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Prediction markets for Moraes
OptionVotes
2278
439
Will popular opinion in the U.S. be that factory farming is a moral atrocity by end of 2050?
Jan 10, 6:57 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
70.45%chance
381457
OptionVotes
1231
871
Will wild-animal suffering be a mainstream moral issue by the beginning of 2100?
Mar 26, 1:03 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM
53.29%chance
351419
OptionVotes
1051
928
Will popular opinion in the U.S. be that factory farming is a moral atrocity by end of 2040?
Jan 10, 6:57 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
50.37%chance
26576
OptionVotes
1147
821
Will popular opinion in the U.S. be that factory farming is a moral atrocity by end of 2075?
Jan 10, 6:57 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
74.2%chance
24485
OptionVotes
1134
936
Wild-animal suffering will be a mainstream moral issue by 2100, conditional on biological humans still existing
Jan 29, 5:14 AMFeb 2, 7:59 AM
50.5%chance
21430
OptionVotes
1020
969
Will Hsu and Morandini's fraudulent autogynephilia study be retracted?
Jan 24, 7:15 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM
8409
OptionProbability
50
30
20
Which Coaches Are Out Amongst the Independents and PAC-"12"? Coaching Carousel 2025-26
Jun 6, 9:29 PMMar 15, 11:59 PM
2195
OptionProbability
45
45
43
33
OptionProbability
55
34
34
34
34
34
34
34
34
34
34
OptionProbability
19
17
12
6
6
6
6
5
5
5
5
5
5
Will AI labs need to switch to monitoring chips for a moratorium on AI development to work?
Jan 17, 3:55 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM
54%chance
38
OptionVotes
74
66
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