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Prediction markets for Michael
Will Michael Nielsen agree by 2030 that private-only funding for science significantly improves the status quo?
Feb 5, 11:21 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
12.14%chance
234002
OptionVotes
1340
921
Will Michael Saylor be worth more than $1 Trillion during his lifetime?
Mar 4, 7:47 PMFeb 5, 4:59 AM
14.28%chance
212747
OptionVotes
1493
859
Will Michael Levin win a Nobel Prize any time in the future?
Jan 3, 8:10 AMJan 1, 6:01 AM
48.2%chance
331946
OptionVotes
1207
669
Next Michael Lewis book primarily about prediction markets?
Nov 25, 5:00 PMMar 1, 5:59 AM
15.08%chance
81654
OptionVotes
2052
100
OptionVotes
1218
744
Will Michael Bay make a Skibidi Toilet film by the end of 2028?
Jul 29, 7:50 PMNov 26, 11:59 PM
24.71%chance
171531
OptionVotes
1746
573
Will Michael Levin have a paper on bioelectricity or related systems which has over 2000 citations, by mid 2031
Jan 25, 11:12 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM
62.85%chance
131399
OptionVotes
1301
769
Will Michael Bloomberg (mayor, businessman) be charged with a serious crime before 2030?
May 9, 1:42 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
7%chance
121065
OptionVotes
2040
861
Will Michael Bailey publish a fraudulent test of the gAyGP thesis by 2032?
Jan 27, 10:17 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM
80%chance
11000
OptionVotes
2000
500
OptionVotes
1752
571
Will there be a Michael Lewis book centering on OpenAI or Sam Altman?
Aug 8, 7:42 PMAug 9, 3:59 AM
19.93%chance
11899
OptionVotes
1289
905
Will Michael Trazzi win the Legion d'Honneur by EOY2050?
Sep 21, 9:10 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
23.79%chance
279
OptionVotes
179
56
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