OptionProbability
Tom Holland (Peter Parker / Spider-Man)
Anthony Mackie (Sam Wilson / Captain America)
Pedro Pascal (Reed Richards / Mister Fantastic)
Benedict Cumberbatch (Dr. Stephen Strange)
Joseph Quinn (Johnny Storm / Human Torch)
Samuel L. Jackson (Nick Fury)
Robert Downey, Jr. (Victor von Doom / Doctor Doom, Tony Stark / Iron Man)
Vanessa Kirby (Sue Storm / Invisible Woman)
Ebon Moss-Bachrach (Ben Grimm / The Thing)
Paul Rudd (Scott Lang / Ant-Man)
Chris Hemsworth (Thor)
Charlie Cox (Matt Murdock / Daredevil)
Julia Louis-Dreyfus (Valentina Allegra de Fontaine)
Sebastian Stan (Bucky Barnes / Winter Soldier / White Wolf)
Simu Liu (Shang-Chi)
Danny Ramirez (Joaquin Torres / Falcon)
Iman Vellani (Kamala Khan / Ms. Marvel)
Ryan Reynolds (Wade Wilson / Deadpool)
Mark Ruffalo (Bruce Banner / Hulk)
Dominique Thorne (Riri Williams / Ironheart)
Florence Pugh (Yelena Belova / Black Widow)
Benedict Wong (Wong)
Chris Pratt (Peter Quill / Star-Lord)
Vin Diesel (Groot)
Jeremy Renner (Clint Barton / Hawkeye)
Wyatt Russell (John Walker / U.S. Agent)
Brie Larson (Carol Danvers / Captain Marvel)
Hannah John-Kamen (Ava Starr / Ghost)
Letitia Wright (Shuri / Black Panther)
Karen Gillan (Nebula)
Tatiana Maslany (Jennifer Walters / She-Hulk)
David Harbour (Alexei Shostakov / Red Guardian)
Hailee Steinfeld (Kate Bishop / Hawkeye)
Teyonah Parris (Monica Rambeau)
Xochitl Gomez (America Chavez)
Kathryn Newton (Cassie Lang)
Bradley Cooper (Rocket Raccoon)
Will Poulter (Adam Warlock)
Tenoch Huerta Mejía (Namor)
Don Cheadle (James "Rhodey" Rhodes / War Machine)
Pom Klementieff (Mantis)
Tessa Thompson (Valkyrie)
Winston Duke (M'Baku)
Elizabeth Olsen (Wanda Maximoff / Scarlet Witch)
Paul Bettany (Vision)
Kathryn Hahn (Agatha Harkness)
Danai Gurira (Okoye)
Oscar Isaac (Marc Spector / Moon Knight, Steven Grant / Mr. Knight, Jake Lockley)
Hayley Atwell (Peggy Carter / Captain Carter)
Tom Hiddleston (Loki)
Mahershala Ali (Blade)
Hugh Jackman (James "Logan" Howlett / Wolverine)
Sean Gunn (Kraglin)
Alaqua Cox (Maya Lopez / Echo)
Lupita Nyong'o (Nakia)
Wil Deusner (Skaar)
Gemma Chan (Sersi)
Kumail Nanjiani (Kingo)
Lia McHugh (Sprite)
Brian Tyree Henry (Phastos)
Barry Keoghan (Druig)
Harry Styles (Eros / Starfox)
Patton Oswalt (Pip the Troll)
Kit Harington (Dane Whitman)
Yahya Abdul-Mateen II (Simon Williams / Wonder Man)
Ralph Ineson (Galactus)
Evangeline Lilly (Hope van Dyne / Wasp)
Seth Green (Howard the Duck)
Zoe Saldaña (Gamora)
Dave Bautista (Drax)
Angelina Jolie (Thena)
Gael García Bernal (Jack Russell / Werewolf by Night)
Tobey Maguire (Peter Parker / Spider-Man)
Chris Evans (Steve Rogers / Captain America)
Scarlett Johansson (Natasha Romanoff / Black Widow)
Andrew Garfield (Peter Parker / Spider-Man)
Lauren Ridloff (Makkari)
May Calamawy (Layla El-Faouly / Scarlet Scarab)
Emilia Clarke (G'iah)
Jeffrey Wright (The Watcher)
Harrison Ford (Thaddeus "Thunderbolt" Ross)
Olga Kurylenko (Antonia Dreykov / Taskmaster)
Brett Goldstein (Hercules)
Don Lee (Gilgamesh)
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91
90
89
88
88
88
87
86
85
85
84
83
83
83
82
82
81
81
79
79
78
78
78
78
76
76
76
75
75
74
73
72
72
70
69
69
69
69
66
66
66
65
65
62
59
59
59
54
54
53
52
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
48
46
41
41
41
41
40
38
34
34
34
34
34
32
27
19
17
16
OptionProbability
Is marketed as Episode X
Red lightsaber on screen
Blue lightsaber on screen
Green lightsaber on screen
Will be announced before 2028
Trailer out before 2028 (teaser counts)
The "Millennium Falcon" is on screen or mentioned
"Darth Sidious" or "Palpatine" is mentioned
Tie fighters on screen
"Darth Vader" is mentioned
A character is a Skywalker (by blood, name does not matter)
A dead character has spoken lines
A dead person appears as something like a ~spirit
New droid companion
Oscar Isaac returns in his previous role
Strong, quasi-masculine-presenting female lead character
Scantily clad hypersexualized female characters
Sole director credit to Sharmeen Obaid-Chinoy
Digital version of dead actor plays a role
Yellow lightsaber on screen
Scores ≥7.5 on IMDB exactly one month after release
There will be a new lightsaber based weapon form we haven’t seen before (like Kylo’s light saber hilt).
John Boyega returns in his previous role
Adam Driver returns in his previous role
Taxes are mentioned
Droid dances
Using the force to choke someone
Death Star mentioned
Flashback to a period clearly overlapping with movies I-IX
Any actor from the original trilogy plays the same role
Is defined as part of a trilogy, before its premier date
Blue milk on screen
Cantina band song remix
Purple lightsaber on screen
Main character is not human
Somehow, Palpatine returned
Will NOT be announced before 2030
The word "rationalussy" is spoken
85
83
83
79
78
74
72
65
56
54
53
53
51
50
50
50
50
50
46
44
44
44
42
42
41
35
35
35
34
34
34
34
34
27
26
24
20
1