OptionProbability
(2026/04/05) In the Tour de Flanders, will Tadej Pogačar outfinish Mathieu van der Poel?
(2026/03/21) In the Milano-San Remo, will Tadej Pogačar outfinish Mathieu van der Poel?
(2026/04/12) In the Paris-Roubaix, will Tadej Pogačar outfinish Mathieu van der Poel?
(2026/04/26) In the Liege-Bastogne-Liege, will Tadej Pogačar outfinish Mathieu van der Poel?
(2026/03/21) In the Milano-San Remo, will Tadej Pogačar outfinish Filippo Ganna?
(2026/01/20) In the Santos Down Under Prologue, will Jay Vine outfinish Matthew Brennan?
(2026/01/22) After the 2nd stage of Santos Down Under, will Jay Vine outfinish Matthew Brennan?
(2026/01/23) After the 3rd stage of Santos Down Under, will Jay Vine outfinish Matthew Brennan?
(2026/01/24) After the 4th stage of Santos Down Under, will Jay Vine outfinish Matthew Brennan?
(2026/01/25) After the 5th stage of Santos Down Under, will Jay Vine outfinish Matthew Brennan?
(2026/01/17) After the 1st stage of the Womens' Santos Down Under, will Noemi Ruegg outfinish Neve Bradbury?
(2026/01/18) After the 2nd stage of the Womens' Santos Down Under, will Noemi Ruegg outfinish Neve Bradbury?
(2026/01/19) After the 3rd stage of the Womens' Santos Down Under, will Noemi Ruegg outfinish Neve Bradbury?
(2026/01/17) After the 1st stage of the Womens' Santos Down Under, will Amanda Spratt outfinish Mackenzie Coupland?
(2026/01/18) After the 2nd stage of the Womens' Santos Down Under, will Amanda Spratt outfinish Mackenzie Coupland?
(2026/01/19) After the 3rd stage of the Womens' Santos Down Under, will Amanda Spratt outfinish Mackenzie Coupland?
(2026/01/19) After the 3rd stage of the Womens' Santos Down Under, will Amanda Spratt outfinish Ally Wollaston?
(2026/01/19) After the 3rd stage of the Womens' Santos Down Under, will Noemi Ruegg outfinish Ally Wollaston?
(2026/01/20) In the Santos Down Under Prologue, will Jay Vine outfinish Jhonatan Narváez?
(2026/01/20) In the Santos Down Under Prologue, will Luke Plapp outfinish Ben O'Connor?
(2026/01/20) In the Santos Down Under Prologue, will Aaron Gate outfinish Adam Yates?
(2026/01/21) After the 1st stage of Santos Down Under, will Jhonathan Narvaez outfinish Jensen Plowright?
(2026/01/23) After the 3rd stage of Santos Down Under, will Jay Vine outfinish Jhonathan Narvaez?
(2026/01/23) After the 3rd stage of Santos Down Under, will Mauro Schmid outfinish Harrison Sweeny?
(2026/01/25) After the 5th stage of Santos Down Under, will Jay Vine outfinish all remaining cyclists?
(2026/01/25) After the 5th stage of Santos Down Under, will Jay Vine outfinish Mauro Schmid?
(2026/04/26) In the Liege-Bastogne-Liege, will Tadej Pogačar outfinish Mattias Skjelmose?
(2026/04/26) In the Liege-Bastogne-Liege, will Remco Evenepoel outfinish Mattias Skjelmose?
(2026/05/31) In the Giro d'Italia, will Jan Christen outfinish Martin Tjotta?
(2026/05/31) In the Giro d'Italia, will Felix Gall outfinish Afonso Eulalio?
(2026/07/26) In the Tour de France, will Tadej Pogačar outfinish Jasper Philipsen?
(2026/07/26) In the Tour de France, will Tadej Pogačar outfinish Mathieu Van Der Poel?
(2026/07/05) In the Tour de France, will Tadej Pogačar outfinish Jonas Vingegaard?
(2026/07/06) In the Tour de France, will Tadej Pogačar outfinish Jonas Vingegaard?
(2026/07/26) In the Tour de France, will Tim Van Dijke outfinish Biniam Girmay?
(2026/07/04) In the Tour de France, will Tadej Pogačar outfinish Juan Ayuso?
(2026/07/05) In the Tour de France, will Tadej Pogačar outfinish Filippo Ganna?
(2026/07/26) In the Tour de France, will Tadej Pogačar outfinish Filippo Ganna?
(2026/07/09) In the Tour de France, will Tadej Pogačar outfinish Jonas Vingegaard?
(2026/07/10) In the Tour de France, will Tadej Pogačar outfinish Jonas Vingegaard?
(2026/07/11) In the Tour de France, will Tadej Pogačar outfinish Jonas Vingegaard?
(2026/07/12) In the Tour de France, will Tadej Pogačar outfinish Jonas Vingegaard?
(2026/07/14) In the Tour de France, will Tadej Pogačar outfinish Jonas Vingegaard?
(2026/07/15) In the Tour de France, will Tadej Pogačar outfinish Jonas Vingegaard?
(2026/07/16) In the Tour de France, will Tadej Pogačar outfinish Jonas Vingegaard?
(2026/07/17) In the Tour de France, will Tadej Pogačar outfinish Jonas Vingegaard?
(2026/07/18) In the Tour de France, will Tadej Pogačar outfinish Jonas Vingegaard?
(2026/07/19) In the Tour de France, will Tadej Pogačar outfinish Jonas Vingegaard?
(2026/07/07) In the Tour de France, will Tadej Pogačar outfinish Remco Evenepoel?
(2026/07/08) In the Tour de France, will Torsteen Traeen outfinish Jonas Vingegaard?
(2026/07/08) In the Tour de France, will Torsteen Traeen outfinish Tadej Pogacar?
(2026/07/11) In the Tour de France, will Tadej Pogačar outfinish Isaac Del Toro?
(2026/07/21) In the Tour de France, will Tadej Pogačar outfinish Jonas Vingegaard?
(2026/07/04) In the Tour de France, will Isaac del Toro outfinish Oscar Onley?
(2026/07/23) In the Tour de France, will Tadej Pogačar outfinish Jonas Vingegaard?
(2026/07/22) In the Tour de France, will Tadej Pogačar outfinish Jonas Vingegaard?
(2026/07/25) In the Tour de France, will Tadej Pogačar outfinish Jonas Vingegaard?
(2026/07/26) In the Tour de France, will Paul Sexias outfinish Jonas Vingegaard?
(2026/07/26) In the Tour de France, will Paul Sexias outfinish Primoz Roglic?
(2026/07/26) In the Tour de France, will Filippo Ganna outfinish Jonas Vingegaard?
(2026/07/26) In the Tour de France, will Filippo Ganna outfinish Jonas Vingegaard?
(2026/07/26) In the Tour de France, will Mattieu Van Der Poel outfinish Jonas Vingegaard?
(2026/07/24) In the Tour de France, will Tadej Pogačar outfinish Jonas Vingegaard?
(2026/07/26) In the Tour de France, will Mathias Skjelmose outfinish Jonas Vingegaard?
(2026/07/26) In the Tour de France, will Juan Ayuso outfinish Jonas Vingegaard?
(2026/07/26) In the Tour de France, will Jasper Philipsen outfinish Jonas Vingegaard?
(2026/07/26) In the Tour de France, will Jasper Philipsen outfinish Jonathan Milan?
(2026/10/10) In the Il Lombardia, will Tadej Pogačar outfinish Mathieu van der Poel?
(2026/07/26) In the Tour de France, will Tadej Pogačar outfinish Jonas Vingegaard?
(2026/04/26) In the Liege-Bastogne-Liege, will Mattias Skjelmose outfinish Mathieu van der Poel?
(2026/08/22) In the La Vuelta de Espana, will Wout Van Art outfinish Felix Gall?
(2026/01/20) In the Santos Down Under Prologue, will Adam Yates outfinish Jhonatan Narváez?
(2026/07/26) In the Tour de France, will Filippo Ganna outfinish Guilio Ciccone?
(2026/07/26) In the Tour de France, will Primoz Roglic outfinish Jonas Vingegaard?
(2026/09/13) In the La Vuelta de Espana, will Wout Van Art outfinish Felix Gall?
(2026/08/22) In the La Vuelta de Espana, will Felix Gall outfinish Joao Almeida?
(2026/08/22) In the La Vuelta de Espana, will Max Pedersen outfinish Felix Gall?
(2026/09/13) In the La Vuelta de Espana, will Max Pedersen outfinish Felix Gall?
(2026/08/22) In the La Vuelta de Espana, will Primov Roglic outfinish Max Poole?
(2026/08/22) In the La Vuelta de Espana, will Wout Van Art outfinish Sepp Kuss?
(2026/08/22) In the La Vuelta de Espana, will Tom Pidcock outfinish Joao Almeida?
(2026/08/22) In the La Vuelta de Espana, will Wout Van Art outfinish Joao Almeida?
(2026/07/26) In the Tour de France, will Torsteen Traeen outfinish Jonas Vingegaard?
(2026/10/10) In the Il Lombardia, will Filippo Ganna outfinish Mathieu van der Poel?
(2026/09/13) In the Vuelta a Espana, will Isaac Del Toro outfinish Tadej Pogacar?
(2026/07/26) In the Tour de France, will Florian Lipowitz outfinish Remco Evenepoel?
(2026/01/21) After the 1st stage of Santos Down Under, will Jay Vine outfinish Matthew Brennan?
(2026/01/18) After the 2nd stage of the Womens' Santos Down Under, will Amanda Spratt outfinish Ally Wollaston?
(2026/01/18) After the 2nd stage of the Womens' Santos Down Under, will Mackenzie Coupland outfinish Ally Wollaston?
(2026/01/20) In the Santos Down Under Prologue, will Adam Yates outfinish Ben O'Connor?
(2026/01/20) In the Santos Down Under Prologue, will Corbin Strong outfinish Ben O'Connor?
(2026/01/20) In the Santos Down Under Prologue, will Corbin Strong outfinish Adam Yates?
(2026/01/20) In the Santos Down Under Prologue, will Nicolas Prodhomme outfinish Adam Yates?
(2026/01/20) In the Santos Down Under Prologue, will Corbin Strong outfinish Andrea Bagioli?
(2026/01/21) After the 1st stage of Santos Down Under, will Jay Vine outfinish Samuel Watson?
(2026/01/21) After the 1st stage of Santos Down Under, will Jhonathan Narvaez outfinish Matthew Brennan?
(2026/01/23) After the 3rd stage of Santos Down Under, will Mauro Schmid outfinish Jhonathan Narvaez?
(2026/01/23) After the 3rd stage of Santos Down Under, will Marco Brenner outfinish Harrison Sweeny?
(2026/03/21) In the Milano-San Remo, will Jasper Philipsen outfinish Wout Van Aert?
(2026/03/21) In the Milano-San Remo, will Mads Pedersen outfinish Wout Van Aert?
(2026/03/21) In the Milano-San Remo, will Jasper Philipsen outfinish Mads Pedersen?
(2026/03/21) In the Milano-San Remo, will Jasper Philipsen outfinish Filippo Ganna?
(2026/04/05) In the Tour de Flanders, will Wout van Aert outfinish Mathieu van der Poel?
(2026/04/26) In the Liege-Bastogne-Liege, will Mattias Skjelmose outfinish Pello Bilbao?
(2026/05/31) In the Giro d'Italia, will Guillermo Thomas Silva outfinish Egan Bernal?
(2026/05/30) In the Giro d'Italia, will Guillermo Thomas Silva outfinish Egan Bernal?
(2026/05/31) In the Giro d'Italia, will Jan Christen outfinish Egan Bernal?
(2026/07/04) In the Tour de France, will Tadej Pogačar outfinish Jonas Vingegaard?
(2026/07/04) In the Tour de France, will Paul Sexias outfinish Florian Lipowitz?
(2026/06/07) In the Giro d'Italia Women, will Elisa Balsamo outfinish Lara Gillespie?
(2026/07/26) In the Tour de France, will Mattieu Van Der Poel outfinish Juan Ayuso?
(2026/07/05) In the Tour de France, will Filippo Ganna outfinish Jonas Vingegaard?
(2026/07/05) In the Tour de France, will Juan Ayusa outfinish Remco Evenepoel?
(2026/07/26) In the Tour de France, will Juan Ayusa outfinish Remco Evenepoel?
(2026/07/07) In the Tour de France, will Tadej Pogačar outfinish Jonas Vingegaard?
(2026/07/08) In the Tour de France, will Tadej Pogačar outfinish Jonas Vingegaard?
(2026/07/05) In the Tour de France, will Florian Lipowitz outfinish Remco Evenepoel?
(2026/07/06) In the Tour de France, will Florian Lipowitz outfinish Remco Evenepoel?
(2026/07/25) In the Tour de France, will Florian Lipowitz outfinish Remco Evenepoel?
(2026/07/06) In the Tour de France, will Isaac Del Toro outfinish Tadej Pogacar?
(2026/07/26) In the Tour de France, will Isaac Del Toro outfinish Tadej Pogacar?
(2026/07/06) In the Tour de France, will Mathias Skjelmose outfinish Jonas Vingegaard?
(2026/07/07) In the Tour de France, will Remco Evenepoel outfinish Jonas Vingegaard?
(2026/07/26) In the Tour de France, will Paul Sexias outfinish Richard Carapaz?
(2026/07/26) In the Tour de France, will Torsteen Traeen outfinish Tadej Pogacar?
(2026/07/11) In the Tour de France, will Isaac Del Toro outfinish Jonas Vingegaard?
(2026/07/26) In the Tour de France, will Isaac Del Toro outfinish Remco Evenepoel?
(2026/07/26) In the Tour de France, will Paul Sexias outfinish Isaac Del Toro?
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
99
96
96
95
95
94
94
94
93
92
92
91
90
89
86
81
81
69
55
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
47
45
43
41
34
11
5
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
Robert Downey, Jr. (Victor von Doom / Doctor Doom, Tony Stark / Iron Man)
Tom Holland (Peter Parker / Spider-Man)
Anthony Mackie (Sam Wilson / Captain America)
Pedro Pascal (Reed Richards / Mister Fantastic)
Benedict Cumberbatch (Dr. Stephen Strange)
Ebon Moss-Bachrach (Ben Grimm / The Thing)
Joseph Quinn (Johnny Storm / Human Torch)
Samuel L. Jackson (Nick Fury)
Sebastian Stan (Bucky Barnes / Winter Soldier / White Wolf)
Vanessa Kirby (Sue Storm / Invisible Woman)
Simu Liu (Shang-Chi)
Paul Rudd (Scott Lang / Ant-Man)
Hannah John-Kamen (Ava Starr / Ghost)
Julia Louis-Dreyfus (Valentina Allegra de Fontaine)
Pom Klementieff (Mantis)
David Harbour (Alexei Shostakov / Red Guardian)
Danny Ramirez (Joaquin Torres / Falcon)
Chris Hemsworth (Thor)
Iman Vellani (Kamala Khan / Ms. Marvel)
Mark Ruffalo (Bruce Banner / Hulk)
Dominique Thorne (Riri Williams / Ironheart)
Florence Pugh (Yelena Belova / Black Widow)
Benedict Wong (Wong)
Chris Pratt (Peter Quill / Star-Lord)
Vin Diesel (Groot)
Ryan Reynolds (Wade Wilson / Deadpool)
Hugh Jackman (James "Logan" Howlett / Wolverine)
Jeremy Renner (Clint Barton / Hawkeye)
Wyatt Russell (John Walker / U.S. Agent)
Brie Larson (Carol Danvers / Captain Marvel)
Letitia Wright (Shuri / Black Panther)
Karen Gillan (Nebula)
Tatiana Maslany (Jennifer Walters / She-Hulk)
Chris Evans (Steve Rogers / Captain America)
Hailee Steinfeld (Kate Bishop / Hawkeye)
Teyonah Parris (Monica Rambeau)
Xochitl Gomez (America Chavez)
Hayley Atwell (Peggy Carter / Captain Carter)
Kathryn Newton (Cassie Lang)
Bradley Cooper (Rocket Raccoon)
Will Poulter (Adam Warlock)
Tenoch Huerta Mejía (Namor)
Don Cheadle (James "Rhodey" Rhodes / War Machine)
Charlie Cox (Matt Murdock / Daredevil)
Tessa Thompson (Valkyrie)
Winston Duke (M'Baku)
Elizabeth Olsen (Wanda Maximoff / Scarlet Witch)
Paul Bettany (Vision)
Kathryn Hahn (Agatha Harkness)
Danai Gurira (Okoye)
Tom Hiddleston (Loki)
Sean Gunn (Kraglin)
Alaqua Cox (Maya Lopez / Echo)
Lupita Nyong'o (Nakia)
Evangeline Lilly (Hope van Dyne / Wasp)
Seth Green (Howard the Duck)
Zoe Saldaña (Gamora)
Dave Bautista (Drax)
Gael García Bernal (Jack Russell / Werewolf by Night)
Oscar Isaac (Marc Spector / Moon Knight, Steven Grant / Mr. Knight, Jake Lockley)
Scarlett Johansson (Natasha Romanoff / Black Widow)
Andrew Garfield (Peter Parker / Spider-Man)
Gemma Chan (Sersi)
Kumail Nanjiani (Kingo)
Lia McHugh (Sprite)
Brian Tyree Henry (Phastos)
Lauren Ridloff (Makkari)
Barry Keoghan (Druig)
Yahya Abdul-Mateen II (Simon Williams / Wonder Man)
Ralph Ineson (Galactus)
Angelina Jolie (Thena)
May Calamawy (Layla El-Faouly / Scarlet Scarab)
Jeffrey Wright (The Watcher)
Mahershala Ali (Blade)
Tobey Maguire (Peter Parker / Spider-Man)
Emilia Clarke (G'iah)
Wil Deusner (Skaar)
Kit Harington (Dane Whitman)
Harrison Ford (Thaddeus "Thunderbolt" Ross)
Brett Goldstein (Hercules)
Harry Styles (Eros / Starfox)
Patton Oswalt (Pip the Troll)
Don Lee (Gilgamesh)
Olga Kurylenko (Antonia Dreykov / Taskmaster)
95
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92
91
90
90
89
88
88
88
87
86
84
84
83
83
83
82
82
81
81
79
79
78
78
78
78
78
78
76
76
75
75
74
73
72
72
72
70
69
69
69
69
68
66
66
65
65
62
59
54
52
50
50
48
46
41
41
41
37
34
34
34
34
34
34
34
34
34
34
33
32
32
31
29
27
24
24
23
17
10
10
8
5
OptionProbability
Is marketed as Episode X
Red lightsaber on screen
Blue lightsaber on screen
Green lightsaber on screen
Will be announced before 2028
Trailer out before 2028 (teaser counts)
The "Millennium Falcon" is on screen or mentioned
"Darth Sidious" or "Palpatine" is mentioned
Tie fighters on screen
"Darth Vader" is mentioned
A character is a Skywalker (by blood, name does not matter)
A dead character has spoken lines
A dead person appears as something like a ~spirit
New droid companion
Oscar Isaac returns in his previous role
Strong, quasi-masculine-presenting female lead character
Scantily clad hypersexualized female characters
Sole director credit to Sharmeen Obaid-Chinoy
Digital version of dead actor plays a role
Yellow lightsaber on screen
Scores ≥7.5 on IMDB exactly one month after release
There will be a new lightsaber based weapon form we haven’t seen before (like Kylo’s light saber hilt).
John Boyega returns in his previous role
Adam Driver returns in his previous role
Taxes are mentioned
Droid dances
Using the force to choke someone
Death Star mentioned
Flashback to a period clearly overlapping with movies I-IX
Any actor from the original trilogy plays the same role
Is defined as part of a trilogy, before its premier date
Blue milk on screen
Cantina band song remix
Purple lightsaber on screen
Main character is not human
Will NOT be announced before 2030
Somehow, Palpatine returned
The word "rationalussy" is spoken
85
83
83
79
78
74
72
65
56
54
53
53
51
50
50
50
50
50
46
44
44
44
42
42
41
35
35
35
34
34
34
34
34
27
26
20
14
1
OptionProbability
Zendaya
Lisa Kudrow
Martin Short
Steve Carell
Oscar Isaac
Tim Cook
Selena Gomez
Michael J. Fox
Snoop Dogg
Oprah
Drake
91
90
76
71
65
55
43
41
25
25
19

