, and TSM lose 60% of their peak value before 2028?
Sep 23, 4:56 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
23.91%chance
3511987
OptionVotes
18344
5235
Will meta announce Its shutting down its metaverse by the end of 2026?
Mar 7, 3:44 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
37%chance
875012
OptionVotes
1802
1169
Will OpenAI announce that they are cooperating with Deepmind, Anthropic, Meta or Google in order to mitigate race dynamics by 2027?
Feb 27, 5:52 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
23.69%chance
261750
OptionVotes
1795
222
OptionVotes
1528
655
US Software Engineer Union at Meta, Microsoft, Alphabet, Amazon, or Apple by end of 2026?
Sep 23, 6:16 PMJan 1, 6:59 AM
22.57%chance
221335
OptionVotes
1227
912
Will Meta ever deploy its best LLM without releasing its model weights up through AGI?
Jan 26, 6:59 PMFeb 2, 4:59 AM
80.46%chance
391301
OptionVotes
1403
867
If passed, will SB 1047 cover any Open Source model before 2029, not including those of Meta, OpenAI, Anthropic, etc?
Aug 29, 2:46 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
45.35%chance
61165
OptionVotes
1098
911
Meta sells/rents AI compute to external customers by end-2026?
Oct 30, 1:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
38.22%chance
14858
OptionVotes
1271
787
OptionVotes
405
100
Temperature market 🌡 : Meta business is good and aligned with humanity flurishing.
Feb 11, 8:10 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM
21.88%chance
19413
OptionVotes
1321
881
Will Meta provide the content of a WhatsApp message to US law enforcement before January 20, 2029?
Jan 8, 2:50 PMJan 21, 7:59 AM
56.57%chance
4317
OptionVotes
1141
876
Will Meta censor its future open weights models according to Chinese-developed techniques?
May 6, 4:05 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
32.09%chance
14135
OptionVotes
1178
1053