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Noem News

    Prediction markets for Noem

    Who will be the Republican nominee for president in 2028?

    Aug 20, 12:02 AMFeb 20, 4:59 AM
    593664194

    OptionProbability

    JD Vance

    Other

    Donald Trump Jr

    Marco Rubio

    Ron Desantis

    Donald Trump, Sr

    Glenn Youngkin

    Tulsi Gabbard

    None

    Nikki Haley

    Tim Scott

    Vivek Ramaswamy

    Tucker Carlson

    Josh Hawley

    Greg Abbott

    Ted Cruz

    Mike Pence

    Kristi Noem

    Mike Johnson

    Matt Gaetz

    Marjorie Taylor Greene

    Lauren Boebert

    Tom Cotton

    Elon Musk

    Kari Lake

    Sarah Sanders

    Chris Sununu

    Steven Mnuchin

    Brian Kemp

    Elise Stefanik

    Ben Carson

    Jamie Dimon

    Ivanka Trump

    @Mira

    Nick Fuentes

    Doug Burgum

    Paul Ryan

    48

    16

    8

    8

    3

    3

    2

    2

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    OptionProbability

    JD Vance

    Other

    Gavin Newsom

    Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

    Pete Buttigieg

    Josh Shapiro

    Kamala Harris

    Donald Trump

    Gretchen Whitmer

    JB Pritzker

    Robert F. Kennedy, Jr.

    None

    Ron DeSantis

    Andy Beshear

    Nikki Haley

    Michelle Obama

    Tulsi Gabbard

    Jamie Dimon

    Tucker Carlson

    Donald Trump Jr.

    Tim Walz

    John Fetterman

    Mark Cuban

    Ruben Gallego

    Vivek Ramaswamy

    Joe Biden

    Tim Scott

    Katie Hobbs

    Greg Abbott

    Elizabeth Warren

    Mike Johnson

    Ted Cruz

    Mike Pence

    Jared Polis

    Ivanka Trump

    Elon Musk

    Sam Altman

    Dwayne “The Rock” Johnson

    Elise Stefanik

    Kristi Noem

    Nicole Shanahan

    Scott Alexander

    Eliezer Yudkowsky

    Aella

    George Clooney

    Tom Hanks

    Steven Pinker

    Patrick Stewart

    George R R Martin

    Noah Smith

    Matt Yglesias

    Kanye West

    Doug Burgum

    Jeff Jackson

    Mark Kelly

    Glenn Youngkin

    Barack Obama

    Oprah Winfrey

    Hillary Clinton

    Joe Rogan

    Ro Khanna

    26

    24

    9

    6

    4

    4

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    OptionProbability

    J. D. Vance

    Josh Shapiro

    Marco Rubio

    Gavin Newsom

    Gretchen Whitmer

    Tulsi Gabbard

    Pete Buttigieg

    J. B. Pritzker

    Jeff Jackson

    Jon Ossoff

    Josh Hawley

    KRANTZ (the abstract idea that evolves into a decentralized superintelligence, not the user)

    Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

    Glenn Youngkin

    Elise Stefanik

    Donald Trump Jr.

    Nikki Haley

    Ron DeSantis

    Wes Moore

    Andy Beshear

    Kamala Harris

    Brian Kemp

    Amy Klobuchar

    Cory Booker

    Gina Raimondo

    Ro Khanna

    Chris Murphy

    Brian Schatz

    Tammy Duckworth

    Tammy Baldwin

    Chris Sununu

    Katie Hobbs

    Josh Green

    Tina Kotek

    Vivek Ramaswamy

    Ted Cruz

    Kristi Noem

    Raphael Warnock

    Jared Polis

    Tom Cotton

    Joni Ernst

    Michael Bennet

    Catherine Cortez Masto

    Sarah Huckabee Sanders

    Kevin Stitt

    Spencer Cox

    Tim Walz

    Ivanka Trump

    Mark Cuban

    Stephen Miller

    James Donaldson (MrBeast)

    Tim Scott

    Robert F. Kennedy Jr

    Andrew Yang

    Beto O'Rourke

    Mark Kelly

    Jay Inslee

    Deval Patrick

    Eric Swalwell

    Wayne Messam

    Kirsten Gillibrand

    Julian Castro

    Dean Phillips

    Katie Britt

    Laphonza Butler

    Eric Schmitt

    Mike Lee

    Chris Coons

    Tim Kaine

    Lisa Murkowski

    Tate Reeves

    Ruben Gallego

    David Hogg

    Will Hurd

    Dan Crenshaw

    John Fetterman

    Mark Zuckerberg

    Stephen Curry

    Rand Paul

    Taylor Swift

    Steven Kenneth Bonnell II (Destiny)

    Matt Gaetz

    Joe Rogan

    Marianne Williamson

    Ezra Klein

    Mike Pence

    Stephen Colbert

    Markwayne Mullin

    Joe Manchin

    Maura Healey

    Al Gore

    DUPLICATE

    Dwayne Johnson (The Rock)

    Eliezer Yudkowsky

    Aella

    Scott Alexander

    Sam Altman

    Tucker Carlson

    Zendaya

    Michelle Obama

    Kanye West

    Mitt Romney

    Sarah Palin

    Jon Stewart

    Ben Shapiro

    Bernie Sanders

    Hillary Clinton

    Elon Musk (Natural-born-citizen clause repealed/bypassed)

    Me

    Krantz (the user @Krantz)

    41

    25

    19

    17

    14

    14

    14

    13

    12

    11

    10

    10

    9

    9

    8

    8

    7

    7

    7

    7

    6

    6

    6

    6

    6

    6

    6

    6

    6

    6

    6

    6

    6

    6

    5

    5

    5

    5

    5

    5

    5

    5

    5

    5

    5

    5

    5

    5

    5

    5

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    3

    3

    3

    3

    3

    3

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    OptionProbability

    J. D. Vance

    Nikki Haley

    Ron DeSantis

    Glenn Youngkin

    Marco Rubio

    Vivek Ramaswamy

    Elise Stefanik

    Doug Burgum

    Sarah Huckabee Sanders

    Greg Abbott

    Brian Kemp

    Josh Hawley

    Katie Britt

    Chris Christie

    Kristi Noem

    Mike Johnson

    Mike Pompeo

    Tom Cotton

    Todd Young

    Chris Sununu

    Kim Reynolds

    Dan Crenshaw

    Tim Scott

    Will Hurd

    Franciz Suarez

    Ted Cruz

    Tucker Carlson

    Rick Scott

    Joni Ernst

    Markwayne Mullin

    Byron Donalds

    Donald Trump Jr.

    Tulsi Gabbard

    Rand Paul

    Mike Lee

    Mike Pence

    Marjorie Taylor Greene

    Donald Trump

    Liz Cheney

    Matt Gaetz

    72

    48

    33

    28

    26

    15

    14

    13

    12

    12

    12

    12

    12

    12

    12

    12

    12

    12

    12

    12

    12

    12

    11

    11

    11

    11

    11

    11

    11

    11

    10

    10

    10

    9

    8

    7

    6

    6

    4

    3

    OptionProbability

    J.D. Vance

    Pete Buttigieg

    Nikki Haley

    Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (AOC)

    Gavin Newsom

    Marco Rubio

    J.B. Pritzker

    Greg Abbott

    Elise Stefanik

    Ron DeSantis

    Gretchen Whitmer

    Wes Moore

    Andy Beshear

    Brian Kemp

    Kari Lake

    Kamala Harris

    Vivek Ramaswamy

    Raphael Warnock

    Zvi Mowshowitz

    Roy Cooper

    Ilhan Omar

    Jon Stewart

    Beto O'Rourke

    Mark Cuban

    Sarah Huckabee Sanders

    John Fetterman

    Josh Hawley

    Stephen Colbert

    Kristi Noem

    Tammy Duckworth

    Tim Scott

    Ben Carson

    Hakeem Jeffries

    Byron Donalds

    Tucker Carlson

    Andrew Yang

    Katie Porter

    Katie Britt

    Michelle Obama

    Eliezer Yudkowsky

    Matt Gaetz

    Chuck Norris

    Hillary Clinton

    45

    44

    31

    23

    21

    19

    19

    18

    17

    17

    17

    17

    17

    17

    17

    16

    16

    16

    16

    15

    14

    14

    13

    13

    13

    13

    13

    13

    12

    12

    12

    11

    10

    10

    8

    8

    7

    6

    5

    5

    3

    3

    1

    OptionProbability

    Other

    JD Vance

    Pete Buttigieg

    Kamala Harris

    Gavin Newsom

    Gretchen Whitmer

    Vivek Ramaswamy

    Michelle Obama

    J.B. Pritzker

    Andy Beshear

    Ron Desantis

    Nikki Haley

    Glenn Youngkin

    Raphael Warnock

    Ted Cruz

    Elise Stefanik

    Kristi Noem

    Tim Scott

    Greg Abbott

    46

    24

    14

    4

    2

    2

    2

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    Who will be the first Cabinet member to leave in 2025?

    Mar 14, 11:35 AMJan 7, 4:59 AM
    271176

    OptionProbability

    None of these

    Tulsi Gabbard

    Pete Hegseth

    Scott Bessent

    Marco Rubio

    R. F. Kennedy Jr.

    Kristi Noem

    Howard Lutnick

    Sean Duffy

    Lee Zeldin

    Doug Burgum

    Brooke Rollins

    Scott Turner

    Doug Collins

    Russel Vought

    Chris Wright

    59

    11

    10

    5

    2

    2

    2

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    Will Kristi Noem die before the end of 2028?

    Jun 17, 11:22 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
    2.47%chance
    12790

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    629

    16

    Will Kristi Noem serve for Trump’s entire term?

    Nov 12, 8:49 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
    31%chance
    4675

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    1492

    670

    US Politician Stocks

    Apr 4, 11:01 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
    9157

    OptionProbability

    Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

    Joe Biden

    Donald Trump

    Other

    Gavin Newsom

    Tucker Carlson

    Elise Stefanik

    J.B. Pritzker

    Ron DeSantis

    Nikki Haley

    Kamala Harris

    Vivek Ramaswamy

    Mike Pence

    Chris Christie

    Asa Hutchinson

    Ted Cruz

    Tim Scott

    Hillary Clinton

    Dean Phillips

    Kristi Noem

    Michelle Obama

    22

    13

    11

    8

    6

    5

    5

    3

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    Kristi Noem responsible for crimes against humanity by 2030

    Nov 14, 8:39 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM
    78.39%chance
    4137

    OptionVotes

    NO

    YES

    190

    53

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    161

    62

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