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Prediction markets for Obama
Will Michelle Obama ever become the President of the USA?
Jul 22, 10:55 AMNov 1, 10:59 PM
3.42%chance
317674
OptionVotes
5315
188
Will (any) Trump run against (any) Obama in the 2028 presidential election?
Mar 31, 3:58 PMJan 5, 11:59 PM
1.8%chance
106846
OptionVotes
7394
135
OptionVotes
3208
312
OptionVotes
2807
735
Will Barack Obama be alive on the day a human walks on Mars?
Mar 23, 7:21 PMMar 30, 7:21 PM
43.77%chance
634864
OptionVotes
2366
1634
If term limits are repealed, will Barack Obama run for president in 2028?
Nov 8, 2:31 AMNov 7, 4:59 AM
25.4%chance
113015
OptionVotes
1714
584
Will Obama be formally associated with Anthropic before 2030?
May 23, 1:43 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
11.11%chance
132059
OptionVotes
3098
407
OptionVotes
2138
700
OptionVotes
2008
1940
OptionVotes
1243
805
Will "Was Barack Obama still serving as president i..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
Sep 18, 7:12 AMFeb 1, 12:00 AM
8.85%chance
4581
OptionVotes
1559
930
Will all living US presidents attend Barack Obama's funeral?
Jan 5, 9:19 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
74.71%chance
19544
OptionVotes
1022
895
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